CFD Markets News and Forecasts — 29-11-2017

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29.11.2017
23:51
Japan: Industrial Production (YoY), October 5.9%
23:50
Japan: Industrial Production (MoM) , October 0.5% (forecast 1.9%)
23:28
Commodities. Daily history for Nov 29’2017:

(raw materials / closing price /% change)

Oil 57.73 -0.45%

Gold 1,295.00 +0.01%

23:27
Stocks. Daily history for Nov 29’2017:

(index / closing price / change items /% change)

Nikkei +110.96 22597.20 +0.49%

TOPIX +14.08 1786.15 +0.79%

Hang Seng -57.02 29623.83 -0.19%

CSI 300 -2.07 4053.75 -0.05%

Euro Stoxx 50 +6.42 3589.91 +0.18%

FTSE 100 -67.09 7393.56 -0.90%

DAX +2.34 13061.87 +0.02%

CAC 40 +7.57 5398.05 +0.14%

DJIA +103.97 23940.68 +0.44%

S&P 500 -0.97 2626.07 -0.04%

NASDAQ -87.97 6824.39 -1.27%

S&P/TSX -61.92 15967.72 -0.39%

23:25
Currencies. Daily history for Nov 29’2017:

(pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,1846 +0,07%

GBP/USD $1,3407 +0,54%

USD/CHF Chf0,9844 +0,10%

USD/JPY Y111,91 +0,40%

EUR/JPY Y132,57 +0,46%

GBP/JPY Y150,029 +0,94%

AUD/USD $0,7570 -0,31%

NZD/USD $0,6876 -0,28%

USD/CAD C$1,28631 +0,39%

23:04
Schedule for today,Thursday, Nov 30’2017 (GMT0)

00:00 Australia HIA New Home Sales, m/m October -6.1%

00:00 New Zealand ANZ Business Confidence November -10.1

00:05 United Kingdom Gfk Consumer Confidence November -10 -11

00:30 Australia Private Sector Credit, m/m October 0.3% 0.4%

00:30 Australia Private Sector Credit, y/y October 5.4%

00:30 Australia Building Permits, m/m October 1.5% -1.8%

01:00 China Manufacturing PMI November 51.6 51.4

01:00 China Non-Manufacturing PMI November 54.3

05:00 Japan Construction Orders, y/y October -11.6%

05:00 Japan Housing Starts, y/y October -2.9% -3.1%

06:45 Switzerland Gross Domestic Product (YoY) Quarter III 0.3% 0.7%

06:45 Switzerland Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) Quarter III 0.3% 0.5%

07:00 United Kingdom Nationwide house price index November 0.2% 0.2%

07:00 United Kingdom Nationwide house price index, y/y November 2.5% 2.7%

07:00 Germany Retail sales, real unadjusted, y/y October 4.1% 2.8%

07:00 Germany Retail sales, real adjusted October 0.5% 0.3%

07:45 France CPI, m/m (Preliminary) November 0.1% 0.1%

07:45 France CPI, y/y (Preliminary) November 1.1%

08:00 Eurozone ECB's Yves Mersch Speaks

08:00 Switzerland KOF Leading Indicator November 109.1 109.2

08:15 Switzerland Retail Sales Y/Y October -0.4% 0.3%

08:15 Switzerland Retail Sales (MoM) October 0.5%

08:55 Germany Unemployment Rate s.a. November 5.6% 5.6%

08:55 Germany Unemployment Change November -11 -10

10:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI, Y/Y (Preliminary) November 1.4% 1.6%

10:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI ex EFAT, Y/Y (Preliminary) November 0.9%

10:00 Eurozone ECB's Peter Praet Speaks

10:00 Eurozone Unemployment Rate October 8.9% 8.9%

13:30 Canada Current Account, bln Quarter III -16.3 -19.5

13:30 U.S. Continuing Jobless Claims 1.904

13:30 U.S. PCE price index ex food, energy, m/m October 0.1% 0.2%

13:30 U.S. PCE price index ex food, energy, Y/Y October 1.3% 1.4%

13:30 U.S. Personal spending October 1.0% 0.3%

13:30 U.S. Personal Income, m/m October 0.4% 0.3%

13:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims 239 240

14:45 U.S. Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index November 66.2 63.0

18:00 U.S. FOMC Member Kaplan Speak

22:30 Australia AIG Manufacturing Index November 51.1

23:30 Japan Tokyo Consumer Price Index, y/y November -0.2% -0.1%

23:30 Japan Tokyo CPI ex Fresh Food, y/y November 0.6% 0.6%

23:30 Japan Household spending Y/Y October -0.3% -0.4%

23:30 Japan Unemployment Rate October 2.8% 2.8%

23:30 Japan National CPI Ex-Fresh Food, y/y October 0.7% 0.8%

23:30 Japan National Consumer Price Index, y/y October 0.7% 0.2%

23:50 Japan Capital Spending Quarter III 1.5%

21:45
New Zealand: Building Permits, m/m, October -9.6%
21:08
Major US stock indexes completed the session mixed

Major US stock indices showed mixed dynamics on Wednesday: Nasdaq fell more than 1%, S & P almost did not change, and the Dow grew moderately. Investors sold technological shares and switched to financial assets, which received a strong impetus due to economic data and comments from Fed officials regarding future rate increases.

As it became known, economic growth in the US in the third quarter was stronger than previously thought, while corporate profits recovered during the summer months. Gross domestic product, a wide range of goods and services created in the US, in the third quarter increased by 3.3%, seasonally adjusted and adjusted for inflation, in the third quarter, the Ministry of Commerce said.

Meanwhile, unfinished transactions for the sale of housing increased by 3.5% in October, but remained 0.6% lower than a year ago, the National Association of Realtors reported. Economists predicted an increase in the index by 1% in October. The value of the index in October was 109.3, where the level of 100 was the same as the average level of contract activity during 2001. The indicator for September changed slightly, to 105.6.

Most components of the DOW index finished the session in positive territory (20 out of 30). The leader of growth was UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (UNH, + 3.05%). Outsider were shares of Visa Inc. (V, -3.37%).

The sectors of the S & P index showed mixed dynamics. The financial sector grew most (+ 0.7%). The largest losses were recorded in the technological sector (-2.1%).

At closing:

DJIA + 0.44% 23.940.68 +103.97

Nasdaq -1.27% 6,824.34 -88.02

S & P -0.04% 2,626.07 -0.97

20:02
DJIA +0.34% 23,918.68 +81.97 Nasdaq -1.37% 6,817.84 -94.52 S&P -0.11% 2,624.11 -2.93
17:00
European stocks closed: FTSE 100 -67.09 7393.56 -0.90% DAX +2.34 13061.87 +0.02% CAC 40 +7.57 5398.05 +0.14%
15:30
U.S.: Crude Oil Inventories, November -3.429 (forecast -2.301)
15:12
U.S pending home sales rebounded strongly in October

Pending home sales rebounded strongly in October following three straight months of diminishing activity, but still continued their recent slide of falling behind year ago levels, according to the National Association of Realtors. All major regions except for the West saw an increase in contract signings last month.

The Pending Home Sales Index, a forward-looking indicator based on contract signings, rose 3.5 percent to 109.3 in October from a downwardly revised 105.6 in September. The index is now at its highest reading since June (110.0), but is still 0.6 percent below a year ago.

15:00
U.S.: Pending Home Sales (MoM) , October 3.5% (forecast 1.0%)
14:51
Fed's Yellen does not mention timing of next Fed rate increase in statement, released ahead of congressional hearing
14:47
Bitcoin hits $11,000 on Bitstamp exchange after having crossed $10,000 for first time 12 hours before
14:46
Additional major sanctions will be imposed on North Korea today. This situation will be handled! @realDonaldTrump
14:35
U.S. Stocks open: Dow +0.27%, Nasdaq -0.10%, S&P +0.06%
14:26
Before the bell: S&P futures +0.05%, NASDAQ futures -0.06%

U.S. stock-index futures were flat on Wednesday, a day after progress on a U.S. tax bill pushed stocks to record levels.


Global Stocks:

Nikkei 22,597.20 +110.96 +0.49%

Hang Seng 29,623.83 -57.02 -0.19%

Shanghai 3,338.00 +4.35 +0.13%

S&P/ASX 6,011.12 +26.86 +0.45%

FTSE 7,418.97 -41.68 -0.56%

CAC 5,429.13 +38.65 +0.72%

DAX 13,179.24 +119.71 +0.92%

Crude $57.72 (-0.47%)

Gold $1,287.70 (-0.56%)

13:48
Wall Street. Stocks before the bell

(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)


3M Co

MMM

235.76

0.13(0.06%)

257

Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ

AMZN

1,192.59

-1.01(-0.08%)

13955

American Express Co

AXP

95.97

0.69(0.72%)

472

Apple Inc.

AAPL

172.85

-0.22(-0.13%)

151249

AT&T Inc

T

35.49

0.07(0.20%)

11562

Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE

ABX

14.07

-0.07(-0.50%)

46925

Caterpillar Inc

CAT

139.09

0.10(0.07%)

1121

Chevron Corp

CVX

116.47

0.02(0.02%)

413

Cisco Systems Inc

CSCO

37.72

-0.01(-0.03%)

14857

Citigroup Inc., NYSE

C

74.25

0.55(0.75%)

74058

Exxon Mobil Corp

XOM

81.61

-0.06(-0.07%)

161374

Facebook, Inc.

FB

182.12

-0.30(-0.16%)

23778

Ford Motor Co.

F

12.24

0.03(0.25%)

2982

Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE

FCX

14.2

-0.01(-0.07%)

1600

General Electric Co

GE

18.47

0.06(0.33%)

117002

General Motors Company, NYSE

GM

45.1

0.18(0.40%)

8562

Goldman Sachs

GS

240.45

1.79(0.75%)

9015

Google Inc.

GOOG

1,045.00

-2.41(-0.23%)

2286

Hewlett-Packard Co.

HPQ

21.45

-0.21(-0.97%)

123

Home Depot Inc

HD

176.29

0.61(0.35%)

4338

Intel Corp

INTC

44.71

-0.02(-0.04%)

8761

Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

140.3

0.28(0.20%)

712

JPMorgan Chase and Co

JPM

102.28

0.92(0.91%)

66710

McDonald's Corp

MCD

171.37

0.03(0.02%)

1086

Merck & Co Inc

MRK

54.96

0.03(0.05%)

3323

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

84.84

-0.04(-0.05%)

7322

Pfizer Inc

PFE

35.91

0.06(0.17%)

2591

Procter & Gamble Co

PG

89.42

0.02(0.02%)

5613

Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ

SBUX

56.6

-0.06(-0.11%)

1201

Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ

TSLA

317.22

-0.33(-0.10%)

655281

The Coca-Cola Co

KO

45.84

0.01(0.02%)

1397

Twitter, Inc., NYSE

TWTR

21.81

-0.02(-0.09%)

25763

United Technologies Corp

UTX

117.75

0.04(0.03%)

636

Visa

V

113.42

0.06(0.05%)

4176

Wal-Mart Stores Inc

WMT

97.36

0.59(0.61%)

22690

13:43
Target price changes before the market open

Home Depot (HD) target raised to $183 from $175 at Credit Suisse; maintain Outperform

13:42
Upgrades before the market open

Wal-Mart (WMT) upgraded to Sector Perform from Underperform at RBC Capital Mkts

13:41
U.S GDP rose 3.3% in Q3, more than expected

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 3.3 percent in the third quarter of 2017, according to the "second" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the second quarter, real GDP increased 3.1 percent.

The GDP estimate released today is based on more complete source data than were available for the "advance" estimate issued last month. In the advance estimate, the increase in real GDP was 3.0 percent.

With this second estimate for the third quarter, the general picture of economic growth remains the same; nonresidential fixed investment, state and local government spending, and private inventory investment were revised up from the prior estimate.

The price index for gross domestic purchases increased 1.8 percent in the third quarter, compared with an increase of 0.9 percent in the second quarter. The PCE price index increased 1.5 percent, compared with an increase of 0.3 percent. Excluding food and energy prices, the PCE price index increased 1.4 percent, compared with an increase of 0.9 percent

13:30
U.S.: PCE price index ex food, energy, q/q, Quarter III 1.4% (forecast 1.4%)
13:30
U.S.: PCE price index, q/q, Quarter III 1.5% (forecast 1.5%)
13:30
U.S.: GDP, q/q, Quarter III 3.3% (forecast 3.2%)
13:14
German CPI is expected to be 1.8% in November

The inflation rate in Germany as measured by the consumer price index is expected to be 1.8% in November 2017. Based on the results available so far, the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis) also reports that the consumer prices are expected to increase by 0.3% on October 2017.

In November 2017, the harmonised index of consumer prices for Germany, which is calculated for European purposes, is expected to increase by 1.8% year on year. Compared with October 2017, it is expected to be up by 0.3%.

13:01
Germany: CPI, m/m, November 0.3% (forecast 0.3%)
13:00
Germany: CPI, y/y , November 1.8% (forecast 1.7%)
12:39
OPEC to debate oil production cap for Nigeria at 1.8 mln bpd, Libya at 1 mln bpd as part of planned 9-month cut extension
10:34
ECB says risks of a repricing of global risk premia remains significant - Stability report
10:00
Eurozone: Economic sentiment index , November 114.6 (forecast 114.6)
10:00
Eurozone: Industrial confidence, November 8.2 (forecast 8.7)
10:00
Eurozone: Business climate indicator , November 1.5 (forecast 1.53)
10:00
Eurozone: Consumer Confidence, November 0.1 (forecast 0.1)
09:39
UK broad money increased by £3.6 billion in October

Broad money increased by £3.6 billion in October. Within this, the flow of household M4 was the largest contributor at £3.1 billion. The net flow of sterling credit fell to £2.6 billion in October. Lending to households and private non-financial corporations (PNFCs) was £3.8 billion, broadly in line with the previous month.

Net lending secured on dwellings was broadly unchanged at £3.4 billion in October. Underlying this were increases in gross lending and repayments due to increases in remortgaging activity. Total mortgage approvals increased slightly in October. Within this, remortgaging approvals increased to 51,593, the highest since October 2008. House purchase mortgage approvals fell slightly to 64,575 in October. The annual growth rate of consumer credit was broadly unchanged at 9.6% in October.

09:36
United Kingdom: Net Lending to Individuals, bln, October 4.8
09:30
United Kingdom: Consumer credit, mln, October 1.451 (forecast 1.500)
09:30
United Kingdom: Mortgage Approvals, October 64.58 (forecast 65.00)
08:48
EU's Barnier, speaking in Berlin, says hopes to report to EU about agreement with Britain on financial terms of Brexit in coming days
08:42
Major stock markets in Europe trading mixed: FTSE 7426.89 -33.76 -0.45%, DAX 13153.58 +94.05 + 0.72%, CAC 5422.37 +31.89 + 0.59%
08:07
Options levels on wednesday, November 29, 2017 EURUSD GBPUSD

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1971 (4231)

$1.1934 (4927)

$1.1904 (4100)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1867

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1816 (1828)

$1.1796 (1594)

$1.1768 (2751)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date December, 8 is 160616 contracts (according to data from November, 28) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1600 (8631);


GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.3531 (3033)

$1.3495 (1886)

$1.3464 (2717)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.3423

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.3349 (879)

$1.3290 (612)

$1.3258 (1984)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date December, 8 is 49556 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3400 (3440);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date December, 8 is 45794 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3000 (3982);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.92 versus 0.97 from the previous trading day according to data from November, 28

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

08:04
French GDP up 0.5% in Q3

In Q3 2017, gross domestic product (GDP) in volume terms kept increasing: +0.5%, after +0.6% in Q2.

Household consumption expenditure accelerated (+0.6% after +0.3%) while total gross fixed capital formation (GFCF) remained dynamic (+0.9% after +1.1%). All in all, final domestic demand excluding changes in inventories increased: it contributed by +0.6 points to GDP growth in Q3 2017.

The foreign trade balance contributed negatively to GDP growth (−0.6 points after +0.5 points): imports accelerated sharply (+2.8% after +0.3%) while exports decelerated significantly (+1.1% after +2.2%). Conversely, changes in inventories contributed positively to GDP growth (+0.5 points after −0.5 points).

In comparison with Q3 2016, GDP rose by 2.2%; such a growth rate had not been observed since 2011.

07:45
France: GDP, q/q, Quarter III 0.5% (forecast 0.5%)
07:33
The Swiss UBS consumption indicator inched up to 1.54 points in October

The UBS consumption indicator inched up to 1.54 points in October from a corrected September figure of 1.51. New registrations for passenger cars and domestic tourism shored up the indicator. By contrast, the index of consumer confidence measured by the State Secretariat for Economic Affairs stagnated. In October it was -2 points, virtually unchanged from the previous quarter's -3. Although consumers assess the labor market more positively, expectations with regard to the general economic situation have become slightly gloomier.

07:31
Eurostoxx 50 futures up 0.47 pct, FTSE futures down 0.40 pct, DAX futures up 0.60 pct, CAC 40 futures up 0.50 pct, german bund futures open 12 ticks lower at 163.05
07:28
North Korea says it launched the Hwasong-15, its "most powerful missile so far," one that "can reach all of the mainland US"
07:27
UAE oil minister says we will discuss extension for the whole of 2018 but that is not the only option
  • We are seeing very good results towards market recovery, we need to continue

07:26
Reserve Bank of New Zealand stability review says financial system remains sound and risks to the system have reduced over the past six months

  • The recovery in dairy commodity prices since mid-2016 has helped to reduce bank non-performing loans in the sector

  • Will monitor the impact of these changes and will only make further lvr adjustments if financial stability risks remain contained

  • The reserve bank is undertaking a modest easing of the lvr restriction from jan 1 2018

  • Pressures in the housing market have continued to moderate due to the tightening of lvr restrictions

  • Housing market policies announced by the government are also expected to have a dampening effect on the housing market

07:24
UK Brexit dept spokeswoman: "we are exploring how we can continue to build on recent momentum in the talks so that together we can move the negotiations on to the next phase and discuss our future partnership"
07:22
Daily Telegraph cites unidentified sources as saying that UK and EU have reached agreement-in-principle over the EU’s demand for a 60 billion euro financial settlement. GBP rally strong
07:19
10-year U.S. treasury yield at 2.333 percent vs U.S. close of 2.337 percent on tuesday
07:16
Switzerland: UBS Consumption Indicator, October 1.54
06:31
Global Stocks

European stocks finished higher for the first time in three sessions on Tuesday, with Ocado Group PLC turning in the Stoxx Europe 600's best performance following a technology deal. The benchmark also was lifted by major oil companies after Royal Dutch Shell-an industry bellwether-provided an upbeat outlook, seen as demonstrating the worst of the crude-price slump is behind the sector.

US Stocks closed at records Tuesday after bouncing around during the regular session as geopolitical tensions and domestic developments pulled the market in different directions. All three main indexes had traded in record territory earlier but came off highs as North Korea tested a ballistic missile for the first time in more than two months. But the indexes soon regained lost ground after a Republican tax proposal moved a step closer to a Senate vote.

Chinese and Hong Kong stocks fell again after initial Wednesday morning gains, as investors in Asia largely shrugged off North Korea's latest missile launch. But some market focus has drifted temporarily from equities, as bitcoin cracked $10,000 for the first time in Asian trading. It is up more than 20% since Friday as the cryptocurrency has increasingly become mainstream. It was recently at $10,256.79, according to research site CoinDesk.

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