CFD Markets News and Forecasts — 27-12-2018

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27.12.2018
23:50
Japan: Retail sales, y/y, November 1.4% (forecast 2.2%)
23:50
Japan: Industrial Production (MoM) , November -1.1% (forecast -1.9%)
23:30
Japan: Tokyo Consumer Price Index, y/y, December 0.3%
23:30
Japan: Tokyo CPI ex Fresh Food, y/y, December 0.9% (forecast 0.9%)
23:30
Japan: Unemployment Rate, November 2.5% (forecast 2.4%)
23:30
Schedule for today, Friday, December 28, 2018
Time Country Event Period Previous value Forecast
08:00 Switzerland KOF Leading Indicator December 99.1 98.7
09:30 United Kingdom BBA Mortgage Approvals November 39.697 38.9
13:00 Germany CPI, m/m December 0.1% 0.3%
13:00 Germany CPI, y/y December 2.3% 1.9%
14:45 U.S. Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index December 66.4 62
15:00 U.S. Pending Home Sales (MoM) November -2.6% 0.7%
16:00 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories December -0.497 -2.667
18:00 U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count December 883  
21:46
Major US stock indexes finished trading in positive territory

Major US stock markets rose sharply in the last hour of trading, and ended the session in positive territory as tax losses from the sale decreased.

Thursday was the last day for the sale of tax losses, so buyers on the falls expected a profitable opportunity.

Earlier in the course of trading, pressure on the indices was exerted by renewed tensions between China and the United States. Reuters reported that President Trump is considering signing a decree in the new year prohibiting US companies from using Chinese equipment from Huawei and ZTE from Huawei and ZTE. Investors are worried that the president’s decision could jeopardize negotiations between the two largest economies in the world who are trying to conclude a trade deal. The report of the Conference Board, which showed that the consumer confidence index fell to 128.1 in December from 136.4 in November (revised from 135.7), also had a negative impact on the mood of market participants. Analysts had expected the index to be 133.7.

Almost all components of DOW recorded an increase (28 out of 30). The growth leader was 3M Company (MMM, + 2.38%). Apple Inc.’s shares turned out to be an outsider. (APL, -0.65%).

Almost all sectors of the S & P finished trading in positive territory. The industrial goods sector grew the most (+ 1.2%). The decline showed only the conglomerate sector (-0.6%)

At the time of closing:

Dow 23,138.82 +260.37 +1.14%

S & P 500 2,488.83 +21.13 +0.86%

Nasdaq 100 6,579.49 +25.14 +0.38%

20:50
Schedule for tomorrow, Friday, December 28, 2018
Time Country Event Period Previous value Forecast
08:00 Switzerland KOF Leading Indicator December 99.1 98.7
09:30 United Kingdom BBA Mortgage Approvals November 39.697 38.9
13:00 Germany CPI, m/m December 0.1% 0.3%
13:00 Germany CPI, y/y December 2.3% 1.9%
14:45 U.S. Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index December 66.4 62
15:00 U.S. Pending Home Sales (MoM) November -2.6% 0.7%
16:00 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories December -0.497 -2.667
18:00 U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count December 883  
20:00
DJIA -1.62% 22,507.52 -370.93 Nasdaq -2.17% 6,412.45 -141.91 S&P -1.76% 2,424.32 -43.38
17:00
European stocks closed: FTSE 100 -100.08 6585.91 -1.50% DAX -252.31 10381.51 -2.37% CAC 40 -27.78 4598.61 -0.60%
15:08
Gold prices climbed for the seventh time in the last eight sessions on Thursday, hitting a fresh six-month high as the dollar fell and stocks extended a recent bout of volatility

  • Gold for February delivery edged up 0.4% to $1,277.90 a troy ounce on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. Prices have trimmed almost all of their 2018 drop in recent weeks, boosted by bets that the Federal Reserve will cool its pace of interest-rate increases moving forward and a weaker dollar. Gold is at its highest level since June

15:00
U.S.: Consumer confidence , December 128.1 (forecast 133.7)
14:33
U.S. Stocks open: Dow -1.27%, Nasdaq -1.28%, S&P -1.20%
14:28
Before the bell: S&P futures -1.55%, NASDAQ futures -1.42%

U.S. stock-index futures fell on Thursday,  pulling back from Wednesday's rally.


Global Stocks:

Index/commodity

Last

Today's Change, points

Today's Change, %

Nikkei

20,077.62

+750.56

+3.88%

Hang Seng

25,478.88

-172.50

-0.67%

Shanghai

2,483.09

-15.21

-0.61%

S&P/ASX

5,597.20

+103.40

+1.88%

FTSE

6,601.09

-84.90

-1.27%

CAC

4,605.77

-20.62

-0.45%

DAX

10,384.89

-248.93

-2.34%

Crude

$45.60


-1.34%

Gold

$1,278.10


+0.40%

14:16
U.S.: Housing Price Index, m/m, October 0.3% (forecast 0.3%)
14:11
U.S. house prices rose in October, up 0.3 percent from the previous month, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency

U.S. house prices rose in October, up 0.3 percent from the previous month, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) seasonally adjusted monthly House Price Index (HPI).  The previously reported 0.2 percent increase in September remained unchanged.

The FHFA monthly HPI is calculated using home sales price information from mortgages sold to, or guaranteed by, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.  From October 2017 to October 2018, house prices were up 5.7 percent.

For the nine census divisions, seasonally adjusted monthly price changes from September 2018 to October 2018 ranged from -0.6 percent in the South Atlantic division to +1.4 percent in the Pacific division.  The 12-month changes were all positive, ranging from +3.3 percent in the Middle Atlantic division to +8.5 percent in the Mountain division.


13:44
Wall Street. Stocks before the bell

(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)


3M Co

MMM

184.5

-1.76(-0.94%)

1349

ALTRIA GROUP INC.

MO

48

-0.43(-0.89%)

4057

Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ

AMZN

1,448.00

-22.90(-1.56%)

85324

American Express Co

AXP

92.59

-1.25(-1.33%)

919

Apple Inc.

AAPL

155.13

-2.04(-1.30%)

208391

AT&T Inc

T

27.8

-0.28(-1.00%)

72153

Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE

ABX

13.3

-0.28(-2.06%)

457800

Boeing Co

BA

310.6

-3.33(-1.06%)

16889

Caterpillar Inc

CAT

123

-1.76(-1.41%)

7210

Chevron Corp

CVX

106

-1.39(-1.29%)

1411

Cisco Systems Inc

CSCO

41.9

-0.57(-1.34%)

17771

Citigroup Inc., NYSE

C

50.66

-0.78(-1.52%)

26516

Deere & Company, NYSE

DE

140.2

-3.07(-2.14%)

273

Exxon Mobil Corp

XOM

67.75

-0.89(-1.30%)

10330

Facebook, Inc.

FB

132.45

-1.73(-1.29%)

111694

FedEx Corporation, NYSE

FDX

158

-2.15(-1.34%)

2368

Ford Motor Co.

F

7.81

-0.04(-0.51%)

92079

Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE

FCX

10.25

-0.15(-1.44%)

10099

General Electric Co

GE

7.2

-0.19(-2.57%)

372169

General Motors Company, NYSE

GM

33

-0.52(-1.55%)

3234

Goldman Sachs

GS

160.56

-2.37(-1.45%)

9831

Google Inc.

GOOG

1,019.06

-20.40(-1.96%)

6906

Hewlett-Packard Co.

HPQ

19.99

-0.34(-1.67%)

2283

Home Depot Inc

HD

166.07

-2.21(-1.31%)

1806

HONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL INC.

HON

127.55

-2.02(-1.56%)

499

Intel Corp

INTC

45.52

-0.67(-1.45%)

14131

International Business Machines Co...

IBM

110.1

-1.29(-1.16%)

4725

Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

125.69

-1.02(-0.81%)

5079

JPMorgan Chase and Co

JPM

94.53

-1.43(-1.49%)

24454

McDonald's Corp

MCD

173

-1.03(-0.59%)

1734

Merck & Co Inc

MRK

73.5

-0.50(-0.68%)

1685

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

98.9

-1.66(-1.65%)

104644

Nike

NKE

72.28

-0.73(-1.00%)

4831

Pfizer Inc

PFE

41.9

-0.29(-0.69%)

7255

Procter & Gamble Co

PG

89.79

-0.30(-0.33%)

2262

Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ

SBUX

62.7

-0.38(-0.60%)

1990

Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ

TSLA

315.5

-10.59(-3.25%)

98601

The Coca-Cola Co

KO

46.67

-0.27(-0.58%)

6190

Twitter, Inc., NYSE

TWTR

28.2

-0.46(-1.61%)

77805

United Technologies Corp

UTX

105.71

-0.30(-0.28%)

689

UnitedHealth Group Inc

UNH

240.2

-3.15(-1.29%)

3098

Verizon Communications Inc

VZ

53.99

-0.45(-0.83%)

3556

Visa

V

128.3

-1.93(-1.48%)

17360

Wal-Mart Stores Inc

WMT

89.9

-0.51(-0.56%)

5213

Walt Disney Co

DIS

104.5

-1.33(-1.26%)

5944

Yandex N.V., NASDAQ

YNDX

27.01

-0.78(-2.81%)

8850

13:33
U.S initial jobless claims in line with expectations last week

In the week ending December 22, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 216,000, a decrease of 1,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 3,000 from 214,000 to 217,000. The 4-week moving average was 218,000, a decrease of 4,750 from the previous week's revised average. The previous week's average was revised up by 750 from 222,000 to 222,750.

13:30
U.S.: Initial Jobless Claims, December 216 (forecast 217)
13:30
U.S.: Continuing Jobless Claims, December 1701
10:34
Treasury yields surged on Wednesday after the stock market broke a four-day losing streak, easing appetite for haven assets like U.S. government paper

The 10-year Treasury note yield climbed 6.1 basis points to 2.797%. The 2-year note yield picked up 4.9 basis points to 2.609%, while the 30-year bond yield jumped 5.4 basis points to 3.050%. All three maturities notched their biggest one-day rise this year. Bond prices move in the opposite direction of yields.

09:00
Switzerland: Credit Suisse ZEW Survey (Expectations), December -22.2
07:43
Options levels on thursday, December 27, 2018 EURUSD GBPUSD

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1493 (1782)

$1.1469 (1065)

$1.1444 (260)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1377

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1330 (4924)

$1.1289 (5149)

$1.1244 (3116)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date January, 7 is 68416 contracts (according to data from December, 26) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1650 (5852);


GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.2790 (1743)

$1.2762 (575)

$1.2725 (226)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.2654

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.2608 (2037)

$1.2574 (1890)

$1.2534 (1547)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date January, 7 is 36522 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3400 (3833);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date January, 7 is 33161 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2450 (2872);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.91 versus 0.91 from the previous trading day according to data from December, 26

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

06:01
Japan: Construction Orders, y/y, November -10.7%
05:01
Japan: Housing Starts, y/y, November -0.6% (forecast -0.4%)
02:30
Commodities. Daily history for Wednesday, December 26, 2018
Raw materials Closed Change, %
Brent 55.24 8.12
WTI 46.67 8.13
Silver 15.01 1.28
Gold 1266.722 -0.46
Palladium 1254.02 0.19
00:30
Stocks. Daily history for Wednesday, December 26, 2018
Index Change, points Closed Change, %
NIKKEI 225 171.32 19327.06 0.89
KOSPI -27 2028.01 -1.31
Dow Jones 1086.25 22878.45 4.98
S&P 500 116.6 2467.7 4.96
NASDAQ Composite 361.44 6554.36 5.84
00:15
Currencies. Daily history for Wednesday, December 26, 2018
Pare Closed Change, %
AUDUSD 0.70671 0.2
EURJPY 126.425 0.45
EURUSD 1.13533 -0.26
GBPJPY 140.682 0.27
GBPUSD 1.26337 -0.44
NZDUSD 0.67292 0
USDCAD 1.35714 -0.18
USDCHF 0.9955 0.63
USDJPY 111.353 0.72

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