CFD Markets News and Forecasts — 22-08-2017

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22.08.2017
22:36
Commodities. Daily history for Aug 22’2017:

(raw materials / closing price /% change)

Oil 47.63 -0.42%

Gold 1,290.40 -0.05%

22:34
Stocks. Daily history for Aug 22’2017:

(index / closing price / change items /% change)

Nikkei -9.29 19383.84 -0.05%

TOPIX +0.93 1596.12 +0.06%

Hang Seng +246.99 27401.67 +0.91%

CSI 300 +11.31 3752.30 +0.30%

Euro Stoxx 50 +32.06 3455.59 +0.94%

FTSE 100 +62.86 7381.74 +0.86%

DAX +163.35 12229.34 +1.35%

CAC 40 +44.27 5131.86 +0.87%

DJIA +196.14 21899.89 +0.90%

S&P 500 +24.14 2452.51 +0.99%

NASDAQ +84.35 6297.48 +1.36%

S&P/TSX +33.08 14984.96 +0.22%

22:26
Currencies. Daily history for Aug 22’2017:

(pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,1764 -0,41%

GBP/USD $1,2821 -0,58%

USD/CHF Chf0,96769 +0,62%

USD/JPY Y109,57 +0,58%

EUR/JPY Y128,91 +0,16%

GBP/JPY Y140,494 0,00%

AUD/USD $0,7912 -0,31%

NZD/USD $0,7279 -0,63%

USD/CAD C$1,2561 +0,04%

21:55
Schedule for today, Wednesday, Aug 23’2017 (GMT0)

00:30 Japan Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) August 52.1 52.3

07:00 Eurozone ECB President Mario Draghi Speaks

07:00 France Services PMI (Preliminary) August 56 55.8

07:00 France Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) August 54.9 54.5

07:30 Germany Services PMI (Preliminary) August 53.1 53.3

07:30 Germany Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) August 58.1 57.7

08:00 Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) August 56.6 56.3

08:00 Eurozone Services PMI (Preliminary) August 55.4 55.4

13:05 U.S. FOMC Member Kaplan Speak

13:45 U.S. Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) August 53.3 53.3

13:45 U.S. Services PMI (Preliminary) August 54.7 54.9

14:00 Eurozone Consumer Confidence (Preliminary) August -1.7 -1.8

14:00 U.S. New Home Sales July 610 612

14:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories August -8.945

22:45 New Zealand Trade Balance, mln July 242 -200

20:07
Major US stock indexes finished trading in positive territory

The main US stock indices rose significantly on Tuesday amid the investors' expected annual meeting of central banks in Jackson-Khol this week (the annual economic symposium of the Fed, which will be held August 24-26).

The focus was also on the United States. The results of the survey of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond indicated that business activity in the Fifth area did not change in August. In August, the compound index remained at 14, while the employment index increased, but the index of shipments fell and a slight decrease showed the index of new orders. Although the employment index in August increased from 10 to 17, other indicators of activity in the labor market - wages and average workweek - remained practically unchanged.

Oil rose in price by about 0.5%, responding to signs that the offer is gradually tightening, especially in the US. Additional support was provided by the news that the Libyan oil field of Sharar was closed a few hours after the resumption of work after a three-day blockade of the pipeline.

"Reserves of crude oil in the US have been declining steadily in recent weeks," said Fawad Razakzada, a futures market analyst at Forex.com "If the downward trend in oil reserves continues, this will be a bullish factor for oil, especially given the current supply constraints from OPEC And Russia. "

Now, market participants are preparing to publish data on oil products in the US. Later, today the report will be presented by the American Petroleum Institute, and on Wednesday official figures on oil reserves from the US Energy Ministry will be released. Recall, a week earlier, oil reserves, according to the Ministry of Energy, fell by 8.945 million barrels. According to average forecasts, last week oil reserves fell by 3.375 million barrels. "Another decline in oil reserves in the US could push prices again, but the growth potential may be limited, especially if US oil reserves again begin to rise," said Hans van Cleef, an economist at ABN AMRO.

Most components of the DOW index finished the session in positive territory (27 out of 30). The leader of growth were the shares of Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO, + 1.96%). Outsider were shares of Intel Corporation (INTC, -0.70%).

All sectors of the S & P index recorded an increase. The technological sector grew most (+ 1.3%).

At closing:

DJIA + 0.90% 21,899.90 +196.15

Nasdaq + 1.36% 6.297.48 +84.35

S & P + 0.99% 2.452.47 +24.10

19:00
DJIA +0.85% 21,888.20 +184.45 Nasdaq +1.32% 6,294.90 +81.77 S&P +0.95% 2,451.47 +23.10
16:00
European stocks closed: FTSE 100 +62.86 7381.74 +0.86% DAX +163.35 12229.34 +1.35 CAC 40 +44.27 5131.86 +0.87%
14:46
Italy's 10-year government bond yield set for biggest daily rise in almost 7 weeks, up 9 basis points on day
14:29
Richmond Manufacturing Index little changed in August

Reports on Fifth District manufacturing activity were largely unchanged in August, according to the latest survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. The composite index remained at 14 in August, with an increase in the employment index offsetting a decrease in the shipments index and a very slight decline in the new orders metric. Although the employment index rose from 10 to 17 in August, other measures of labor market activity - wages and average workweek - were largely unchanged.

Expectations around manufacturing activity six months ahead were somewhat tempered from July, but manufacturers remained optimistic. Every index for expected activity was well into positive territory, although almost all of the indexes declined from July to August. The one exception was the measure for expected lead time, which rose from 7 in July to 10 in August.

Survey responses show that growth in both prices paid and prices received moderated in August. Meanwhile, reports on inventory levels were little changed, with the index for finished goods inventories down from 17 to 15 and the index for raw materials inventories rising from 17 to 19.

14:09
U.S.: Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, August 14
13:57
Libya's Sharara Oilfield Closed Again Hours After Reopening Because Of Action By New Protest Group - Oil Official on Reuters
13:46
Option expiries for today's 10:00 ET NY cut

EUR/USD: $1.1500(E1.88 млрд), $1.1575(E551 млрд), $1.1650-60(E2.38 млрд), $1.1685(E366 млн), $1.1700(E352 млн), $1.1800(E455 млн), $1.1825(E602 млн), $1.1850(E2.26 млрд)

USD/JPY: Y108.50($1.06 млрд), Y109.00($798 млн), Y109.50 ($323 млн), Y110.00-10($1.16 млрд), Y111.00($664 млн)

USD/CHF: Chf0.9770($342 млн)

USD/CAD: C$1.2600($550 млн)

AUD/USD: $0.7795-0.7800(A$649 млн)

NZD/USD: $0.7195-0.7200(NZ$379 млн)

13:32
U.S. Stocks open: Dow +0.30%, Nasdaq +0.48%, S&P +0.30%
13:26
Before the bell: S&P futures +0.29%, NASDAQ futures +0.54%

U.S. stock-index futures rose on Tuesday as investors picked up beaten-down stocks following a turbulent two weeks, while awaiting the the Fed's annual conference in Jackson Hole later this week.


Global Stocks:

Nikkei 19,383.84 -9.29 -0.05%

Hang Seng 27,401.67 +246.99 +0.91%

Shanghai 3,291.03 +4.12 +0.13%

S&P/ASX 5,750.12 +24.27 +0.42%

FTSE 7,380.17 +61.29 +0.84%

CAC 5,129.10 +41.51 +0.82%

DAX 12,196.82 +130.83 +1.08%

Crud $47.47 (-0.13%)

Gold $1,290.60 (-0.47%)

13:16
U.S. house prices rose 1.6 percent in the second quarter according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency

U.S. house prices rose 1.6 percent in the second quarter of 2017 according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House Price Index (HPI). House prices rose 6.6 percent from the second quarter of 2016 to the second quarter of 2017. FHFA's seasonally adjusted monthly index for June was up 0.1 percent from May.

The HPI is calculated using home sales price information from mortgages sold to, or guaranteed by, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

"U.S. house prices rose in most states during the second quarter," said FHFA Senior Economist William Doerner. "New home sales are climbing but, relative to the overall population, they still remain low from a historical perspective. The tight inventory is a major explanation for why house prices have been increasing every quarter over the last six years."

13:01
U.S.: Housing Price Index, m/m, June 0.1% (forecast 0.4%)
12:56
Wall Street. Stocks before the bell

(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)

Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ

AMZN

959

5.71(0.60%)

9301

Apple Inc.

AAPL

157.9

0.69(0.44%)

85761

AT&T Inc

T

37.75

0.17(0.45%)

1133

Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE

ABX

16.78

-0.13(-0.77%)

10866

Boeing Co

BA

236.52

0.84(0.36%)

2329

Cisco Systems Inc

CSCO

30.88

0.20(0.65%)

1596

Citigroup Inc., NYSE

C

66.4

0.45(0.68%)

6483

Exxon Mobil Corp

XOM

76.5

0.12(0.16%)

1680

Facebook, Inc.

FB

168.57

0.79(0.47%)

28656

Ford Motor Co.

F

10.65

0.08(0.76%)

20922

Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE

FCX

15.03

0.30(2.04%)

139860

General Electric Co

GE

24.58

0.09(0.37%)

3866

Goldman Sachs

GS

222.11

1.32(0.60%)

1540

Google Inc.

GOOG

912.3

5.64(0.62%)

1600

Home Depot Inc

HD

150

0.80(0.54%)

535

Intel Corp

INTC

35.14

0.22(0.63%)

9600

Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

133.2

-0.25(-0.19%)

906

JPMorgan Chase and Co

JPM

91.2

0.57(0.63%)

2910

McDonald's Corp

MCD

158.9

0.54(0.34%)

2631

Merck & Co Inc

MRK

62.1

0.13(0.21%)

200

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

72.5

0.35(0.49%)

6850

Nike

NKE

53.8

0.19(0.35%)

5106

Procter & Gamble Co

PG

92.85

-0.01(-0.01%)

1684

Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ

SBUX

53.43

0.28(0.53%)

3904

Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ

TSLA

340

2.14(0.63%)

49283

Twitter, Inc., NYSE

TWTR

16.23

0.12(0.74%)

9243

Verizon Communications Inc

VZ

48.47

0.33(0.69%)

555

Visa

V

103.5

0.28(0.27%)

6117

Wal-Mart Stores Inc

WMT

80.02

0.31(0.39%)

3293

Yandex N.V., NASDAQ

YNDX

30

0.28(0.94%)

600

12:52
Baghdad - U.S. defense secretary Mattis says he is waiting for plan from top U.S. general before deciding on additional troops for Afghanistan

  • Says strategy on Pakistan is broader than in previous administrations and will come down to execution

12:49
Canadian retail sales rose for the fourth consecutive month in June, edging up 0.1% to $49.0 billion

Sales were up in 6 of 11 subsectors, representing 38% of total retail trade.

Higher sales at general merchandise stores, clothing and clothing accessories stores, and building material and garden equipment and supplies dealers offset lower sales at motor vehicle and parts dealers and gasoline stations. Excluding the latter two subsectors, retail sales were up 1.1%.

After removing the effects of price changes, retail sales in volume terms increased 0.5%.

Sales at general merchandise stores rose 2.9% in June, the largest gain in dollar terms and the fifth increase in six months.

Sales at clothing and clothing accessories stores rose 2.7%. Higher sales at clothing stores (+3.3%) and shoe stores (+5.3%) both followed decreases in May. Jewellery, luggage and leather goods stores sales (-3.7%) were down for the first time since February 2017.

Sales at building material and garden equipment and supplies dealers (+2.2%) rose for the 9th time in 10 months.

12:30
Canada: Retail Sales YoY, June 7.3%
12:30
Canada: Retail Sales, m/m, June 0.1% (forecast 0.3%)
12:30
Canada: Retail Sales ex Autos, m/m, June 0.7% (forecast 0.3%)
11:36
Trump's "top priority remains protecting the homeland, U.S. territories and our allies against North Korean aggression" and U.S. is "prepared to use the full range of capabilities at our disposal" - U.S. Envoy
11:04
"North Korea has a choice, take a new path towards peace, prosperity and international acceptance, or continue further down a path of belligerence, poverty and isolation" - U.S. Envoy
10:23
Russia sees no grounds to believe that new U.S. strategy on Afghanistan can bring about significant positive changes - foreign ministry source to Ifax
10:10
UK CBI manufacturing orders rose more than expected in August

The survey of 432 manufacturers found that total order books and export order books were strong in August. The firming in export orders relative to the previous month reflected rising orders in 10 of the 17 manufacturing sub-sectors, led by mechanical engineering and aerospace.

Output growth remained strong and broad based and is expected to remain so over the next quarter. Meanwhile, firms' expectations for output price inflation picked up again after having eased briefly. However, they remained lower than in the first half of 2017.

Stocks were considered to be just above adequate levels, after dipping below in July, but remained below the long-run average.

10:00
United Kingdom: CBI industrial order books balance, August 13 (forecast 9)
09:36
NATO secretary general says NATO remains fully committed to Afghanistan

  • Welcomes president Trump's new approach to Afghanistan and the region

  • Urges all countries in the region to do their utmost to shut down sanctuaries for extremist groups

09:34
The ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment for Germany fell considerably by 7.5 points in August

The ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment for Germany fell considerably by 7.5 points in August 2017 and now stands at 10.0 points. The indicator thus remains significantly below the long-term average of 23.8 points. The assessment of the current economic situation in Germany increased slightly by 0.3 points in August. The corresponding indicator now stands at 86.7 points.

"The significant decrease of the ZEW economic sentiment indicator reflects the high degree of nervousness over the future path of growth in Germany. Both weaker than expected German exports as well as the widening scandal in the German automobile sector in particular have helped contribute to this situation. Overall, the economic outlook still remains relatively stable at a fairly high level," comments ZEW President Professor Achim Wambach.

09:00
Eurozone: ZEW Economic Sentiment, August 29.3 (forecast 34.2)
09:00
Germany: ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment, August 10 (forecast 15)
08:33
UK's public sector net borrowing increased by £1.9 billion to £22.8 billion in the current financial year-to-date

Public sector net borrowing (excluding public sector banks) increased by £1.9 billion to £22.8 billion in the current financial year-to-date (April 2017 to July 2017), compared with the same period in 2016.

The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) forecast that public sector net borrowing (excluding public sector banks) will be £58.3 billion during the financial year ending March 2018.

Public sector net borrowing (excluding public sector banks) was in surplus by £0.2 billion in July 2017, the first July surplus since 2002, while borrowing in July 2016 was £0.3 billion.

Public sector net borrowing (excluding public sector banks) decreased by £27.0 billion to £45.1 billion in the financial year ending March 2017 (April 2016 to March 2017) compared with the financial year ending March 2016; this is the lowest net borrowing since the financial year ending March 2008.

Central government net cash requirement decreased by £25.5 billion to £4.4 billion in the current financial year-to-date (April 2017 to July 2017), compared with the same period in 2016, largely as a result of two large cash transactions; this is the lowest year-to-date central government net cash requirement since 2002.

08:30
United Kingdom: PSNB, bln, July 0.76 (forecast 0.2)
08:05
Forex option contracts rolling off today at 14.00 GMT:

EUR / USD: $ 1.1500 (E1.88 b), $ 1.1575 (E551 b), $ 1.1650-60 (E2.38 b), $ 1.1685 (E366 m), $ 1.1700 (E352 m), $ 1.1800 (E455 m), $ 1.1825 (E602 m), $ 1.1850 (E2.26 b)

USD / JPY: Y108.50 ($ 1.06 b), Y109.00 ($ 798 m), Y109.50 ($ 323 m), Y110.00-10 ($ 1.16 b), Y111.00 ($ 664 m)

USD / CHF: Chf0.9770 ($ 342 m)

USD / CAD: C $ 1.2600 ($ 550 m)

AUD / USD: $ 0.7795-0.7800 (A $ 649 m)

NZD / USD: $ 0.7195-0.7200 (NZ $ 379m)

07:36
Major European stock exchanges trading in the green zone: FTSE 7364.43 +45.55 + 0.62%, DAX 12146.77 +80.78 + 0.67%, CAC 5118.66 +31.07 + 0.61%
07:31
Japan foreign minister: hope China will behave in a way that is appropriate for a global power
06:52
Positive start of trading expected on the main European stock markets: DAX + 0.5%, CAC 40 + 0.4%, FTSE 100 + 0.4%
06:25
Options levels on tuesday, August 22, 2017 EURUSD GBPUSD

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1905 (3148)

$1.1884 (2064)

$1.1856 (1686)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1802

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1748 (1396)

$1.1723 (2524)

$1.1693 (3197)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date September, 8 is 125948 contracts (according to data from August, 21) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1600 (5106);

GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.3011 (3121)

$1.2985 (1307)

$1.2948 (541)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.2884

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.2826 (2012)

$1.2797 (2639)

$1.2763 (1948)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date September, 8 is 33046 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3150 (3153);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date September, 8 is 28630 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2850 (2639);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.87 versus 0.87 from the previous trading day according to data from August, 21

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

06:06
U.S. 10-year treasury yield at 2.192 pct vs U.S. close of 2.180 pct on Monday
06:05
US Tsy Sec Mnuchin: To Work With Congress To Lift Debt Limit -Strong Preference For Clean Bill @LiveSquawk
06:04
Trump says rapid exit from Afghanistan is unacceptable and would leave a power vacuum, US needs path for 'victory' @AP
06:03
Swiss trade balance surplus rose more than expected in July

Exports increased by 4.5% in July 2017, but lost momentum compared to the previous two months. Meanwhile, the imports slipped slightly (- 0.5%). The trade balance showed a large surplus of CHF 3.6 billion.

06:00
Switzerland: Trade Balance, July 3.5 (forecast 2.88)
05:38
Global Stocks

European stocks closed lower Monday as investors grappled with renewed U.S.-North Korea tensions, but deal news helped lift shares of Danish conglomerate A.P. Moeller-Maersk A/S and Fiat Chrysler Automobiles NV. The Stoxx Europe 600 index SXXP, -0.40% fell 0.4% to finish at 372.72, falling for a third session in a row and adding to Friday's loss of 0.7% that came after terrorist attacks in Spain.

U.S. stock-market indexes closed mostly higher on Monday, with the Dow industrials taking back some ground after the worst two-day drop in nearly a year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, +0.13% switched between small gains and losses, ending the session 29.24 points, 0.1%, higher at 21,703.75, helped by a rally in shares of Home Depot Inc. HD, +1.16% ,which rose 1.2%.

Asian stocks eked out modest gains in thin trading as the yen snapped four days of gains and investors reassessed positions ahead of a meeting of central bankers. Bridgewater Associates' Ray Dalio said he was reducing risk.

05:20
Global Stocks

European stocks closed lower Monday as investors grappled with renewed U.S.-North Korea tensions, but deal news helped lift shares of Danish conglomerate A.P. Moeller-Maersk A/S and Fiat Chrysler Automobiles NV. The Stoxx Europe 600 index SXXP, -0.40% fell 0.4% to finish at 372.72, falling for a third session in a row and adding to Friday's loss of 0.7% that came after terrorist attacks in Spain.

U.S. stock-market indexes closed mostly higher on Monday, with the Dow industrials taking back some ground after the worst two-day drop in nearly a year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, +0.13% switched between small gains and losses, ending the session 29.24 points, 0.1%, higher at 21,703.75, helped by a rally in shares of Home Depot Inc. HD, +1.16% ,which rose 1.2%.

Asian stocks eked out modest gains in thin trading as the yen snapped four days of gains and investors reassessed positions ahead of a meeting of central bankers. Bridgewater Associates' Ray Dalio said he was reducing risk.

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