CFD Markets News and Forecasts — 21-11-2017

(raw materials / closing price /% change)

Oil 57.10 +1.21%

Gold 1,280.10 +0.38%

(index / closing price / change items /% change)

Nikkei +154.72 22416.48 +0.70%

TOPIX +11.48 1771.13 +0.65%

Hang Seng +557.76 29818.07 +1.91%

CSI 300 +73.87 4217.70 +1.78%

Euro Stoxx 50 +17.91 3579.32 +0.50%

FTSE 100 +21.88 7411.34 +0.30%

DAX +108.88 13167.54 +0.83%

CAC 40 +25.70 5366.15 +0.48%

DJIA +160.50 23590.83 +0.69%

S&P 500 +16.89 2599.03 +0.65%

NASDAQ +71.76 6862.48 +1.06%

S&P/TSX +72.25 16076.65 +0.45%

(pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,1737 +0,04%

GBP/USD $1,3236 +0,02%

USD/CHF Chf0,99131 -0,20%

USD/JPY Y112,42 -0,17%

EUR/JPY Y131,96 -0,12%

GBP/JPY Y148,808 -0,15%

AUD/USD $0,7577 +0,36%

NZD/USD $0,6825 +0,29%

USD/CAD C$1,27767 -0,33%

00:30 Australia Construction Work Done Quarter III 9.3% -2.3%

12:30 United Kingdom Autumn Forecast Statement

13:30 U.S. Continuing Jobless Claims 1860 1

13:30 U.S. Durable Goods Orders October 2.2% 0.3%

13:30 U.S. Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation October 0.7% 0.5%

13:30 U.S. Durable goods orders ex defense October 2.0% 0.9%

13:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims 249 240

15:00 Eurozone Consumer Confidence (Preliminary) November -1 -1.0

15:00 U.S. Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (Finally) November 100.7 98

15:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories November 1.854 -2.167

18:00 U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count 738

19:00 U.S. FOMC meeting minutes

21:45 New Zealand Retail Sales YoY Quarter III 5.4%

21:45 New Zealand Retail Sales, q/q Quarter III 2.0% 0.4%

The major US stock indices have risen markedly, reaching record levels amid rising technology prices for the second consecutive day, as well as good results from Medtronic (MDT).

In addition, as it became known, the index of economic activity from the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago indicates the acceleration of economic growth in October. "As a result of the improvement in production-related indicators, the index of economic activity from the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago (CFNAI) rose to +0.65 from +0.36 in September," the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago said.

However, according to the National Association of Realtors, home sales in the secondary market rose in October to the highest levels since the beginning of this summer, but the permanent supply shortage led to less closing deals on an annual basis for the second consecutive month. Total secondary home sales, which are completed transactions including single-family homes, urban homes, condominiums and cooperatives, increased 2.0% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.48 million in October from a revised 5.37 million units in September. As a result of last month, sales were the fastest since June (5.51 million), but still remain 0.9% lower than a year ago.

Quotes of oil have moderately grown, supported by expectations of prolongation of the agreement on restriction of production at the next meeting of OPEC. At the same time, further price increases were limited by signs of an increase in the volume of oil production in the United States.

Most components of the DOW index finished trading in positive territory (25 out of 30). The leader of growth was the shares of Apple Inc. (AAPL, + 1.83%). Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. turned out to be an outsider. (WMT, -1.06%).

All sectors of the S & P index recorded an increase. The conglomerate sector grew most (+ 1.5%).

At closing:

DJIA + 0.69% 23.590.83 +160.50

Nasdaq + 1.17% 6,862.48 +79.69

S & P + 0.65% 2.599.03 +16.89

Existing-home sales increased in October to their strongest pace since earlier this summer, but continual supply shortages led to fewer closings on an annual basis for the second straight month, according to the National Association of Realtors.

Total existing-home sales, which are completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, increased 2.0 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.48 million in October from a downwardly revised 5.37 million in September. After last month's increase, sales are at their strongest pace since June (5.51 million), but still remain 0.9 percent below a year ago.

U.S. stock-index futures were higher on Tuesday, helped by some upbeat earnings reports, especially from retailers.

Global Stocks:

Nikkei 22,416.48 +154.72 +0.70%

Hang Seng 29,818.07 +557.76 +1.91%

Shanghai 3,411.09 +18.69 +0.55%

S&P/ASX 5,963.52 +17.85 +0.30%

FTSE 7,412.05 +22.59 +0.31%

CAC 5,380.62 +40.17 +0.75%

DAX 13,187.63 +128.97 +0.99%

Crude $56.45 (+0.05%)

Gold $1,276.50 (+0.09%)

(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)

Deere (DE) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Robert W. Baird; target $155

EURUSD: 1.1700 (EUR 615m) 1.1750 (400m)

USDJPY: 112.00 (1.1bln) 112.20-25 (695m) 113.25 (460m) 115.00 ($950m)

GBPUSD: 1.3150 (GBP 280m)

AUDUSD: None of note

USDCAD: 1.2700 (USD 320m) 1.2750 (1.52bln) 1.2900 (580m)

Following two months of increases, wholesale sales declined 1.2% to $62.0 billion in September, the second decline of 2017. Decreases were recorded in five of seven subsectors, led by the personal and household goods and the food, beverage and tobacco subsectors.

In volume terms, wholesale sales declined 1.1%.

In the third quarter, current dollar wholesale sales increased 1.5% while constant dollar sales increased 2.0%. For both current and constant dollars, this marked the sixth consecutive quarterly increase.

The personal and household goods subsector reported the largest decline in dollar terms in September, dropping 4.8% to $8.6 billion. This was the first decline since November 2016 and more than offsets the 3.2% increase in August. All but one industry in this subsector reported declines in September, led by the textile, clothing and footwear industry.

• Believes an agreement can be reached between N.Irish parties

• Wants to see more talks next week between N.Irish parties

Anna Leach, CBI Head of Economic Intelligence, said:

"UK manufacturers are once more performing strongly as global growth and the lower level of sterling continue to support demand. Output growth has picked up again, and export order books match the highest in more than 20 years.

"Nonetheless, uncertainty continues to hold back investment and cost pressures remain strong. Manufacturers will be hoping the Budget brings some relief from the business rates burden in particular."

• Board paying more attention to weak growth in wages, household incomes

• This means that a continuation of accommodative monetary policy is appropriate

• But still short of full employment, inflation to remain below average for some time yet

• More confident that economy will pick up as expected, weakening case for lower rates

• Household consumption held back by weak income growth, high debt

• Gentle upswing in business investment underway, forward indicators suggest will

Public sector net borrowing (excluding public sector banks) decreased by £4.1 billion to £38.5 billion in the current financial year-to-date (April 2017 to October 2017), compared with the same period in 2016; this is the lowest year-to-date net borrowing since 2007.

Public sector net borrowing (excluding public sector banks) increased by £0.5 billion to £8.0 billion in October 2017, compared with October 2016.

The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) forecast that public sector net borrowing (excluding public sector banks) will be £58.3 billion during the financial year ending March 2018, an increase of £12.5 billion on the outturn net borrowing in the financial year ending March 2017.

Public sector net debt (excluding public sector banks) was £1,790.4 billion at the end of October 2017, equivalent to 87.2% of gross domestic product (GDP), an increase of £147.8 billion (or 4.5 percentage points as a ratio of GDP) on October 2016.

Foreign trade continued to grow in October 2017, exports are up by 5% on a working day adjusted basis and imports by 7%. Against- However, growth slowed slightly over the previous months. In the Trade balance resulted in a surplus of CHF 2.4 billion.

Compared to the same month of the previous year, exports increased in October 2017 on a working day adjusted basis by 5.0% (real: + 2.3%). Relative to September 2017, exports declined seasonally adjusted, however, fell by 2.0%. As a result, export growth has slowed down the record level in May of this year slightly.

EUR/USD: 1.1700(613 m), 1.1750(396 m)

GBP/USD: 1.3150(278 m)

USD/JPY: 112.00(1.08 b), 112.20-25(692 m), 113.25(456 m), 115.00(948 m)

USD/CAD: 1.2700(320 m), 1.2750(1.52 b), 1.2900(580 m)

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1844 (6190)

$1.1815 (3058)

$1.1777 (3832)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1731

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1684 (3373)

$1.1657 (6038)

$1.1623 (6119)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date December, 8 is 157692 contracts (according to data from November, 20) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1500 (8429);

GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.3338 (2748)

$1.3316 (3353)

$1.3299 (1769)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.3263

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.3232 (852)

$1.3201 (587)

$1.3182 (1122)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date December, 8 is 41739 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3200 (3353);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date December, 8 is 40816 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3000 (3981);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.98 versus 0.98 from the previous trading day according to data from November, 20

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

• Yellen would be eligible to continue as a Fed governor until 2024 even after her term as chair expires in february

European stocks finished higher Monday, with German equities recovering following the collapse of talks to form a coalition government for the eurozone's largest economy.

The U.S. stock market closed higher Monday, with the Dow leading the gains as investors continued to focus on corporate earnings and prospects for tax cuts.

Asian stocks edged higher on Tuesday as investors took heart from further evidence of strength in the global economy, while the dollar hovered near a one-week high against its peers thanks to higher U.S. yields and a floundering euro.

• Local labour market had been surprisingly strong, above-average jobs growth likely to continue

• Housing market had eased in all major cities, still relatively strong in Melbourne

• Noted importance of data and "evidence-based policymaking" in lifting productivity

• Expected gdp growth of around 3 pct over next few years, subdued productivity

• "Considerable uncertainty" on how quickly wages might pick up, add to inflation

• Competitive pressures on retail margins and costs expected to last for some while

• Pass-through to inflation could be delayed by many factors including retail competition

• Any further rise in a$ would slow expected pick-up in inflation, economy

• Board discussed global trend of wages growth lagging unemployment