CFD Markets News and Forecasts — 20-03-2018

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20.03.2018
23:34
Currencies. Daily history for March 20’2018:


raw materials

closing price

% change

Oil

63.70

+2.53%

Gold

1,311.30

-0.49%

23:31
Currencies. Daily history for March 20’2018:


index

closing price

change items

% change

Nikkei

-99.93

21380.97

-0.47%

TOPIX

-3.68

1716.29

-0.21%

Hang Seng

+36.17

31549.93

+0.11%

CSI 300

+3.45

4077.70

+0.08%

Euro Stoxx 50

+17.29

3412.08

+0.51%

DAX

+90.31

12307.33

+0.74%

CAC 40

+29.59

5252.43

+0.57%

DJIA

+116.36

24727.27

+0.47%

S&P 500

+4.02

2716.94

+0.15%

NASDAQ

+20.06

7364.30

+0.27%

23:30
Currencies. Daily history for March 20’2018:


Pare

Closed

% change

EUR/USD

$1,2243

-0,74%

GBP/USD

$1,4000

-0,18%

USD/CHF

Chf0,95635

+0,53%

USD/JPY

Y106,52

+0,47%

EUR/JPY

Y130,42

-0,28%

GBP/JPY

Y149,122

+0,28%

AUD/USD

$0,7682

-0,40%

NZD/USD

$0,7173

-0,92%

USD/CAD

C$1,30722

-0,06%

23:02
Schedule for today, Wednesday, March 21’2018 (GMT0)






Time

Region

Event

Period

Previous

Forecast

01:30

Australia

Leading Index

February

-0.2%


02:00

Japan

Bank holiday




11:30

United Kingdom

PSNB, bln

February

11.62


11:30

United Kingdom

Average earnings ex bonuses, 3 m/y

January

2.5%

2.6%

11:30

United Kingdom

Average Earnings, 3m/y

January

2.5%

2.6%

11:30

United Kingdom

ILO Unemployment Rate

January

4.4%

4.4%

11:30

United Kingdom

Claimant count

February

-7.2

-5

13:00

United Kingdom

CBI industrial order books balance

March

10

9

14:30

USA

Current account, bln

IV quarter

-100.6

-125

16:00

Switzerland

SNB Quarterly Bulletin




16:00

USA

Existing Home Sales


5.38

5.4

16:30

USA

Crude Oil Inventories

February

5.022

3.182

20:00

USA

Fed Interest Rate Decision

March

1.5%

1.75%

20:00

USA

FOMC Economic Projections




20:00

USA

FOMC Statement




20:30

USA

Federal Reserve Press Conference




22:00

New Zealand

RBNZ Interest Rate Decision


1.75%

1.75%

22:00

New Zealand

RBNZ Rate Statement



21:45
New Zealand: Visitor Arrivals, February 11.4%
19:00
DJIA +0.68% 24,777.07 +166.16 Nasdaq +0.36% 7,370.37 +26.13 S&P +0.29% 2,720.76 +7.84
17:00
European stocks closed: FTSE 100 +18.34 7061.27 +0.26% DAX +90.31 12307.33 +0.74% CAC 40 +29.59 5252.43 +0.57%
16:14
Wall Street. Major U.S. stock-indexes higher

Major U.S. stock-indexes rose on Tuesday, underpinned by gains in energy stocks on the back on a jump in oil prices. At the same time, the tech sector struggled to keep pace as Facebook (FB; -5.2%) extended Monday's declines, after Bloomberg reported the U.S. Federal Trade Commission is probing the company for use of personal data.

Most of Dow stocks in positive area (22 of 30). Top gainer - The Boeing Co. (BA, +1.64%). Top loser - General Electric Co. (GE, -2.45%).

Most of S&P sectors in positive area. Top gainer - Basic Materials (+0.9%). Top loser - Technology (-0.4%).


At the moment:

Index/commodity

Last

Today's Change, points

Today's Change, %

Dow

24749.00

+58.00

+0.23%

S&P 500

2720.75

-2.00

-0.07%

Nasdaq 100

6893.25

-21.00

-0.30%

Crude Oil

63.60

+1.47

+2.37%

Gold

1310.80

-7.00

-0.53%

U.S. 10yr

2.88%

+0,04

+1.20%

15:15
Russian deputy foreign minister Ryabkov says hopes Putin's election victory will convince U.S. politicians to stop trying to isolate Russia - RIA
15:00
Eurozone: Consumer Confidence, March 0.1 (forecast 0.1)
14:07
Canadian wholesale sales edged up 0.1% to $63.3 billion in January

Sales were up in four of seven subsectors, accounting for 66% of total wholesale sales.

Increases in the food, beverage and tobacco and the machinery, equipment and supplies subsectors were almost completely offset by declines in the building material and supplies and the motor vehicle and parts subsectors.

In volume terms, wholesale sales increased 0.5%.

The food, beverage and tobacco subsector rose 3.1% to $12.3 billion in January, following a 1.8% decline in December. This was the largest monthly dollar increase since May 2016. Sales were up in two of three industries, led by the food industry (+3.6%).

13:34
U.S. Stocks open: Dow +0.41% Nasdaq +0.16%, S&P +0.27%
13:28
Before the bell: S&P futures +0.01%, NASDAQ futures -0.08%

U.S. stock-index futures were flat on Tuesday, as Facebook-led selloff in technology sector stopped, and investors turned their attention to the upcoming meeting of the U.S. Federal Reserve and potential new trade tariffs from the Trump administration targeting China.

Global Stocks:


Index/commodity

Last

Today's Change, points

Today's Change, %

Nikkei

21,380.97

-99.93

-0.47%

Hang Seng

31,549.93

+36.17

+0.11%

Shanghai

3,290.46

+11.21

+0.34%

S&P/ASX

5,936.40

-23.00

-0.39%

FTSE

7,073.50

+30.57

+0.43%

CAC

5,235.85

+13.01

+0.25%

DAX

12,253.73

+36.71

+0.30%

Crude

63.23


+1.77%

Gold

1,310.40


-0.56%

12:44
Wall Street. Stocks before the bell

(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)


Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ

AMZN

1,551.51

6.58(0.43%)

42631

Apple Inc.

AAPL

175.87

0.57(0.33%)

108799

AT&T Inc

T

36.84

0.26(0.71%)

2532

Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE

ABX

12.18

-0.08(-0.65%)

14729

Boeing Co

BA

332.48

0.72(0.22%)

6863

Caterpillar Inc

CAT

153.29

1.14(0.75%)

1690

Chevron Corp

CVX

114.4

0.51(0.45%)

2400

Cisco Systems Inc

CSCO

44.43

0.16(0.36%)

12048

Citigroup Inc., NYSE

C

73.09

0.39(0.54%)

14879

Deere & Company, NYSE

DE

160.5

0.97(0.61%)

115

Exxon Mobil Corp

XOM

74.48

0.33(0.45%)

8232

Facebook, Inc.

FB

171.06

-1.50(-0.87%)

656191

FedEx Corporation, NYSE

FDX

251.31

1.70(0.68%)

3905

Ford Motor Co.

F

11.05

0.04(0.36%)

2665

Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE

FCX

18.2

0.15(0.83%)

10977

General Electric Co

GE

14.08

0.01(0.07%)

97504

General Motors Company, NYSE

GM

37.13

0.12(0.32%)

1982

Goldman Sachs

GS

264

1.47(0.56%)

2175

Google Inc.

GOOG

1,104.40

4.58(0.42%)

4879

Home Depot Inc

HD

177.32

0.22(0.12%)

310

Intel Corp

INTC

51.09

0.26(0.51%)

14644

International Business Machines Co...

IBM

157.89

0.54(0.34%)

2993

JPMorgan Chase and Co

JPM

115

0.47(0.41%)

22285

McDonald's Corp

MCD

160.18

1.17(0.74%)

563

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

93.31

0.42(0.45%)

33583

Procter & Gamble Co

PG

78.79

0.13(0.17%)

781

Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ

SBUX

58.5

0.20(0.34%)

857

Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ

TSLA

314.55

0.99(0.32%)

15012

Twitter, Inc., NYSE

TWTR

35.15

0.17(0.49%)

23659

Verizon Communications Inc

VZ

48.39

0.08(0.17%)

2201

Visa

V

123.7

0.49(0.40%)

3309

Wal-Mart Stores Inc

WMT

87.7

0.25(0.29%)

944

Walt Disney Co

DIS

102.05

0.57(0.56%)

643

Yandex N.V., NASDAQ

YNDX

42.4

0.19(0.45%)

910

12:41
Analyst coverage initiations before the market open

Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) initiated with a Buy at Goldman; target $23

Alcoa (AA) initiated with a Neutral at Goldman; target $52

12:30
Canada: Wholesale Sales, m/m, January 0.1% (forecast 0.1%)
11:56
Spain's 10-year government bond yield hits more than 14 months low at 1.296, down 3 bps on day
11:56
Bank of Spain raises economic growth forecasts to 2.7 pct in 2018 y/y, 2.3 pct in 2019 and 2.1 pct in 2020

  • Sees unemployment rate falling to 11 pct in 2020

  • 0.7 pct q/q growth in the first quarter

  • Improved forecasts supported by a moderation in political uncertainties surrounding Catalonia

10:53
Zew says concerns over U.S.-led global trade conflict have made German investors more cautious

  • Says strong euro is also hampering economic outlook for Germany

  • Outlook for German economy is still largely positive despite risks

10:13
BoJ’s Amamiya: Doesn’t Rule Out Adjusting Rates Before Reaching Inflation Target @LiveSquawk
10:12
The ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment for Germany decreased sharply in March

The index has fallen by 12.7 points compared to the previous month, now standing at 5.1 points (long-term average: 23.6 points). The percentage of experts anticipating a decline over the coming six months has risen by 7.2 per cent to 12.9 per cent.

"Concerns over a US-led global trade conflict have made the experts more cautious in their prognoses. The strong euro is also hampering the economic outlook for Germany, a nation reliant on exports. Combined with the experts' continued positive assessment of the current situation, however, the outlook is still largely positive," comments ZEW President Professor Achim Wambach.

10:00
Eurozone: ZEW Economic Sentiment, March 13.4 (forecast 28.1)
10:00
Germany: ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment, March 5.1 (forecast 13.1)
09:44
The rate of UK inflation for goods leaving the factory gate was 2.6% on the year to February 2018, down from 2.8%

The headline rate of inflation for goods leaving the factory gate (output prices) was 2.6% on the year to February 2018, down from 2.8% in January 2018.

Prices for materials and fuels (input prices) rose 3.4% on the year to February 2018, down from 4.5% in January 2018.

All industries provided upward contributions to output annual inflation; the largest contribution was made by food products.

Crude oil continued to provide the largest upward contribution to the input annual inflation, despite providing the largest downward contribution on the month.

09:41
UK CPI rose less than expected in February

The Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers' housing costs (CPIH) 12-month inflation rate was 2.5% in February 2018, down from 2.7% in January 2018.

The largest downward contributions to the change in the rate came from transport and food prices, which rose by less than a year ago.

Falling prices for accommodation services also had a downward effect.

Rising prices for footwear produced the largest, partially offsetting, upward contribution.

The Consumer Prices Index (CPI) 12-month rate was 2.7% in February 2018, down from 3.0% in January 2018.

09:31
United Kingdom: HICP, Y/Y, February 2.7% (forecast 2.8%)
09:31
United Kingdom: HICP, m/m, February 0.4% (forecast 0.5%)
09:31
United Kingdom: HICP ex EFAT, Y/Y, February 2.4% (forecast 2.5%)
09:31
United Kingdom: Producer Price Index - Input (YoY) , February 3.4% (forecast 3.8%)
09:30
United Kingdom: Producer Price Index - Output (YoY) , February 2.6% (forecast 2.7%)
09:30
United Kingdom: Retail Price Index, m/m, February 0.8% (forecast 0.8%)
09:30
United Kingdom: Retail prices, Y/Y, February 3.6% (forecast 3.7%)
09:30
United Kingdom: Producer Price Index - Input (MoM), February -1.1% (forecast -0.9%)
09:30
United Kingdom: Producer Price Index - Output (MoM), February 0% (forecast 0.1%)
07:46
Options levels on tuesday, March 20, 2017 EURUSD GBPUSD

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.2505 (3394)

$1.2473 (2006)

$1.2446 (844)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.2349

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.2271 (4124)

$1.2230 (3661)

$1.2187 (4014)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date April, 6 is 97944 contracts (according to data from March, 19) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2150 (5485);


GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.4238 (2482)

$1.4170 (2572)

$1.4126 (307)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.4054

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.3937 (1340)

$1.3902 (1129)

$1.3864 (3495)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date April, 6 is 31182 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,4200 (2721);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date April, 6 is 30353 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3800 (3602);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.97 versus 0.96 from the previous trading day according to data from March,19

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

07:17
Australian house price index rose more than expected in Q4

Changes to residential property price index:

  • The price index for residential properties for the weighted average of the eight capital cities rose 1.0% in the December quarter 2017. The index rose 5.0% through the year to the December quarter 2017.

  • The capital city residential property price indexes rose in Melbourne (+2.6%), Perth (+1.1%), Brisbane (+0.9%), Hobart (+3.9%), Canberra (+1.7%) and Adelaide (+0.6%) and fell in Sydney (-0.1%) and Darwin (-1.5%).

  • Annually, residential property prices rose in Hobart (+13.1%), Melbourne (+10.2%), Canberra (+5.7%), Sydney (+3.8%), Adelaide (+3.6%) and Brisbane (+2.1%) and fell in Darwin (-6.3%) and Perth (-1.7%).

Total value of the dwelling stock:

  • The total value of residential dwellings in Australia was $6,869,006.7m at the end of the December quarter 2017, rising $92,858.9m over the quarter.

  • The mean price of residential dwellings rose $6,500 to $686,700 and the number of residential dwellings rose by 40,400 to 10,003,100 in the December quarter 2017.

07:14
Premier Li Keqiang promises China's economy 'will open even wider,' Beijing will eliminate import tariffs on drugs @AP
07:13
Eurostoxx 50 futures up 0.45 pct, DAX futures up 0.51 pct, FTSE futures up 0.50 pct, CAC 40 futures up 0.29 pct
07:10
Swiss economy expected to continue its dynamic recovery and anticipates strong GDP growth of 2.4% in 2018

Economic forecasts by the Federal Government's Expert Group - spring 2018:

The Federal Government's Expert Group expects the economy to continue its dynamic recovery and anticipates strong GDP growth of 2.4% in 2018. The buoyant international economy is supporting foreign trade, while a favourable investment climate is stimulating domestic demand. Amid a gradual slowdown in the global economy, GDP growth is expected to moderate to a solid 2.0% in 2019. The promising upturn is to be accompanied by a further noticeable brightening on the labour market and a moderate rise in inflation.

07:08
German producer price index declined 0.1% in February

In February 2018 the index of producer prices for industrial products rose by 1.8 compared with the corresponding month of the preceding year. In January the annual rate of change all over had been 2.1%, as reported by the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis).

Compared with the preceding month January the overall index fell slightly by 0.1% in February 2018 (+0.5% in January 2018 and 0.2% in December 2017).

In February 2018 the price indices of all main industrial groups increased compared with February 2017: Prices of intermediate rose goods by 2.8%. Energy prices were up 1.8%, though the development of prices of the different energy carriers diverged. Prices of electricity increased by 4.3%, whereas prices of natural gas (distribution) decreased by 0.1% and prices of petroleum products by 0.2%. Prices of non-durable consumer goods and of durable consumer goods rose by 1.4% each, whereas prices of capital goods increased by 1.1%.

07:03
RBA: U.S. fiscal policy to be significantly more expansionary, add to inflation there
07:02
RBA repeats further progress on policy goals likely to be only gradual

  • CPI inflation expected to rise to a little above 2 pct this year

  • GDP growth expected to exceed potential growth in 2018

  • A$TWI still within range of past couple of years

  • Strong employment had not yet led to a "definitive pick-up" in wages growth

  • Repeats rising A$ would slow pick up in economic growth, inflation

  • Housing markets in Sydney and Melbourne had slowed, stable elsewhere

07:01
Germany: Producer Price Index (YoY), February 1.8% (forecast 2%)
07:01
Germany: Producer Price Index (MoM), February -0.1% (forecast 0.1%)
07:00
Switzerland: Trade Balance, February 3.138 (forecast 2.641)
06:53
RBA minutes: low rates playing a part in lowering unemployment, lifting inflation
05:16
Japan: Coincident Index, January 114.9 (forecast 114)
05:01
Japan: Leading Economic Index , January 195.6 (forecast 104.8)
00:30
Australia: House Price Index (QoQ), Quarter IV 1% (forecast 0.1%)

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