CFD Markets News and Forecasts — 18-09-2017

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18.09.2017
22:28
Commodities. Daily history for Sep 18’2017:

(raw materials / closing price /% change)

Oil 49.93 +0.04%

Gold 1,311.00 +0.02%

22:27
Stocks. Daily history for Sep 18’2017:

(index / closing price / change items /% change)

TOPIX +6.81 1638.94 +0.42%

Hang Seng +352.18 28159.77 +1.27%

CSI 300 +11.84 3843.14 +0.31%

Euro Stoxx 50 +11.19 3526.74 +0.32%

FTSE 100 +37.81 7253.28 +0.52%

DAX +40.58 12559.39 +0.32%

CAC 40 +15.41 5229.32 +0.30%

DJIA +63.01 22331.35 +0.28%

S&P 500 +3.64 2503.87 +0.15%

NASDAQ +6.17 6454.64 +0.10%

S&P/TSX +63.64 15236.67 +0.42%

22:26
Currencies. Daily history for Sep 18’2017:

(pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,9498 +0,33%

GBP/USD $1,3495 -0,68%

USD/CHF Chf0,96124 +0,20%

USD/JPY Y111,54 +0,65%

EUR/JPY Y133,30 +0,68%

GBP/JPY Y150,516 -0,03%

AUD/USD $0,7958 -0,53%

NZD/USD $0,7257 -0,42%

USD/CAD C$1,22895 +0,79%

22:03
Schedule for today, Tuesday, Sep 19’2017 (GMT0)

01:30 Australia House Price Index (QoQ) Quarter II 2.2%

01:30 Australia RBA Meeting's Minutes

08:00 Eurozone Current account, unadjusted, bln July 28.1

09:00 Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment September 29.3

09:00 Germany ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment September 10 12.5

12:30 Canada Manufacturing Shipments (MoM) July -1.8% -1.8%

12:30 U.S. Housing Starts August 1155 1180

12:30 U.S. Building Permits August 1230 1220

12:30 U.S. Import Price Index August 0.1% 0.3%

12:30 U.S. Current account, bln Quarter II -116.8 -115.0

22:45 New Zealand Current Account Quarter II 0.24

23:50 Japan Trade Balance Total, bln August 419 93.9

22:00
New Zealand: Westpac Consumer Sentiment, Quarter III 112.4
20:10
Major US stock indexes finished trading above the zero mark

Major US stock indexes rose slightly, reaching new highs in the course of trading, thanks to financial, technological and industrial shares. At the same time, investors were cautious in expectation of signals from the Federal Reserve about their future path on monetary policy.

The FOMC meeting will begin tomorrow, and its results will be announced on Wednesday. This meeting will be extended - it will be accompanied by a renewal of economic forecasts and a press conference of the chairman. At the upcoming meeting, with a high degree of probability, we can expect the rates to remain unchanged. But the main thing in the meeting will not be this. Markets expect that in September the Fed will announce the beginning of the process of normalizing its balance sheet, which representatives of the regulator have been saying for several months.

In addition, as it became known today, the housing market index weakened in September. The confidence of home builders in the market for newly built single-family houses fell by three points to 64 in September from the revised August reading of 67 according to the housing market index (HMI) from the National Association of House Builders (NAHB) / Wells Fargo. In September, all three components of HMI suffered losses, but remained at healthy levels. The component measuring current sales conditions fell by 4 points to 70, and the sales forecast index in the next 6 months decreased by 4 points to 74. The component measuring consumer traffic decreased by 1 point, to 47.

Components of the DOW index finished trading mixed (15 in positive territory, 15 in negative territory). The leader of growth was shares of General Electric Company (GE, + 2.59%). Outsider were the shares of Apple Inc. (AAPL, -0.61%).

Most sectors of the S & P index recorded an increase. The industrial goods sector grew most (+ 1.1%). The utilities sector showed the greatest decrease (-0.9%).

At closing:

DJIA + 0.28% 22,331.35 +63.01

Nasdaq + 0.10% 6,454.64 +6.17

S & P + 0.15% 2,503.88 +3.65

20:00
U.S.: Net Long-term TIC Flows , July 1.3
20:00
U.S.: Total Net TIC Flows, July -7.3
19:00
DJIA +0.30% 22,335.02 +66.68 Nasdaq 0.00% 6,448.47 0.00 S&P +0.07% 2,501.97 +1.74
16:00
European stocks closed: FTSE 100 +37.81 7253.28 +0.52% DAX +40.58 12559.39 +0.32% CAC 40 +15.41 5229.32 +0.30%
15:04
BoE's Carney reiterates that any rate hikes are expected to be gradual and limited

  • Some of the disinflationary shock to demand has been deferred while most inflationary channels have begun to appear

  • Says main question about Brexit's impact on inflation is extent to which it has been brought forward

14:11
Builder confidence in the US market fell three points to a level of 64 in September

Builder confidence in the market for newly-built single-family homes fell three points to a level of 64 in September from a downwardly revised August reading of 67 on the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI).

"The recent hurricanes have intensified our members' concerns about the availability of labor and the cost of building materials," said NAHB Chairman Granger MacDonald, a home builder and developer from Kerrville, Texas. "Once the rebuilding process is underway, I expect builder confidence will return to the high levels we saw this spring."

"Despite this month's drop, builder confidence is still on very firm ground," said NAHB Chief Economist Robert Dietz. "With ongoing job creation, economic growth and rising consumer confidence, we should see the housing market continue to recover at a gradual, steady pace throughout the rest of the year."

14:05
Ukraine revises pricing for US dollar 15-year amortising benchmark bond to 7.625% area
14:00
U.S.: NAHB Housing Market Index, September 64 (forecast 67)
13:54
White House official says 'we are withdrawing from the Paris agreement unless we can reengage on terms more favorable to the United States' - Statement
13:44
Forex option contracts rolling off today at 14.00 GMT:

EURUSD: 1.1855 (EUR 325m) 1.1970 (330m)

USDJPY: 110.00 (USD 675m) 111.00-05 (795m) 111.20 (495m)

13:33
U.S. Stocks open: Dow +0.14%, Nasdaq +0.14%, S&P +0.09%
13:27
Before the bell: S&P futures +0.16%, NASDAQ futures +0.09%

U.S. stock-index futures were slightly higher on Monday, indicating a continuation of last week's winning streak, as investor appetite for riskier assets increased on fading concerns over North Korea and ahead of FOMC meeting.


Global Stocks:

Nikkei -

Hang Seng 28,159.77 +352.18 +1.27%

Shanghai 3,363.22 +9.60 +0.29%

S&P/ASX 5,720.60 +25.58 +0.45%

FTSE 7,246.26 +30.79 +0.43%

CAC 5,226.00 +12.09 +0.23%

DAX 12,552.95 +34.14 +0.27%

Crude $49.59 (-0.60%)

Gold $1,315.30 (-0.75%)

13:15
Foreign investment in Canadian securities amounted to $24.0 billion in July

Foreign investment in Canadian securities amounted to $24.0 billion in July, led by record acquisitions of Canadian bonds. At the same time, Canadian investors reduced their holdings of foreign securities by $1.8 billion, following strong acquisitions in June.

As a result, Canada's international transactions in securities generated a net inflow of funds into the Canadian economy of $25.8 billion in July. Foreign investment in Canadian securities has exceeded Canadian investment in foreign securities by $86.2 billion since the beginning of 2017, led by foreign acquisitions of Canadian private corporate instruments.

12:52
Wall Street. Stocks before the bell

(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)


Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ

AMZN

989.8

3.01(0.31%)

12173

Apple Inc.

AAPL

160.12

0.24(0.15%)

119063

AT&T Inc

T

37.12

0.02(0.05%)

10501

Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE

ABX

17.03

-0.27(-1.56%)

37032

Boeing Co

BA

250.5

1.50(0.60%)

5412

Caterpillar Inc

CAT

123

1.63(1.34%)

16048

Chevron Corp

CVX

114.8

0.17(0.15%)

1133

Citigroup Inc., NYSE

C

69.19

0.15(0.22%)

7409

Deere & Company, NYSE

DE

119.2

0.19(0.16%)

913

Exxon Mobil Corp

XOM

79.97

-0.10(-0.12%)

656

Facebook, Inc.

FB

172.2

0.56(0.33%)

58768

FedEx Corporation, NYSE

FDX

215.04

0.21(0.10%)

1548

Ford Motor Co.

F

11.65

0.03(0.26%)

18306

Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE

FCX

13.97

0.09(0.65%)

25504

General Electric Co

GE

23.97

0.04(0.17%)

13842

General Motors Company, NYSE

GM

38.8

-0.08(-0.21%)

220

Goldman Sachs

GS

225.75

0.53(0.24%)

5259

Google Inc.

GOOG

921.12

0.83(0.09%)

2158

Home Depot Inc

HD

158.6

0.20(0.13%)

2036

HONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL INC.

HON

139.3

0.35(0.25%)

794

Intel Corp

INTC

37.05

0.05(0.14%)

9022

International Business Machines Co...

IBM

145.13

0.31(0.21%)

3599

Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

134.95

0.50(0.37%)

1030

JPMorgan Chase and Co

JPM

91.7

0.08(0.09%)

150

McDonald's Corp

MCD

157

0.08(0.05%)

1227

Merck & Co Inc

MRK

66.15

-0.01(-0.02%)

522

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

75.29

-0.02(-0.03%)

13392

Nike

NKE

53.88

0.01(0.02%)

5709

Pfizer Inc

PFE

35.32

-0.04(-0.11%)

1852

Procter & Gamble Co

PG

93.57

0.30(0.32%)

480

Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ

SBUX

54.75

0.08(0.15%)

2369

Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ

TSLA

380.9

1.09(0.29%)

37741

Travelers Companies Inc

TRV

121

0.30(0.25%)

150

United Technologies Corp

UTX

113.7

0.62(0.55%)

3440

Verizon Communications Inc

VZ

47.97

0.11(0.23%)

1260

Visa

V

105.5

0.20(0.19%)

3045

Walt Disney Co

DIS

98.73

0.21(0.21%)

1746

12:48
Upgrades before the market open

Caterpillar (CAT) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS

12:30
Canada: Foreign Securities Purchases, July 23.95
11:38
Oliver Robbins, top official at Britain's Brexit ministry, has quit - Evening Standard newspaper
10:12
ECB's Hansson: ECB should discuss making guidance symmetric, standing ready to both increase or decrease asset buys if needed
09:22
ECB's Hansson in Reuters interview says Bank's next move should be broader recalibration of stimulus, not just change in QE length, volume
09:06
Euro area inflation was 1.5% in August 2017, up from 1.3% in July

Euro area annual inflation was 1.5% in August 2017, up from 1.3% in July 2017. In August 2016 the rate was 0.2%. European Union annual inflation was 1.7% in August 2017, up from 1.5% in July 2017. A year earlier the rate was 0.3%. These figures come from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. The lowest annual rates were registered in Ireland (0.4%), Cyprus (0.5%), Greece and Romania (both 0.6%). The highest annual rates were recorded in Lithuania (4.6%), Estonia (4.2%), and Latvia (3.2%). Compared with July 2017, annual inflation rose in twenty Member States, remained stable in five and fell in three.

The largest upward impacts to the euro area annual inflation came from fuels for transport (+0.16 percentage points), accommodation services (+0.10 pp) and air transport (+0.06 pp), while telecommunication (-0.12 pp), vegetables (-0.05 pp) and social protection (-0.04 pp) had the biggest downward impacts

09:00
Eurozone: Harmonized CPI ex EFAT, Y/Y, August 1.2% (forecast 1.2%)
09:00
Eurozone: Harmonized CPI, Y/Y, August 1.5% (forecast 1.5%)
09:00
Eurozone: Harmonized CPI, August 0.3% (forecast 0.3%)
08:56
Italian trade balance surplus better than expected in July

In July 2017 seasonally-adjusted data, compared to June 2017, decreased by 1.4% for outgoing flows and increased by 0.9% for incoming flows. Exports decreased for non EU countries (-1.8%) and for EU countries (-1.1%). Imports increased for EU countries (+2.4%) and decreased for non EU countries (-1.4%). Over the last three months, seasonally-adjusted data, in comparison with the previous three months, showed a stationary growth for exports and an increase of 1.0% for imports.

In July 2017, compared with the same month of the previous year, exports and imports increased (+5.1% and +10.5% respectively). Outgoing flows increased by 6.2% for EU countries and by 3.8% for non EU countries. Incoming flows increased by 12.1% for EU area and by 8.2% for non EU area. The trade balance in July amounted to +6,560 million Euros (+4,532 million Euros for non EU area and +2,028 million Euros for EU countries).

08:53
PBoC Is Said To Draft Plan For Foreign Access To The Finance Sector @LiveSquawk
07:16
China commerce ministry says hopes E.U. will terminate anti-dumping, anti-subsidy measures against China solar panels completely

  • Says EU decision on tariffs against China solar panels a positive step for market normalisation

06:49
Positive start of trading expected on the main European stock markets: DAX + 0.4%, CAC 40 + 0.2%, FTSE 100 + 0.4%
06:34
Australian new motor vehicle sales flat in August

The August 2017 trend estimate (100,809) increased by 0.3% when compared with July 2017.

When comparing national trend estimates for August 2017 with July 2017, sales for Sports utility vehicles and Other vehicles increased by 0.8% and 0.7% respectively. By contrast, Passenger vehicles decreased by 0.4%.

The largest upward movement across all states and territories, on a trend basis, was in the Northern Territory (0.9%), continuing an upward trend that began in January 2017.

The largest downward movement across all states and territories, on a trend basis, was in Tasmania (-0.6%).

06:31
Trump says more confident than ever that options in dealing with North Korean threat are effective and overwhelming
06:25
U.S. crude oil futures rise to $50/barrel as refinery demand recovers from hurricane Harvey, rig count falls
05:29
Global Stocks

European stocks finished with modest losses Friday, led by a sharp drop in U.K. stocks that followed signs that the Bank of England is getting ready to hike interest rates soon. The Stoxx Europe 600 index SXXP, -0.28% ended 0.3% lower at 380.71, after closing at its highest level since Aug. 8 on Thursday.

U.S. stock benchmarks finished in the green on Friday, posting sharp weekly gains, with a big assist from rallying telecommunication and bank shares as Wall Street shook off North Korea's latest missile launch. The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, +0.29% rose 64.86 points, to 0.3%, to close at 22,268.34, logging its fourth straight record close and its sixth consecutive day of gains.

Asia-Pacific equity markets were higher early Monday, with Australia's benchmark index rebounding from three straight sessions of declines, led by strength in financial stocks. The Dow Jones Industrial Average on Friday posted its biggest weekly gain of the year.

04:46
Options levels on monday, September 16, 2017 EURUSD GBPUSD

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.2048 (3170)

$1.2022 (1485)

$1.2000 (494)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1943

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1881 (3147)

$1.1850 (4460)

$1.1815 (2592)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date October, 6 is 96363 contracts (according to data from September, 15) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1900 (4460);


GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.3732 (998)

$1.3708 (844)

$1.3671 (1123)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.3593

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.3476 (215)

$1.3450 (101)

$1.3420 (342)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date October, 6 is 28684 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3300 (2587);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date September, 8 is 30886 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2950 (2496);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.08 versus 1.04 from the previous trading day according to data from September, 15

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

01:46
Australia: New Motor Vehicle Sales (MoM) , August 0.0%
01:46
Australia: New Motor Vehicle Sales (YoY) , August 1.7%

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