CFD Markets News and Forecasts — 17-11-2017

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17.11.2017
21:11
Major US stock indexes finished trading in negative territory

The main US stock indexes slightly decreased, as investors are skeptical of the Republicans' efforts to adopt a tax reform.

Meanwhile, some support for the indices was provided by data on the US housing market. The Ministry of Trade reported that in October the number of new foundations had increased by 13.7% to a seasonally adjusted level of 1.29 million units. The September valuation was revised to 1.135 million units. Economists were expecting 1.18 million units. Permits for construction grew by 5.9% to 1.3 million units. A large double-digit increase occurred in both the South and the Midwest, some of which were associated with the recovery from hurricanes. On a percentage basis, the Northeast was in fact the largest engine, an increase of 42%, but this is the smallest region in terms of activity. The laying of new foundations for one family increased by 5.3%, while the laying of new foundations for five or more units jumped by 37.4%.

Oil prices jumped by more than 2%, but the current week still ended with losses due to fears of excess supply, as signs of increased production in the US were compounded by doubts that Russia would support the extension of OPEC's deal to limit production.

Most components of the DOW index finished trading in the red (20 of 30). Leader of the growth were shares of NIKE, Inc. (NKE, + 3.20%). Outsider were shares of Intel Corporation (INTC, -2.02%).

Most sectors of the S & P recorded a fall. The utilities sector showed the greatest decrease (-0.5%). The conglomerate sector grew most (+ 0.7%).

At closing:

Dow -0.43% 23,358.10 -100.26

Nasdaq -0.15% 6,782.79 -10.50

S & P-0.26% 2.578.84 -6.80

20:00
DJIA -0.38% 23,369.95 -88.41 Nasdaq -0.07% 6,788.25 -5.05 S&P -0.15% 2,581.84 -3.80
18:01
U.S.: Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count, November 738
17:00
European stocks closed: FTSE 100 -6.26 7380.68 -0.08% DAX -53.49 12993.73 -0.41% CAC 40 -17.22 5319.17 -0.32%
14:49
North Korean envoy tells Reuters no negotiations will take place with United States on nuclear issues as long as U.S.- South Korean military exercises continue
14:34
U.S. Stocks open: Dow -0.34%, Nasdaq -0.02%, S&P -0.19%
14:29
Before the bell: S&P futures -0.09%, NASDAQ futures +0.03%

U.S. stock-index futures were flat on Friday, a day after solid gains, bolstered by strong earnings and progress on U.S. tax cuts.


Global Stocks:

Nikkei 22,396.80 +45.68 +0.20%

Hang Seng 29,199.04 +180.28 +0.62%

Shanghai 3,382.34 -16.91 -0.50%

S&P/ASX 5,957.25 +13.74 +0.23%

FTSE 7,388.39 +1.45 +0.02%

CAC 5,335.65 -0.74 -0.01%

DAX 13,055.99 +8.77 +0.07%

Crude $56.09 (+1.72%)

Gold $1,283.90 (+0.45%)

14:15
uk100 4h time frame chart

Uk100 has been following a downside trend which we can see on 4-hour time frame chart, however, the price is in a crucial zone to decide the next movement.

As we can see, this last 4hour candle tried to break the downside trend but without success.

On the other hand, we have a relatively important level of support which the price has shown some difficulties in breaking down.

Therefore, we can expect a bearish movement once this support level is broken.

But if the price continues to reject the support level, it is also expected to see a slight correction of previous bearish movement.


13:57
Wall Street. Stocks before the bell

(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)


ALCOA INC.

AA

42

-0.30(-0.71%)

991

Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ

AMZN

1,138.00

0.71(0.06%)

31856

American Express Co

AXP

93.53

-0.03(-0.03%)

512

Apple Inc.

AAPL

170.97

-0.13(-0.08%)

341988

AT&T Inc

T

34.5

-0.02(-0.06%)

7283

Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE

ABX

14

0.08(0.57%)

12684

Boeing Co

BA

262.42

-1.28(-0.49%)

6634

Caterpillar Inc

CAT

136.3

-0.06(-0.04%)

1113

Chevron Corp

CVX

114.65

0.08(0.07%)

1889

Cisco Systems Inc

CSCO

35.73

-0.15(-0.42%)

251957

Citigroup Inc., NYSE

C

71.5

-0.17(-0.24%)

1415

Exxon Mobil Corp

XOM

80.69

0.13(0.16%)

15451

Facebook, Inc.

FB

179.62

0.03(0.02%)

146541

Ford Motor Co.

F

12.03

-0.01(-0.08%)

1261

Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE

FCX

13.52

-0.10(-0.73%)

9131

General Electric Co

GE

18.47

0.22(1.21%)

832832

Goldman Sachs

GS

238.17

-1.20(-0.50%)

3672

Intel Corp

INTC

45.55

-0.10(-0.22%)

1842226

International Business Machines Co...

IBM

148.7

-0.42(-0.28%)

3825

Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

138.59

-0.28(-0.20%)

926

JPMorgan Chase and Co

JPM

98.16

-0.31(-0.31%)

5242

McDonald's Corp

MCD

167.23

-0.86(-0.51%)

3639

Nike

NKE

58.4

1.17(2.04%)

129350

Pfizer Inc

PFE

35.42

-0.14(-0.39%)

3437

Procter & Gamble Co

PG

88.92

-0.33(-0.37%)

3065

Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ

SBUX

56.97

-0.27(-0.47%)

66556

Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ

TSLA

326.2

13.70(4.38%)

534620

The Coca-Cola Co

KO

46.44

-0.11(-0.24%)

3403

Twitter, Inc., NYSE

TWTR

20.38

0.02(0.10%)

14531

UnitedHealth Group Inc

UNH

210.51

-0.62(-0.29%)

1787

Verizon Communications Inc

VZ

44.71

-0.06(-0.13%)

11365

Visa

V

111.15

0.13(0.12%)

22068

Wal-Mart Stores Inc

WMT

99.44

-0.18(-0.18%)

94128

Walt Disney Co

DIS

103.2

-0.40(-0.39%)

4704

Yandex N.V., NASDAQ

YNDX

32.35

-0.05(-0.15%)

100

13:55
Target price changes before the market open

Wal-Mart (WMT) target raised to $92 from $83 at RBC Capital Mkts

Wal-Mart (WMT) target raised to $108 from $96 at Telsey Advisory Group

13:50
Forex option contracts rolling off today at 14.00 GMT:

EUR/USD: 1.1500-02(1.49 млрд), 1.1579-80(1.14 млрд), 1.1700(358 млн), 1.1720-25(880 млн), 1.1750(409 млн), 1.1790-1.1800(655 млн ), 1.1825(694 млн),1.1840-50(646 млн)

GBP/USD: 1.2950(303 млн), 1.3000(311 млн), 1.3300(640 млн)

USD/JPY: 111.00(494 млн), 113.25(375 млн), 113.45-50(910 млн), 114.25(515 млн)

USD/CHF: 0.9855(300 млн)

USD/CAD: 1.2600(519 млн), 1.2700(330 млн), 1.2800-10(694 млн),

AUD/JPY: 85.50(940 млн)

AUD/CAD: 0.9730(225 млн)

13:38
U.S housing starts and building permits rose more than expected in October

Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in October were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,297,000. This is 5.9 percent above the revised September rate of 1,225,000 and is 0.9 percent above the October 2016 rate of 1,285,000. Single-family authorizations in October were at a rate of 839,000; this is 1.9 percent above the revised September figure of 823,000. Authorizations of units in buildings with five units or more were at a rate of 416,000 in October. Privately-owned housing starts in October were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,290,000. This is 13.7 percent above the revised September estimate of 1,135,000, but is 2.9 percent below the October 2016 rate of 1,328,000. Single-family housing starts in October were at a rate of 877,000; this is 5.3 percent above the revised September figure of 833,000. The October rate for units in buildings with five units or more was 393,000.

13:35
Canadian Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased 1.4% on a year-over-year basis

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased 1.4% on a year-over-year basis in October, following a 1.6% gain in September. The all-items excluding gasoline index rose 1.3% year over year in October, after increasing 1.1% in September.

Prices were up in seven of the eight major CPI components in the 12 months to October, with the transportation and shelter indexes contributing the most to the increase. The clothing and footwear index declined on a year-over-year basis.

Transportation prices rose 3.0% on a year-over-year basis in October, following a 3.8% increase in September. This deceleration was led by gasoline prices, which increased 6.5% year over year in October after increasing 14.1% the previous month in the aftermath of Hurricane Harvey. At the same time, the purchase of passenger vehicles index rose 1.5% month over month in October, providing the impetus for the largest year-over-year gain in this index since March 2017.

13:30
U.S.: Building Permits, October 1297 (forecast 1240)
13:30
U.S.: Housing Starts, October 1290 (forecast 1180)
13:30
Canada: Consumer Price Index m / m, October 0.1% (forecast 0.1%)
13:30
Canada: Consumer price index, y/y, October 1.4% (forecast 1.4%)
13:30
Canada: Bank of Canada Consumer Price Index Core, y/y, October 0.9%
12:28
UK PM May's spokesman says government would encourage all members of parliament to support march 29 2019 Brexit date
11:08
China Central Bank: financial institutions will be punished for providing implicit guarantees for asset management products
10:40
Austrian national bank sees Austrian economy growing q/q at 0.8 pct in q4 2017, 0.6 pct in q1 2018
10:00
Eurozone: Construction Output, y/y, September 3.7%
09:54
ECB's Draghi says we do now see inflation moving steadily away from the very low levels of recent years
09:52
Forex option contracts rolling off today at 14.00 GMT:

EUR/USD: 1.1500-02(1.49 b), 1.1579-80(1.14 b), 1.1700(358 m), 1.1720-25(880 m), 1.1750(409 m), 1.1790-1.1800(655 m), 1.1825(694 m),1.1840-50(646 m)

GBP/USD: 1.2950(303 m), 1.3000(311 m), 1.3300(640 m)

USD/JPY: 111.00(494 m), 113.25(375 m), 113.45-50(910 m), 114.25(515 m)

USD/CHF: 0.9855(300 m)

USD/CAD: 1.2600(519 m), 1.2700(330 m), 1.2800-10(694 m),

AUD/JPY: 85.50(940 m)

AUD/CAD: 0.9730(225 m)

09:40
ECB's Draghi says horizon of our net asset purchases, and “well past” the end of those net purchases, mechanically affect the time of the first expected rate hike
09:40
ECB's Draghi says we see more signs that growth is “feeding on itself”

  • Recovery therefore has not come against the backdrop of re-leveraging in any economic sector

  • We have increasing confidence that the recovery is robust and that this momentum will continue going

  • We are not yet at a point where the recovery of inflation can be self-sustained without our accommodative policy

  • As regards bank profitability, ECB research finds little evidence that our monetary policy is currently doing harm

  • Economy may be becoming more resilient to new shocks

09:17
Major stock markets in Europe trading mixed: FTSE 7375.20 -11.74 -0.16%, DAX 13059.19 +11.97 + 0.09%, CAC 5333.36 -3.03 -0.06%
09:03
The current account of the euro area recorded a surplus of €37.8 billion in September

The current account of the euro area recorded a surplus of €37.8 billion in September 2017. This reflected surpluses for goods (€35.2 billion), primary income (€9.7 billion) and services (€7.3 billion), which were partly offset by a deficit for secondary income (€14.3 billion).

The 12-month cumulated current account for the period ending in September 2017 recorded a surplus of €346.4 billion (3.2% of euro area GDP), compared with one of €359.3 billion (3.4% of euro area GDP) for the 12 months to September 2016. This development was due to a decrease in the surplus for goods (from €377.0 billion to €342.0 billion) and an increase in the deficit for secondary income (from €135.9 billion to €151.1 billion). These were partly offset by increases in the surpluses for primary income (from €69.2 billion to €93.4 billion) and services (from €49.0 billion to €62.0 billion).

09:00
Eurozone: Current account, unadjusted, bln , September 37.8 (forecast 30.2)
07:35
Options levels on friday, November 17, 2017 EURUSD GBPUSD

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1891 (3853)

$1.1859 (7230)

$1.1834 (3220)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1798

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1757 (1503)

$1.1725 (1799)

$1.1700 (3109)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date December, 8 is 155695 contracts (according to data from November, 16) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1500 (8411);


GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.3352 (2413)

$1.3320 (2688)

$1.3293 (3265)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.3249

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.3181 (852)

$1.3142 (1177)

$1.3083 (1348)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date December, 8 is 41372 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3200 (3265);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date December, 8 is 39073 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3000 (3742);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.94 versus 0.99 from the previous trading day according to data from November, 16

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

07:32
Mixed start of trading expected for the main European stock markets: DAX + 0.15%, CAC 40 + 0.1%, FTSE 100 -0.2%
07:21
10-year U.S. treasury yield at 2.361 percent, unchanged from thursday's U.S. close
06:19
Global Stocks

European stocks broke their longest losing run in a year on Thursday, with major regional indexes rebounding after well-received corporate updates. Investors also cheered a rise in shares of car makers after the release of encouraging EU sales figures.

U.S. stocks closed higher Thursday, with earnings-inspired gains by Cisco and Wal-Mart helping to set the pace, while House passage of a Republican-sponsored tax cut plan helped cement the rally.

The global stock rebound continued Friday in Asia, with equities working to erase declines from earlier in the week. Japan again led the way. The Nikkei NIK, +0.24% jumped 1.5%, putting it into positive territory for the week. It hasn't had a down week since early September and if it does notch a 10th straight weekly advance today, that would be the longest winning streak since January 2013.

00:31
Australia: New Motor Vehicle Sales (YoY) , October 1.0%
00:31
Australia: New Motor Vehicle Sales (MoM) , October 0.0%

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