CFD Markets News and Forecasts — 14-08-2017

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14.08.2017
22:30
Commodities. Daily history for Aug 14’2017:

(raw materials / closing price /% change)

Oil 47.50 -0.19%

Gold 1,287.80 -0.20%

22:28
Stocks. Daily history for Aug 14’2017:

(index / closing price / change items /% change)

Nikkei -192.64 19537.10 -0.98%

TOPIX -18.19 1599.06 -1.12%

Hang Seng +366.72 27250.23 +1.36%

CSI 300 +47.33 3694.68 +1.30%

Euro Stoxx 50 +44.32 3450.66 +1.30%

FTSE 100 +43.93 7353.89 +0.60%

DAX +151.06 12165.12 +1.26%

CAC 40 +60.75 5121.67 +1.20%

DJIA +135.39 21993.71 +0.62%

S&P 500 +24.52 2465.84 +1.00%

NASDAQ +83.68 6340.23 +1.34%

S&P/TSX +86.53 15119.91 +0.58%

22:27
Currencies. Daily history for Aug 14’2017:

(pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,1775 -0,38%

GBP/USD $1,2960 -0,36%

USD/CHF Chf0,97204 +1,05%

USD/JPY Y109,60 +0,41%

EUR/JPY Y129,07 +0,02%

GBP/JPY Y142,056 +0,03%

AUD/USD $0,7850 -0,49%

NZD/USD $0,7286 -0,42%

USD/CAD C$1,27221 +0,35%

22:01
Schedule for today, Tuesday, Aug 15’2017 (GMT0)

00:01 Italy Bank Holiday

00:01 France Bank holiday

01:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (MoM) July 1.2%

01:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (YoY) July 3.6%

01:30 Australia RBA Meeting's Minutes

04:30 Japan Industrial Production (YoY) (Finally) June 6.5% 4.9%

04:30 Japan Industrial Production (MoM) (Finally) June -3.6% 1.6%

06:00 Germany GDP (YoY) (Preliminary) Quarter II 1.7% 1.9%

06:00 Germany GDP (QoQ) (Preliminary) Quarter II 0.6% 0.7%

07:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, m/m July -0.1% 0%

07:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, y/y July -0.1% 0%

08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (YoY) July 3.3% 3.1%

08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (MoM) July -0.4% 0.5%

08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (YoY) July 9.9% 7%

08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (MoM) July 0.0% 0%

08:30 United Kingdom HICP ex EFAT, Y/Y July 2.4% 2.5%

08:30 United Kingdom Retail Price Index, m/m July 0.2% 0.1%

08:30 United Kingdom Retail prices, Y/Y July 3.5% 3.5%

08:30 United Kingdom HICP, Y/Y July 2.6% 2.7%

08:30 United Kingdom HICP, m/m July 0.0% 0%

12:30 U.S. Retail sales July -0.2% 0.4%

12:30 U.S. Retail Sales YoY July 2.8%

12:30 U.S. Retail sales excluding auto August -0.2% 0.3%

12:30 U.S. NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index August 9.8 10

12:30 U.S. Import Price Index July -0.2% 0.1%

14:00 U.S. Business inventories June 0.3% 0.4%

14:00 U.S. NAHB Housing Market Index August 64 65

20:00 U.S. Net Long-term TIC Flows June 91.9

20:00 U.S. Total Net TIC Flows June 57.3

20:06
The main US stock indices rose as a result of today's trading

The major US stock indexes closed higher, as investors returned to more risky assets after easing tensions on the Korean peninsula.

The global stock market has lost almost $ 1 trillion in value. Last week after President Trump demanded that North Korea stop threatening and warned that the US would respond with "the fire and rage that the world has never seen." This gave rise to a "verbal war" between Pyongyang and Washington. However, US officials, including the head of the CIA Pompeo and US National Security Adviser, McMaster, said on Sunday that there is no indication of a possible start to hostilities, while the President of South Korea said that it is necessary to resolve the issue of Pyongyang's nuclear ambitions peacefully.

Oil prices have declined significantly, as lower levels of refining in China have caused concern about demand from the second largest consumer in the world, while an increase in US drilling activity could further exacerbate the global supply surplus. The National Bureau of Statistics said that Chinese oil refineries processed 10.71 million barrels per day in July, which is about 500,000 barrels per day less than in June and is the lowest since September 2016. According to analysts, the fall was more significant than expected, which increases fears that excess oil products could weaken China's oil demand.

Most components of the DOW index showed an increase (25 out of 30). Leader of growth were shares of Visa Inc. (V, + 1.84%). Outsider was the shares of The Home Depot, Inc. (HD, -0.71%).

Almost all sectors of the S & P index ended the session in positive territory. The financial sector grew most (+ 1.4%). The largest decrease was registered in the main materials sector (-0.2%)

At closing:

DJIA + 0.61% 21,991.72 +133.40

Nasdaq + 1.34% 6.340.23 +83.67

S & P + 0.99% 2.465.56 +24.24

19:00
DJIA +0.57% 21,981.90 +123.66 Nasdaq +1.23% 6,333.56 +77.00 S&P +0.93% 2,464.08 +22.76
16:01
European stocks closed: FTSE 100 +43.93 7353.89 +0.60% DAX +151.06 12165.12 +1.26% CAC 40 +60.75 5121.67 +1.20%
14:43
German chancellor Merkel says too much leniency doesn't help as positive examples of Ireland and Spain show

  • Says german car industry has to recognise that times are changing, otherwise foreign competitors will build e-cars

  • We have to ensure that not the wrong side ends up paying bill of emissions scandal

  • Will meet representatives from municipalities with high nox emissions before election

14:06
Dollar rises 1 percent vs Swiss franc, touches session high of 0.9715 franc
13:42
Option expiries for today's 10:00 ET NY cut

EUR/USD: $1.1600(E1.32 млрд), $1.1650(E788 млн), $1.1750(E1.23 млрд), $1.1800(E300 млн), $1.1825-30(E635 млн)

GBP/USD: $1.2930-32(£498 млн), $1.2950(£446 млн)

USD/JPY: Y109.00($415 млн), Y110.00($1.19 млрд), Y112.25($486 млн)

USD/CHF: Chf0.9800($675 млн)

AUD/USD: $0.7750(A$250 млн)

USD/CAD: C$1.2600($420 млн)

13:32
U.S. Stocks open: Dow +0.56%, Nasdaq +0.84%, S&P +0.64%
13:15
Before the bell: S&P futures +0.54%, NASDAQ futures +0.57%

U.S. stock-index futures advanced on Monday, as tensions on the Korean peninsula abated slightly after key U.S. officials played down the risk of an imminent war with North Korea.

Global Stocks:

Nikkei 19,537.10 -192.64 -0.98%

Hang Seng 27,250.23 +366.72 +1.36%

Shanghai 3,236.93 +28.39 +0.88%

S&P/ASX 5,730.41 +37.27 +0.65%

FTSE 7,348.04 +38.08 +0.52%

CAC 5,109.64 +48.72 +0.96%

DAX 12,154.42 +140.36 +1.17%

Crude $48.65 (-0.35%)

Crude $1,288.80 (-0.40%)

13:13
Bundesbank's Dombret says ECB expansionary monetary policy "very much justified"
12:56
Wall Street. Stocks before the bell

(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)


Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ

AMZN

974

6.01(0.62%)

27640

American Express Co

AXP

85.27

0.98(1.16%)

101

Apple Inc.

AAPL

158.95

1.47(0.93%)

233164

AT&T Inc

T

38.2

0.10(0.26%)

3404

Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE

ABX

16.85

-0.19(-1.12%)

33033

Boeing Co

BA

236.5

1.62(0.69%)

1556

Caterpillar Inc

CAT

113.5

0.65(0.58%)

2060

Chevron Corp

CVX

109.25

0.02(0.02%)

1615

Cisco Systems Inc

CSCO

31.6

0.13(0.41%)

4585

Citigroup Inc., NYSE

C

67.55

0.75(1.12%)

12656

Deere & Company, NYSE

DE

127.88

1.18(0.93%)

405

E. I. du Pont de Nemours and Co

DD

81.5

0.53(0.65%)

250

Exxon Mobil Corp

XOM

78.35

0.14(0.18%)

16651

Facebook, Inc.

FB

169.51

1.43(0.85%)

74480

Ford Motor Co.

F

10.83

0.06(0.56%)

16191

Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE

FCX

14.15

0.19(1.36%)

4350

General Electric Co

GE

25.34

0.14(0.56%)

31700

General Motors Company, NYSE

GM

35.03

0.10(0.29%)

504

Goldman Sachs

GS

226.33

2.18(0.97%)

3952

Google Inc.

GOOG

920.97

6.58(0.72%)

1170

Home Depot Inc

HD

155.8

0.92(0.59%)

3689

Intel Corp

INTC

36.1

0.23(0.64%)

7253

International Business Machines Co...

IBM

142.5

0.66(0.47%)

1544

International Paper Company

IP

52.8

0.21(0.40%)

500

Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

133.5

0.40(0.30%)

650

JPMorgan Chase and Co

JPM

92.21

0.79(0.86%)

9132

McDonald's Corp

MCD

158

0.70(0.45%)

1721

Merck & Co Inc

MRK

62.99

0.61(0.98%)

120

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

73.1

0.60(0.83%)

16597

Nike

NKE

59.74

0.77(1.31%)

647

Pfizer Inc

PFE

33.33

0.08(0.24%)

2294

Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ

SBUX

53.5

0.32(0.60%)

4086

Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ

TSLA

364.47

6.60(1.84%)

73636

The Coca-Cola Co

KO

45.7

0.11(0.24%)

1152

Twitter, Inc., NYSE

TWTR

16.05

0.13(0.82%)

29714

UnitedHealth Group Inc

UNH

194.23

1.21(0.63%)

318

Verizon Communications Inc

VZ

48.07

0.01(0.02%)

237

Visa

V

100.43

0.34(0.34%)

896

Walt Disney Co

DIS

102.59

0.60(0.59%)

3327

Yandex N.V., NASDAQ

YNDX

29.5

0.45(1.55%)

1200

12:49
Target price changes before the market open

Tesla (TSLA) target raised to $317 from $305 at Morgan Stanley; Equal Weight

Tesla (TSLA) target raised to $411 from $368 at Robert W. Baird

12:49
Upgrades before the market open

Intl Paper (IP) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at DA Davidson

12:01
Romania Jan-June current account deficit expands 40.2 pct y/y to 2.75 bln euros - Central bank
10:11
S.Korea's Moon says North Korea nuclear programme must be resolved peacefully; this stance is in line with the United States'

  • There must be no more war on Korean peninsula

  • Says he believes U.S. will respond to current situation calmly, responsibly

  • S.Korea - U.S. alliance is for keeping peace

  • Current crisis being handled with stability, also preparing for possible conflict

09:36
France remains committed to fight against terrorist groups in the region - statement from Macron's office

  • Macron will speak with Burkina Faso counterpart during the day to evaluate situation after attack in Ouagadougou

09:05
Industrial production fell by 0.6% in the euro area (EA19) and by 0.5% in the EU28

In June 2017 compared with May 2017, seasonally adjusted industrial production fell by 0.6% in the euro area (EA19) and by 0.5% in the EU28, according to estimates from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. In May 2017, industrial production rose by 1.2% in both zones. In June 2017 compared with June 2016, industrial production increased by 2.6% in the euro area and by 2.9% in the EU28.

The decrease of 0.6% in industrial production in the euro area in June 2017, compared with May 2017, is due to production of capital goods falling by 1.9%, durable consumer goods by 1.2%, non-durable consumer goods by 0.4% and intermediate goods by 0.3%, while production of energy rose by 1.8% In the EU28, the decrease of 0.5% is due to production of capital goods falling by 1.5%, durable consumer goods by 0.8%, intermediate goods by 0.4% and non-durable consumer goods by 0.3%, while production of energy rose by 1.4% Among Member States for which data are available, the largest decreases in industrial production were registered in Ireland (-7.5%), the Czech Republic (-3.8%) and Malta (-3.2%), and the highest increases in Luxembourg (+3.4%), Estonia, Croatia and the Netherlands (all +1.2%).

09:00
Eurozone: Industrial Production (YoY), June 2.6% (forecast 2.8%)
09:00
Eurozone: Industrial production, (MoM), June -0.6% (forecast -0.5%)
08:35
Swiss sight deposits of domestic banks at 476.299 bln CHF in week ending august 11 versus 479.86 bln CHF a week earlier
08:07
China foreign ministry says essence of China - U.S. trade is mutually beneficial and win-win

  • Says China pays great attention to intellectual property rights protection

08:00
Forex option contracts rolling off today at 14.00 GMT:

EUR / USD: $ 1.1600 (E1.32 b), $ 1.1650 (E788 m), $ 1.1750 (E1.23 b), $ 1.1800 (E300 m), $ 1.1825-30 (E635 m)

GBP / USD: $ 1.2930-32 (£498 m), $ 1.2950 (£446 m)

USD / JPY: Y109.00 ($ 415 m), Y110.00 ($ 1.19 b), Y112.25 ($ 486 m)

USD / CHF: Chf0.9800 ($ 675 m)

AUD / USD: $ 0.7750 (A $ 250 m)

USD / CAD: C $ 1.2600 ($ 420 m)

07:30
Major European stock exchanges trading mainly in the green zone: FTSE 7323.27 +13.31 + 0.18%, DAX 12099.84 +85.78 + 0.71%, CAC 5081.86 +20.94 + 0.41%
06:45
International environment complicated, domestic structural imbalances still obvious - China stats bureau

  • Going forward, will prevent systemic financial risks

  • Says China created 8.55 million new jobs in jan-july

  • Stable economic performance should continue in h2

  • July survey-based unemployment rate in major cities under 5 percent

06:42
Trump says if North Korea leader does anything with respect to Guam or other american territory he will truly regret it

  • Is looking at North Korea military solutions very carefully

  • Says many people are happy with comments he is making on North Korea

  • He doesn't want to talk about back channel talks with North Korea

  • Hopes that North Korea fully understands gravity of situation

06:29
Positive start of trading expected on the main European stock markets: DAX + 0.5%, CAC 40 + 0.6%, FTSE 100 + 0.3%
06:28
China's industrial production and retail sales rose less than expected in July

China's industrial production growth eased at a faster-than-expected pace in July, official data from the National Bureau of Statistics, cited by rttnews.

Industrial production climbed 6.4 percent year-over-year in July, slower than the 7.6 percent spike in June. Economists had expected the growth to moderate to 7.1 percent.

Retail sales advanced 10.4 percent annually in July, following a 11.0 percent surge in the prior month. The expected rate of growth for the month was 10.8 percent.

The statistical office also revealed that country's fixed asset investment grew at a slightly slower pace of 8.3 percent in July from a year ago, after a 8.6 percent hike in June. The growth was forecast to remain stable at 8.6 percent.

06:03
Japan's gross domestic product expanded 1.0 percent on quarter

Japan's gross domestic product expanded 1.0 percent on quarter in the second three months of 2017, the Cabinet Office said in Monday's preliminary reading, cited by rttnews.

That beat forecasts for a gain of 0.6 percent following the upwardly revised 0.4 percent increase in the three months prior (originally -0.3 percent).

On a yearly basis, GDP surged 4.0 percent - again topping expectations for 2.5 percent and up from the upwardly revised 1.5 percent jump in the first quarter (originally 1.0 percent).

Nominal GDP jumped 1.1 percent on quarter, beating forecasts for an increase of 0.7 percent following the 0.3 percent decline in the previous three months.

06:02
New Zealand's total volume of retail sales rose 2.0%

For the June 2017 quarter, compared with the March 2017 quarter (seasonally adjusted):

The total volume of retail sales rose 2.0 percent.

The food and beverage industry had the largest increase in the series, up 4.2 percent. The record increase reflects the influx of sporting fans and visitors for the World Masters Games and the Lions rugby tour held in New Zealand during the June quarter.

Electrical and electronic goods rose 5.2 percent.

Motor-vehicle and parts retailing rose 1.7 percent. This followed strong increases of 4.9 percent and 4.1 percent in the March 2017 and December 2016 quarters, respectively.

Accommodation volumes rose 6.1 percent. This was the largest increase for this industry in three years.

05:58
Japan EconMin Motegi: Expect Economy To Recover Moderately – RTRS -Economic Growth Driven By Domestic Demand
05:36
Global Stocks

European stocks sold off Friday, wrapping up their worst week in nine months, as the war of words between the U.S. and North Korea prompted investors to back away from assets perceived as risky.

U.S. stocks closed higher on Friday as Wall Street clawed back from a sharp decline in the previous session but the market still posted a weekly loss on lingering geopolitical uncertainties.

Stock markets across Asia were higher on Monday following last week's pullback, as senior U.S. officials over the weekend sought to play down risks of a military conflict with North Korea.

04:44
Options levels on monday, August 14, 2017 EURUSD GBPUSD

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1915 (1642)

$1.1898 (2500)

$1.1875 (2343)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1823

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1760 (809)

$1.1738 (1401)

$1.1711 (2467)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date September, 8 is 125757 contracts (according to data from August, 11) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2000 (5423);

GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.3167 (1782)

$1.3115 (3117)

$1.3080 (960)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.3014

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.2939 (982)

$1.2913 (1261)

$1.2883 (2027)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date September, 8 is 29816 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3000 (3117);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date September, 8 is 25323 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2850 (2548);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.85 versus 0.87 from the previous trading day according to data from August, 11

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

02:00
China: Industrial Production y/y, July 6.4% (forecast 7.2%)
02:00
China: Retail Sales y/y, July 10.4% (forecast 10.8%)
02:00
China: Fixed Asset Investment, July 8.3% (forecast 8.6%)

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