CFD Markets News and Forecasts — 09-10-2017

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09.10.2017
23:50
Japan: Current Account, bln, August 2.380 (forecast 2.262)
22:28
Commodities. Daily history for Oct 09’2017:

(raw materials / closing price /% change)

Oil 49.56 +0.55%

Gold 1,286.40 +0.90%

22:27
Stocks. Daily history for Oct 09’2017:

(index / closing price / change items /% change)

Hang Seng -131.45 28326.59 -0.46%

CSI 300 +45.71 3882.21 +1.19%

Euro Stoxx 50 +7.18 3610.50 +0.20%

FTSE 100 -14.98 7507.89 -0.20%

DAX +20.46 12976.40 +0.16%

CAC 40 +5.93 5365.83 +0.11%

DJIA -12.60 22761.07 -0.06%

S&P 500 -4.60 2544.73 -0.18%

NASDAQ -10.45 6579.73 -0.16%

S&P/TSX -47.98 15728.32 -0.30%

22:26
Currencies. Daily history for Oct 09’2017:

(pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,1740 +0,06%

GBP/USD $1,3141 +0,58%

USD/CHF Chf0,9795 +0,21%

USD/JPY Y112,65 +0,03%

EUR/JPY Y132,27 +0,07%

GBP/JPY Y148,035 +0,58%

AUD/USD $0,7752 -0,30%

NZD/USD $0,7057 -0,44%

USD/CAD C$1,25499 +0,17%

22:04
Schedule for today, Tuesday, Oct 10’2017 (GMT0)

02:50 Japan Current Account, bln August 2320 2.262

03:30 Australia National Australia Bank's Business Confidence September 5 6

06:20 Australia RBA Assist Gov Debelle Speaks

08:00 Japan Eco Watchers Survey: Current September 49.7 49.9

08:00 Japan Eco Watchers Survey: Outlook September 51.1

08:45 Switzerland Unemployment Rate (non s.a.) September 3% 3%

09:00 Germany Current Account August 19.4

09:00 Germany Trade Balance (non s.a.), bln August 19.5

09:45 France Industrial Production, m/m August 0.5% 0.4%

11:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (MoM) August 0.2% 0.2%

11:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (YoY) August 0.4% 0.8%

11:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (YoY) August 1.9% 1.9%

11:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (MoM) August 0.5% 0.3%

11:30 United Kingdom Total Trade Balance August -2.87 -3.60

15:00 United Kingdom NIESR GDP Estimate September 0.4%

15:15 Canada Housing Starts September 223.2 210.0

15:30 Canada Building Permits (MoM) August -3.5%

17:00 U.S. FOMC Member Kashkari Speaks

21:00 Canada Gov Council Member Wilkins Speaks

20:08
Major US stock indexes finished trading in negative territory

Major US stock indices fell slightly on Monday amid losses in the healthcare sector and the conglomerate sector, as well as expectations for the third quarter's report season.

The unofficial start of the season of US companies' reports will occur this week with the publication of financial results of several major financial institutions: on Thursday, October 12, reports will be submitted by Citigroup (C) and JPMorgan Chase (JPM), on Friday, October 13 - Bank of America (BAC) and Wells Fargo (WFC).

According to Thomson Reuters, the profits of companies in the S & P 500 index basket are expected to show an increase of 4.2% compared to the same period last year, after exceeding expectations of growth of 12.3% y / y in the second quarter.

Oil prices rose slightly, backed up by OPEC comments, which signaled the possibility of further actions to restore the market balance in the long term. Meanwhile, the oil platforms in the Gulf of Mexico began to return to work after the hurricane Nate forced to stop more than 90% of the oil production in the area. In general, the prospect of resuming production limited the growth of oil quotes.

Most components of the DOW index recorded a rise (16 out of 30). Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. became the leader of growth. (WMT, + 1.85%). Outsider were shares of General Electric Company (GE, -4.35%).

Almost all sectors of the S & P index finished trading in the red. The health sector showed the greatest decline (-0.8%). Only the utilities sector grew (+ 0.1%).

At closing:

DJIA -0.06% 22.760.00 -13.67

Nasdaq -0.16% 6,579.73 -10.45

S & P-0.18% 2.544.62 -4.71

19:00
DJIA -0.08% 22,755.82 -17.85 Nasdaq -0.09% 6,584.26 -5.92 S&P -0.15% 2,545.48 -3.85
16:00
European stocks closed: FTSE 100 -14.98 7507.89 -0.20% DAX +20.46 12976.40 +0.16% CAC 40 +5.93 5365.83 +0.11%
15:25
XAU/USD (GOLD) DAILY ANALYSIS

Gold has become very volatile and has sparked some interest from investors due to the instability experienced at the international level, with the main focus being the exchange of words between the United States and North Korea.


After successive weeks of devaluation of the value of gold, we can now expect a recovery of its value and perhaps until the formation of a new maximum relative to the previous one (values close to 1350.08).


14:21
Reuters summit - OPEC Sec. Gen says there is clear evidence that the oil market is rebalancing

  • Says that in august, overhang in OECD oil products stocks compared to 5-year average was a 'mere' 25 million barrels, 'almost converging with the 5-year average'

13:51
Forex option contracts rolling off today at 14.00 GMT:

EUR/USD: 1.1795(305 млн), 1.1765(108 млн), 1.1700(156 млн),

USD/JPY: 113.00(555 млн), 112.50(330 млн)

AUD/USD: 0.7700(330 млн)

13:33
U.S. Stocks open: Dow +0.02%, Nasdaq +0.09%, S&P +0.07%
13:24
Before the bell: S&P futures +0.16%, NASDAQ futures +0.25%

U.S. stock-index futures were higher on Monday as investors turned their focus to earnings from big banks later in the week.


Global Stocks:

Nikkei -

Hang Seng 28,326.59 -131.45 -0.46%

Shanghai 3,374.87 +25.93 +0.77%

S&P/ASX 5,739.26 +28.58 +0.50%

FTSE 7,502.75 -20.12 -0.27%

CAC 5,354.83 -5.07 -0.09%

DAX 12,956.05 +0.11 0.00%

Crude $49.29 (0.00%)

Gold $1,283.30 (+0.66%)

12:52
Wall Street. Stocks before the bell

(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)


Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ

AMZN

993.65

4.07(0.41%)

14787

Apple Inc.

AAPL

155.85

0.55(0.35%)

98199

AT&T Inc

T

38.76

0.17(0.44%)

2514

Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE

ABX

16.69

0.10(0.60%)

19796

Boeing Co

BA

258.95

0.37(0.14%)

820

Caterpillar Inc

CAT

127.19

0.26(0.20%)

126

Cisco Systems Inc

CSCO

33.8

0.05(0.15%)

486

Citigroup Inc., NYSE

C

75.99

0.35(0.46%)

30938

Exxon Mobil Corp

XOM

81.51

-0.20(-0.24%)

482

Facebook, Inc.

FB

172.99

0.76(0.44%)

63043

Ford Motor Co.

F

12.3

-0.01(-0.08%)

22328

Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE

FCX

14.35

0.02(0.14%)

32240

General Electric Co

GE

24.15

-0.24(-0.98%)

386419

General Motors Company, NYSE

GM

45.1

0.17(0.38%)

24265

Goldman Sachs

GS

245.45

-0.57(-0.23%)

4576

Google Inc.

GOOG

980

1.11(0.11%)

4315

Home Depot Inc

HD

166.2

0.35(0.21%)

3170

HONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL INC.

HON

145.51

1.89(1.32%)

17472

Intel Corp

INTC

39.74

0.11(0.28%)

6366

Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

134.22

1.00(0.75%)

25744

JPMorgan Chase and Co

JPM

97.2

0.28(0.29%)

11250

McDonald's Corp

MCD

159.56

-0.04(-0.03%)

229

Merck & Co Inc

MRK

64.5

-0.05(-0.08%)

127

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

76.05

0.05(0.07%)

2041

Nike

NKE

52.6

0.18(0.34%)

799

Pfizer Inc

PFE

36.11

0.06(0.17%)

12684

Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ

SBUX

55.19

0.02(0.04%)

400

Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ

TSLA

350.65

-6.23(-1.75%)

79653

The Coca-Cola Co

KO

45.55

0.06(0.13%)

1306

Twitter, Inc., NYSE

TWTR

17.74

-0.11(-0.62%)

10840

United Technologies Corp

UTX

117.98

-0.25(-0.21%)

165

Verizon Communications Inc

VZ

48.52

-0.29(-0.59%)

1822

Visa

V

107

0.27(0.25%)

812

Wal-Mart Stores Inc

WMT

79.3

0.30(0.38%)

4530

Walt Disney Co

DIS

100.7

0.63(0.63%)

7867

12:49
Target price changes before the market open

Intel (INTC) target raised to $45 from $42 at Mizuho

Honeywell (HON) target raised to $170 from $155 at Citigroup

12:48
Downgrades before the market open

Goldman Sachs (GS) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Credit Suisse

12:47
Upgrades before the market open

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Wells Fargo

Walt Disney (DIS) upgraded to Top Pick from Outperform at RBC Capital Mkts

12:41
Our country has been unsuccessfully dealing with North Korea for 25 years, giving billions of dollars & getting nothing. Policy didn't work! @realDonaldTrump
11:25
Germany expects IMF to lift its growth forecast for global economy slightly - Senior german gov't official
10:44
PM May's spokesman, asked about possibility of breakthrough in Brexit talks, believes Florence speech has created momentum, but let's see how talks go
10:03
Turkish deputy PM Simsek says turkish economy proved resistance to shocks in last 10 years, will maintain macroeconomic stability
09:18
Euro area current situation and expectations are improving says Sentix

The economic momentum continues. The overall index for Euro area improves by 1.5 points and reaches a new 10-year high with 29.7 points. Current situation and expectations are improving to a similar extent. The first economic test after the Bundestag elections can be considered successful. The time series for German economy of the "first movers among the leading indicators" are clearly climbing and are promising an unbroken upturn - even under a changed government. The global economic engine continues to gain strength. For the US investors are shaking their intermittent worries and the region of Asia is also creating strong economic optimism. The sentix Global Aggregate also rises to a 10-year high.

08:34
Eurozone: Sentix Investor Confidence, October 29.7
08:00
Forex option contracts rolling off today at 14.00 GMT:

EUR/USD: 1.1795(305 m), 1.1765(108 m), 1.1700(156 m),

USD/JPY: 113.00(555 m), 112.50(330 m)

AUD/USD: 0.7700(330 m)

07:56
ECB says higher interest rates would lead to higher net interest income in the next three years for a majority of banks, but lower economic value of equity

  • Ecb finds interest rate risk is well managed in most european banks

  • Capital demand forindividual banks might be adapted

  • Supervisors will follow up on the results insupervisory dialogues with the individual banks

07:33
Major stock markets in Europe trading mixed: FTSE 7509.53 -13.34 -0.18%, DAX 12982.64 +26.70 + 0.21%, CAC 5366.56 +6.66 + 0.12%
06:21
German economy ministry says industrial output has gained momentum since start of the year
  • Says good business morale, positive trend in industrial orders point to continued upswing in sector


06:08
Eurostoxx 50 futures up 0.3 pct, DAX futures up 0.3 pct, CAC 40 futures up 0.3 pct, FTSE futures down 0.1 pct
06:07
Fed's Kaplan repeats he would like to see more evidence of progress in reaching inflation objective

  • It's likely inflation pressures are building

  • The benefit of having a little time to decide on rate hike before december meeting 'and I plan to take it'

  • September job losses from hurricanes likely to be temporary

06:06
German industrial production rose more than expected in August

In August 2017, production in industry was up by 2.6% from the previous month on a price, seasonally and working day adjusted basis according to provisional data of the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis). In July 2017, the corrected figure shows a decrease of 0.1% (primary 0.0%) from June 2017.

In August 2017, production in industry excluding energy and construction was up by 3.2%. Within industry, the production of capital goods increased by 4.8% and the production of consumer goods by 2.1%. The production of intermediate goods showed an increase of 1.8%. Energy production was up by 1.7% in August 2017 and the production in construction decreased by 1.2%.

06:00
Germany: Industrial Production s.a. (MoM), August 2.6% (forecast 0.7%)
05:59
Turkish lira at 3.7075 against dollar in early trade after U.S, Turkey mutually suspend visa services vs 3.6160 at friday's close
05:52
Composite PMI data signalled a weaker expansion in total Chinese business activity at the end of the third quarter

The Caixin China Composite PMI data (which covers both manufacturing and services) signalled a weaker expansion in total Chinese business activity at the end of the third quarter. Notably, the Composite Output Index fell from 52.4 in August to a three-month low of 51.4 in September.

The slowdown was driven by weaker increases in output at both manufacturing and services companies. A drop in the seasonally adjusted Caixin China General Services Business Activity Index from 52.7 to 50.6 in September pointed to only a marginal increase in services activity that was the slowest for 21 months. At the same time, growth in manufacturing production edged down to a three-month low.

05:31
Global Stocks

European stocks ended a tumultuous week on a downbeat note, driven lower by continued uncertainty over the political drama in Spain and a mixed reading on the U.S. labor market. Closing levels: The Stoxx Europe 600 index SXXP, -0.40% ended 0.4% lower at 389.47, trimming its weekly gain to 0.3%.

The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average logged minor losses Friday, though the Nasdaq eked out a closing record and major indexes added to their string of weekly gains as investors mostly shrugged off a September jobs report that showed the first monthly drop in payrolls in seven years.

After global stock gains last week, the Asia Pacific region started Monday on an upbeat note, led by buying in China after a weeklong holiday there. In the first action following Golden Week, the Shanghai SHCOMP, +1.24% and Shenzhen 399106, +1.51% composite indexes, which have lagged behind the double-digit gains seen in much of the region this year, both rose more than 1%.

04:44
Options levels on monday, October 9, 2017 EURUSD GBPUSD

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1912 (3313)

$1.1856 (1354)

$1.1805 (209)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1738

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1671 (2759)

$1.1642 (3137)

$1.1609 (2950)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date November, 3 is 87029 contracts (according to data from October, 6) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2000 (5216);


GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.3280 (2216)

$1.3225 (2246)

$1.3153 (1050)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.3096

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.2969 (1146)

$1.2912 (1670)

$1.2878 (1878)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date November, 3 is 30842 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3300 (3071);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date November, 3 is 28173 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3400 (2160);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.91 versus 1.15 from the previous trading day according to data from October, 6

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

01:45
China: Markit/Caixin Services PMI, September 50.6 (forecast 53.1)

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