CFD Markets News and Forecasts — 08-01-2019

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08.01.2019
23:30
Schedule for today, Wednesday, January 9, 2019
Time Country Event Period Previous value Forecast
00:00 Japan Labor Cash Earnings, YoY November 1.5% 1.3%
00:30 Australia Building Permits, m/m November -1.5% -0.5%
07:00 Germany Current Account November 15.9 25.5
07:00 Germany Trade Balance (non s.a.), bln November 18.3  
07:45 France Consumer confidence December 92 90
08:00 Switzerland Foreign Currency Reserves December 749  
08:15 Switzerland Consumer Price Index (MoM) December -0.3%  
08:15 Switzerland Consumer Price Index (YoY) December 0.9%  
10:00 Eurozone Unemployment Rate November 8.1% 8.1%
13:15 Canada Housing Starts December 215.9 205
14:00 U.S. FOMC Member Charles Evans Speaks    
15:00 Canada Bank of Canada Rate 1.75% 1.75%
15:00 Canada Bank of Canada Monetary Policy Report    
15:15 Canada BOC Press Conference    
15:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories January 0.007  
15:30 United Kingdom BOE Gov Mark Carney Speaks    
16:30 U.S. FOMC Member Rosengren Speaks    
19:00 U.S. FOMC meeting minutes    
22:29
Australia: AIG Services Index, December 52.1
21:14
Major US stock indexes ended in positive territory

Major US stock indices rose moderately against the background of a rise in prices for shares of the utility sector and the service sector, as well as hopes for progress in the US-China trade negotiations.

The Dow Jones report said that China and the United States are not yet ready to make a trade deal, but subsequent negotiations at Cabinet level are expected later in January. Also, referring to the sources, it is known that the negotiators have narrowed the differences on trade.

In addition, a vacancy and labor turnover survey (JOLTS), published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, showed that in November, the number of vacancies fell to 6.888 million from 7.131 million in October (revised from 7.079 million). Analysts had expected the number of vacancies to drop to 7.063 million. The level of vacancies decreased by 0.1% and amounted to 4.4%. The number of vacancies decreased in the private sector (-237 00) and has changed little in the government sphere. As for industries, the number of vacancies increased in the field of transport, warehousing and utilities (+40,000), but decreased in a number of industries, with the largest drop in the other services sector (-66,000) and the construction sector (-45,000 ).

Most of the components of DOW recorded an increase (26 of 30). The growth leader was the shares of The Boeing Company (BA, + 3.63%). The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. shares turned out to be an outsider. (GS, -0.53%).

All sectors of the S & P finished trading in positive territory. The greatest growth was shown by the utility sector (+ 1.4%).

At the time of closing:

Dow 23,787.45 +256.10 +1.09%

S & P 500 2,574.41 +24.72 +0.97%

Nasdaq 100 6,897.00 +73.53 +1.08%

20:50
Schedule for tomorrow, Wednesday, January 9, 2019
Time Country Event Period Previous value Forecast
00:00 Japan Labor Cash Earnings, YoY November 1.5% 1.3%
00:30 Australia Building Permits, m/m November -1.5% -0.5%
07:00 Germany Current Account November 15.9 25.5
07:00 Germany Trade Balance (non s.a.), bln November 18.3  
07:45 France Consumer confidence December 92 90
08:00 Switzerland Foreign Currency Reserves December 749  
08:15 Switzerland Consumer Price Index (MoM) December -0.3%  
08:15 Switzerland Consumer Price Index (YoY) December 0.9%  
10:00 Eurozone Unemployment Rate November 8.1% 8.1%
13:15 Canada Housing Starts December 215.9 205
14:00 U.S. FOMC Member Charles Evans Speaks    
15:00 Canada Bank of Canada Rate 1.75% 1.75%
15:00 Canada Bank of Canada Monetary Policy Report    
15:15 Canada BOC Press Conference    
15:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories January 0.007  
15:30 United Kingdom BOE Gov Mark Carney Speaks    
16:30 U.S. FOMC Member Rosengren Speaks    
19:00 U.S. FOMC meeting minutes    
20:02
U.S.: Consumer Credit , November 22.2 (forecast 17.5)
20:01
DJIA +1.00% 23,767.55 +236.20 Nasdaq +0.92% 6,886.50 +63.02 S&P +0.78% 2,569.70 +20.01
17:00
European stocks closed: FTSE 100 +50.72 6861.60 +0.74% DAX +56.17 10803.98 +0.52% CAC 40 +54.10 4773.27 +1.15%
15:03
U.S job openings rose less than expected in November

The number of job openings fell to 6.9 million on the last business day of November, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the month, hires edged down to 5.7 million, quits edged down to 3.4 million, and total separations were little changed at 5.5 million. Within separations, the quits rate and the layoffs and discharges rate were unchanged at 2.3 percent and 1.2 percent, respectively. This release includes estimates of the number and rate of job openings, hires, and separations for the nonfarm sector by industry and by four geographic regions.


15:02
U.S.: JOLTs Job Openings, November 6.888 (forecast 7.063)
14:33
U.S. Stocks open: Dow +1.19%, Nasdaq +1.06%, S&P +1.07%
14:24
Before the bell: S&P futures +0.81%, NASDAQ futures +0.85%

U.S. stock-index futures surged on Tuesday, helped by expectations that the United States and China would strike a deal to end their months-long trade tensions.


Global Stocks:

Index/commodity

Last

Today's Change, points

Today's Change, %

Nikkei

20,204.04

+165.07

+0.82%

Hang Seng

25,875.45

+39.75

+0.15%

Shanghai

2,526.46

-6.63

-0.26%

S&P/ASX

5,722.40

+39.20

+0.69%

FTSE

6,882.87

+71.99

+1.06%

CAC

4,796.94

+77.77

+1.65%

DAX

10,884.88

+137.07

+1.28%

Crude

$49.34


+1.69%

Gold

$1,281.50


-0.65%

14:07
Canadian exports fell 2.9% in November, mainly on lower crude oil exports, while imports decreased 0.5%

As a result, Canada's merchandise trade deficit with the world widened from $851 million in October to $2.1 billion in November.

Total exports fell 2.9% to $48.3 billion in November, a fourth consecutive monthly decline. Export volumes were down 1.8% while prices fell 1.1%. Exports were down in 8 of 11 sections in November and, as was the case in October, energy products contributed the most to the decline. Exports excluding energy products decreased 1.4%.

Following a 6.7% decline in October, exports of energy products fell 9.2% to $8.4 billion in November. Crude oil exports (-17.7%) led the decrease, driven by a 13.9% drop in prices, which were down for a third consecutive month. Crude oil export volumes were down 4.4% in November. Lower exports of crude oil were partially offset by higher exports of coal to South Korea, China and Viet Nam.


13:51
Wall Street. Stocks before the bell

(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)


ALTRIA GROUP INC.

MO

49.2

0.42(0.86%)

3047

Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ

AMZN

1,657.99

28.48(1.75%)

120535

American Express Co

AXP

98.31

0.14(0.14%)

9118

Apple Inc.

AAPL

148.68

0.75(0.51%)

229360

AT&T Inc

T

31.29

0.40(1.30%)

108525

Boeing Co

BA

332.55

4.44(1.35%)

14224

Caterpillar Inc

CAT

130

1.77(1.38%)

3545

Chevron Corp

CVX

113.44

1.18(1.05%)

1682

Cisco Systems Inc

CSCO

43.55

0.34(0.79%)

7471

Citigroup Inc., NYSE

C

56

0.39(0.70%)

7995

Deere & Company, NYSE

DE

155.52

1.36(0.88%)

433

Exxon Mobil Corp

XOM

72.1

0.58(0.81%)

11067

Facebook, Inc.

FB

139.65

1.60(1.16%)

156489

FedEx Corporation, NYSE

FDX

168.63

1.90(1.14%)

2753

Ford Motor Co.

F

8.4

0.11(1.33%)

23614

Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE

FCX

11.12

0.12(1.09%)

1057

General Electric Co

GE

8.87

0.13(1.49%)

976911

General Motors Company, NYSE

GM

34.92

0.56(1.63%)

19256

Goldman Sachs

GS

177.49

1.47(0.84%)

1986

Google Inc.

GOOG

1,074.68

6.29(0.59%)

7562

Hewlett-Packard Co.

HPQ

21.67

0.72(3.44%)

1100

Home Depot Inc

HD

178.82

1.78(1.01%)

4757

HONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL INC.

HON

135

-0.37(-0.27%)

479

Intel Corp

INTC

47.91

0.47(0.99%)

14897

International Business Machines Co...

IBM

119

0.85(0.72%)

4065

Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

127.57

0.56(0.44%)

3820

JPMorgan Chase and Co

JPM

101.4

0.64(0.64%)

16592

McDonald's Corp

MCD

181.5

1.28(0.71%)

2958

Merck & Co Inc

MRK

75.78

0.35(0.46%)

1270

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

103

0.94(0.92%)

115267

Nike

NKE

76.45

0.73(0.96%)

1745

Procter & Gamble Co

PG

92.8

0.68(0.74%)

5828

Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ

SBUX

63.5

-0.07(-0.11%)

478

Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ

TSLA

342.3

7.34(2.19%)

144899

The Coca-Cola Co

KO

47.2

0.25(0.53%)

1822

Twitter, Inc., NYSE

TWTR

31.79

0.45(1.44%)

39864

UnitedHealth Group Inc

UNH

243.99

3.91(1.63%)

1369

Verizon Communications Inc

VZ

57.19

0.47(0.83%)

5206

Visa

V

137.13

1.07(0.79%)

9830

Wal-Mart Stores Inc

WMT

95.1

0.56(0.59%)

2054

Walt Disney Co

DIS

111.31

0.75(0.68%)

18259

Yandex N.V., NASDAQ

YNDX

28.97

-0.05(-0.17%)

3100

13:45
Downgrades before the market open

Honeywell (HON) downgraded to Perform from Outperform at Oppenheimer

13:30
Canada: Trade balance, billions, November -2.06 (forecast -1.95)
11:15
The eurozone business climate index fell to 0.82 in December, from 1.04 in November, compared with a WSJ consensus forecast of 0.99

The eurozone business climate index fell to 0.82 in December, from 1.04 in November, compared with a WSJ consensus forecast of 0.99, while the economic sentiment index fell to 107.3 from 109.5, below the consensus for a smaller drop to 108.5. The euro falls to 1.1436 from 1.1452 beforehand, nearing the lowest level of the day. Earlier in the day, EUR/USD fell as low as 1.1432 after German industrial production fell 1.9% in December, its sharpest drop since the summer of 2015. - via WSJ

11:12
Saudi Arabia Plan Export Cut of 800,000 Barrels a Day From Nov Levels - OPEC Officials

  • Saudis to Make New Export Cuts, Hoping for $80 Oil

  • Plan Aggressive Export Cuts in Effort to Lift Oil Prices

  • To Trim Exports in Effort to Lift Crude Prices

10:00
Eurozone: Consumer Confidence, December -6.2 (forecast -6.2)
10:00
Eurozone: Industrial confidence, December 1.1 (forecast 3.0)
10:00
Eurozone: Business climate indicator , December 0.82 (forecast 0.99)
10:00
Eurozone: Economic sentiment index , December 107.3 (forecast 108.4)
08:50
UK house price index up 2.2% in December
  • Prices in the three months to December were 1.3% higher than in the same three months a year earlier – up from the 0.3% annual growth rate recorded in November

  • House prices in the latest quarter (October-December) were 0.4% lower than in the preceding three months (July - September)

  • On a monthly basis, house prices increased by 2.2% in December, following a 1.2% fall in November • The average house price is now £229,729

Russell Galley, Managing Director, Halifax, said: “In December the average cost of a home was £229,729 and annual house price growth stood at 1.3%. A stronger monthly growth figure for December reversed a weak November figure, monthly fluctuations are common, leaving the annual figure very firmly in the range of 0-3% as we forecast at the start of the year. In 2019, we’re expecting continued stability in house prices with between 2% and 4% price inflation. This is slightly stronger than 2018, but still fairly subdued by modern comparison. However, this expectation will clearly be dependent on the Brexit outcome, with risks to both sides of our forecast”.

08:33
Switzerland: Retail Sales (MoM), November 0.2%
08:32
Switzerland: Retail Sales Y/Y, November 0.2%
08:31
United Kingdom: Halifax house price index 3m Y/Y, December 1.3% (forecast 0.4%)
08:31
United Kingdom: Halifax house price index, December 2.2% (forecast 0.2%)
08:01
France: Trade Balance, bln, November -5.1 (forecast -6.0)
07:56
Options levels on tuesday, January 8, 2019 EURUSD GBPUSD

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1585 (414)

$1.1574 (386)

$1.1565 (544)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1438

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1397 (2283)

$1.1361 (2657)

$1.1322 (8552)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date February, 8 is 64041 contracts (according to data from January, 7) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1350 (8552);


GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.2908 (261)

$1.2894 (116)

$1.2872 (35)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.2763

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.2701 (430)

$1.2661 (319)

$1.2613 (635)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date February, 8 is 18720 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3200 (1716);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date February, 8 is 21171 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2600 (1900);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.13 versus 1.15 from the previous trading day according to data from January, 7

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

07:54
Fed's Bostic Sees One Interest Rate Increase for 2019

  • Views Neutral Interest Rate Between 2.5% and 3.25%

07:53
Fed's Bostic: Economy Continues to Produce at Robust Level, Outlook Is Good

  • There Are Clouds Out There; Business Owners Uncertain About 3 to 6 Months Out

  • If Government Shutdown Lingers, It Will Become Material for U.S. Economy

  • If Tariff Levels Rise Further, Consumers Will Start to See Price Increases in Way They Haven't Yet

  • Expects Economic Growth to Slow in 2019, But Not a Recession

07:51
Australia's trade balance surplus rose less than expected in November

  • In trend terms, the balance on goods and services was a surplus of $2,259m in November 2018, a decrease of $7m on the surplus in October 2018.

  • In seasonally adjusted terms, the balance on goods and services was a surplus of $1,925m in November 2018, a decrease of $88m on the surplus in October 2018.

  • In seasonally adjusted terms, goods and services credits rose $532m (1%) to $38,445m. Non-monetary gold rose $681m (60%). Non-rural goods fell $173m (1%) and rural goods fell $34m (1%). Net exports of goods under merchanting remained steady at $37m. Services credits rose $57m (1%).

07:46
Swiss retail sales declined less than expected in November

Turnover in the retail sector fell by 0.2% in nominal terms in November 2018 compared with the previous year. Seasonally adjusted, nominal turnover rose by 0.2% compared with the previous month. These are provisional findings from the Federal Statistical Office (FSO).

Real turnover in the retail sector also adjusted for sales days and holidays fell by 0.5% in November 2018 compared with the previous year. Real growth takes inflation into consideration. Compared with the previous month, real, seasonally adjusted retail trade turnover registered an increase of 0.2%.


07:44
In November 2018, German production in industry was down by 1.9% from the previous month

In November 2018, production in industry was down by 1.9% from the previous month on a price, seasonally and calendar adjusted basis according to provisional data of the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis). The revised figure shows a decrease of 0.8% (primary -0.5%) from October 2018.

In November 2018, production in industry excluding energy and construction was down by 1.8%. Within industry, the production of capital goods decreased by 1.8% and the production of intermediate goods by 1.0%. The production of consumer goods showed a decrease of 4.1%. Outside industry, energy production was down by 3.1% in November 2018 and the production in construction decreased by 1.7%.


07:03
Germany: Industrial Production s.a. (MoM), November -1.9% (forecast 0.3%)
06:47
Switzerland: Unemployment Rate (non s.a.), December 2.7%
05:00
Japan: Consumer Confidence, December 42.7%
00:46
Australia: Trade Balance , November 1.925 (forecast 2.165)
00:30
Stocks. Daily history for Monday, January 7, 2019
Index Change, points Closed Change, %
NIKKEI 225 477.01 20038.97 2.44
Hang Seng 209.67 25835.7 0.82
KOSPI 26.85 2037.1 1.34
ASX 200 63.8 5683.2 1.14
FTSE 100 -26.54 6810.88 -0.39
DAX -19.88 10747.81 -0.18
Dow Jones 98.19 23531.35 0.42
S&P 500 17.75 2549.69 0.7
NASDAQ Composite 84.61 6823.47 1.26

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