CFD Markets News and Forecasts — 07-06-2018

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07.06.2018
23:51
Japan: GDP, y/y, Quarter I -0.6% (forecast -0.4%)
23:50
Japan: GDP, q/q, Quarter I -0.2% (forecast -0.1%)
23:50
Japan: Current Account, bln, April 1.845 (forecast 2096.5)
22:35
Commodities. Daily history for June 07’2018:


Raw materials

Closing price

% change

Oil

65.99

+1.95%

Gold

1,301.00

-0.03%

22:32
Stocks. Daily history for June 07’2018:


Index

Closing price

Change items

% change

Nikkei

+197.53

22823.26

+0.87%

SHANGHAI

-6.20

3108.98

-0.20%

ASX 200

+32.20

6057.30

+0.53%

NZ50

+86.07

8899.52

+0.98%

Euro Stoxx 50

-1.05

3459.77

0.03%

FTSE 100

-7.97

7704.40

-0.10%

DAX

-19.02

12811.05

-0.15%

CAC 40

-9.20

5448.36

-0.17%

DJIA

+95.02

25241.41

+0.38%

S&P 500

-1.98

2770.37

-0.07%

NASDAQ

-54.17

7635.07

-0.70%

22:27
Currencies. Daily history for June 07’2018:


Pare

Closed

% change

EUR/USD

$1,1797

+0,68%

GBP/USD

$1,3417

+0,02%

USD/CHF

Chf0,97981

-0,62%

USD/JPY

Y109,69

-0,40%

EUR/JPY

Y129,42

-0,23%

GBP/JPY

Y147,179

-0,38%

AUD/USD

$0,7624

-0,60%

NZD/USD

$0,7028

-0,10%

USD/CAD

C$1,29741

+0,24%

22:01
Schedule for today, Thursday, June 08’2018 (GMT+3)

Time

Country


Index


Period

Previous value

Forecast

03:00

China

Trade Balance

May

28.78

31.9

05:00

Japan

Eco Watchers Survey: Current

May


49

49.4

05:00

Japan

Eco Watchers Survey: Outlook

May


50.1


06:00

Germany

Current Account

April

29.1


06:00

Germany

Industrial Production s.a. (MoM)

April

1%

0.3%

06:00

Germany

Trade Balance (non s.a.), bln

April

25.2


06:45

France

Industrial Production, m/m

April

-0.4%

0.3%

07:15

Eurozone

ECB's Yves Mersch Speaks




12:00

United Kingdom

Housing Starts

May

0.1%


12:15

Canada

Capacity Utilization Rate

May

214

218

12:30

Canada

Unemployment rate

I кв

86%

85.2%

12:30

Canada

Employment

May

5.8%

5.8%

12:30

Canada

Wholesale Inventories

May

-1.1

17.5

14:00

USA

Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count

April

0.2%

0%

17:00

USA

Trade Balance

June

861

20:08
The main US stock indexes finished trading without a single dynamics

Major US stock indexes ended the trading session mixed. Technological stocks stopped their growth, and Nasdaq declined for the first time in five days, while the McDonald's stock surge allowed Dow to fix a moderate increase.

Market participants are also waiting for the Fed meeting, which is scheduled for June 12-13, and remain cautious on the eve of the G7 summit, which will be held on June 8-9.

Slight influence on the course of trading was provided by data from IBD / TIPP, which indicated that the index of economic optimism in the US improved in June, but was below expert predictions. The index rose in June by 0.3 points, to 53.9 points, while experts expected that it would increase to 54.2 points. The index is above the level of 50 points for 21 consecutive months (since October 2016), which is the longest series in the history of this study.

Quotes of oil rose by more than 2%, which was due to concern about a sharp decline in exports from Venezuela, although the increase in oil production in the US was holding back the price increase. Venezuela, which faces the threat of US sanctions and is in the midst of an economic crisis, is almost a month behind in sending crude oil to customers from its main export terminals. Chronic delays and a decline in production may violate contracts for the delivery of the state company PDVSA, if the backlog is not eliminated in the near future.

Most DOW components recorded a rise (21 out of 30). The leader of growth was the shares of McDonald's Corporation (MCD, + 4.35%). Outsider were shares of Intel Corporation (INTC, -1.97%).

Most sectors of the S & P finished trading in the red. The commodities sector grew most (+ 0.5%), while the technological sector showed the largest decline (-1.0%).

At closing:

Dow 25,240.58 +94.19 +0.37%

S&P 500 2,770.38 -1.97 -0.07%

Nasdaq 100 7,635.07 -54.17 -0.70%

19:00
DJIA +0.34% 25,232.40 +86.01 Nasdaq -0.73% 7,632.90 -56.35 S&P -0.12% 2,769.16 -3.19
19:00
U.S.: Consumer Credit , April 9.26 (forecast 13.75)
16:00
European stocks closed: FTSE 100 -7.97 7704.40 -0.10% DAX -19.02 12811.05 -0.15% CAC 40 -9.20 5448.36 -0.17%
14:48
EU officials are said to be dismissive of U.K. backstop plan
13:33
U.S. Stocks open: Dow +0.34% Nasdaq +0.07%, S&P +0.16%
13:20
Before the bell: S&P futures +0.08%, NASDAQ futures -0.08%

U.S. stock-index futures were flat on Thursday, after a solid growth in the first four sessions of June, which pushed the Nasdaq to new record highs. Investors are looking for more clues on global trade prospects, as key U.S. allies are set to meet at the G7 summit in Canada on June 8-9.


Global Stocks:

Index/commodity

Last

Today's Change, points

Today's Change, %

Nikkei

22,823.26

+197.53

+0.87%

Hang Seng

31,512.63

+253.53

+0.81%

Shanghai

3,108.98

-6.20

-0.20%

S&P/ASX

6,057.30

+32.20

+0.53%

FTSE

7,726.16

+13.79

+0.18%

CAC

5,463.13

+5.57

+0.10%

DAX

12,831.98

+1.91

+0.01%

Crude

$65.30


+0.88%

Gold

$1,305.80


+0.34%

12:48
Wall Street. Stocks before the bell

(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)

ALCOA INC.

AA

49.74

-0.39(-0.78%)

1171

Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ

AMZN

1,696.37

0.62(0.04%)

20400

Apple Inc.

AAPL

193.95

-0.03(-0.02%)

115763

AT&T Inc

T

33.18

-0.20(-0.60%)

109769

Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE

ABX

13.02

0.08(0.62%)

16993

Boeing Co

BA

373

1.44(0.39%)

10924

Caterpillar Inc

CAT

157

0.49(0.31%)

2518

Chevron Corp

CVX

124

0.62(0.50%)

3449

Cisco Systems Inc

CSCO

44.2

-0.06(-0.14%)

4391

Citigroup Inc., NYSE

C

68.63

0.40(0.59%)

16406

Exxon Mobil Corp

XOM

82.38

0.32(0.39%)

14609

Facebook, Inc.

FB

191.3

-0.04(-0.02%)

32234

FedEx Corporation, NYSE

FDX

258.5

1.95(0.76%)

2592

Ford Motor Co.

F

12.01

0.04(0.33%)

55167

Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE

FCX

18.27

0.07(0.38%)

93399

General Electric Co

GE

13.65

0.01(0.07%)

204989

General Motors Company, NYSE

GM

43.7

0.15(0.34%)

6129

Goldman Sachs

GS

233.51

1.28(0.55%)

14397

Google Inc.

GOOG

1,136.00

-0.88(-0.08%)

2390

International Business Machines Co...

IBM

145

0.29(0.20%)

744

International Paper Company

IP

59.02

0.03(0.05%)

138

Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

123

0.21(0.17%)

1830

JPMorgan Chase and Co

JPM

110.98

0.62(0.56%)

30919

McDonald's Corp

MCD

163.44

1.06(0.65%)

22207

Merck & Co Inc

MRK

61.97

0.04(0.06%)

733

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

102.5

0.01(0.01%)

43850

Nike

NKE

74.84

0.09(0.12%)

1572

Procter & Gamble Co

PG

74.48

0.13(0.17%)

1913

Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ

SBUX

57.09

-0.08(-0.14%)

2162

Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ

TSLA

318.5

-1.00(-0.31%)

54575

The Coca-Cola Co

KO

43.5

0.04(0.09%)

2222

United Technologies Corp

UTX

127

0.18(0.14%)

107

UnitedHealth Group Inc

UNH

249

0.35(0.14%)

2517

Verizon Communications Inc

VZ

48.32

-0.09(-0.19%)

1961

Visa

V

136.64

0.36(0.26%)

6136

Wal-Mart Stores Inc

WMT

84.7

0.14(0.17%)

1832

Walt Disney Co

DIS

102

0.09(0.09%)

13707

Yandex N.V., NASDAQ

YNDX

35.86

0.06(0.17%)

5000

12:45
Analyst coverage resumption before the market open

Verizon (VZ) resumed with a Hold at Jefferies; target $52

12:44
Downgrades before the market open

AT&T (T) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies

12:39
U.S initial jobless claims in line with expectations last week

In the week ending June 2, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 222,000, a decrease of 1,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 2,000 from 221,000 to 223,000. The 4-week moving average was 225,500, an increase of 2,750 from the previous week's revised average. The previous week's average was revised up by 500 from 222,250 to 222,750.

12:38
UK will leave the customs union when it leaves the EU: Official
12:30
U.S.: Initial Jobless Claims, June 222 (forecast 225)
12:30
U.S.: Continuing Jobless Claims, May 1741 (forecast 1738)
11:36
Turkey Central Bank Raises One-Week Repo Rate to 17.75% From 16.5%

  • Decided to Strenghten Monetary Tightening to Support Price Stability

  • Will Continue to Use All Monetary Policy Tools for Price Stability

  • Will Maintain Tight Stance in Monetary Policy Until Inflation Outlook Improves

10:57
May Confident David Davis Stays as BREXIT Secretary: Donnelly
09:43
Italian retail sales down 4.6% on year

In April 2018, both the value and volume of retail trade show a fall respectively of -4.6% and -5.4% comparing to April 2017, following strong growth in March 2018.

Notwithstanding the monthly volatility, looking at the underlying pattern, the 3 months to April picture reports a slight decline as value decreased by 0.5% and volume contracted by 0.2%.

In April 2018, the indices of retail trade saw a monthly recession, with value falling by 0.7% and volume dropping by 0.9%.

While both large scale distribution and small scale distribution strongly decreased when compared to April 2017, the online sales increased year-on-year by 16.2%.

09:41
Seasonally adjusted GDP rose by 0.4% in both the euro area (EA19) and the EU28 during the first quarter

Seasonally adjusted GDP rose by 0.4% in both the euro area (EA19) and the EU28 during the first quarter of 2018, compared with the previous quarter, according to an estimate published by Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. In the fourth quarter of 2017, GDP had grown by 0.7% in both zones. Compared with the same quarter of the previous year, seasonally adjusted GDP rose by 2.5% in the euro area and by 2.4% in the EU28 in the first quarter of 2018, after +2.8% and +2.7% respectively in the previous quarter. During the first quarter of 2018, GDP in the United States increased by 0.5% compared with the previous quarter (after +0.7% in the fourth quarter of 2017). Compared with the same quarter of the previous year, GDP grew by 2.8% (after +2.6% in the previous quarter).

09:00
Eurozone: GDP (QoQ), Quarter I 0.4% (forecast 0.4%)
09:00
Eurozone: GDP (YoY), Quarter I 2.5% (forecast 2.5%)
07:38
UK house prices grew by 1.5% on a monthly basis, in contrast to a decline seen in April

  • House prices in the three months to May were 1.9% higher than the same period a year earlier; experiencing slower growth than the 2.2% annual growth in April and 0.2% higher than in the preceding three months (December-February 2018)

  • On a monthly basis, prices rose by 1.5% in May, partially reversing the 3.1% monthly decline in April.

  • The average house price is now £224,439

Russell Galley, Managing Director, Halifax, said: "House prices grew by 1.5% on a monthly basis, in contrast to a decline seen in April. The month on month figures are more volatile than the quarterly or annual measures. In the three months to May house prices were 0.2% higher than the previous quarter and on an annual basis they are 1.9% higher. Both of these measures have fallen since reaching a recent peak, in the final months of last year."

07:30
United Kingdom: Halifax house price index 3m Y/Y, May 1.9% (forecast 1.9%)
07:30
United Kingdom: Halifax house price index, May 1.5% (forecast 1%)
07:01
Switzerland: Foreign Currency Reserves, May 741
06:58
European bourses are set to join the overnight rally on Wall Street and in Asia with futures trading firmly higher ahead of the open
06:45
France: Trade Balance, bln, April -5 (forecast -5.3)
06:35
Options levels on thursday, June 7, 2018 EURUSD GBPUSD

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1952 (2554)

$1.1903 (2407)

$1.1858 (4374)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1798

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1730 (3959)

$1.1692 (4736)

$1.1646 (3000)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date June, 8 is 167347 contracts (according to data from June, 6) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1500 (6047);


GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.3555 (1375)

$1.3510 (1492)

$1.3473 (1855)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.3429

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.3393 (1144)

$1.3371 (2547)

$1.3337 (2284)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date June, 8 is 41167 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3600 (2277);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date June, 8 is 43938 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3400 (2547);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.07 versus 1.05 from the previous trading day according to data from June, 6.

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

06:20
Futures: Eurostoxx +0,5% DAX +0,5% FTSE +0,3% CAC 40 +0,5%
06:14
Japan's leading index rose as expected m/m

Japan's leading index increased as expected in April, according to rttnews.

The leading index, which measures the future economic activity, climbed to 105.6 in April from 104.5 in March.

Similarly, the coincident index that reflects the current economic activity improved to 117.7 in April from 116.0 in the previous month. That was just below the expected score of 117.8.

The lagging index came in at 116.9 in April versus 118.2 in March.

06:07
German factory orders declined 2.5% in April

Based on provisional data, the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis) reports that price-adjusted new orders in manufacturing had decreased in April 2018 a seasonally and calendar adjusted 2.5% on the previous month. For March 2018, revision of the preliminary outcome resulted in a decrease of 1.1% compared with February 2018 (primary -0.9%). Price-adjusted new orders without major orders in manufacturing had decreased in April 2018 a seasonally and calendar adjusted 1.7% on the previous month.

Domestic orders decreased by 4.8% and foreign orders decreased by 0.8% in April 2018 on the previous month. New orders from the euro area were down 9.9%, new orders from other countries increased 5.4% compared to March 2018.

In April 2018 the manufacturers of intermediate goods saw new orders rise by 2.5% compared with March 2018. The manufacturers of capital goods showed decreases of 5.6% on the previous month. For consumer goods, a decrease in new orders of 2.2% was recorded.

06:00
Germany: Factory Orders s.a. (MoM), April -2.5% (forecast 0.8%)
05:55
Australian trade balance surplus lower than expected in April

In trend terms, the balance on goods and services was a surplus of $1,461m in April 2018, an increase of $300m on the surplus in March 2018.

In seasonally adjusted terms, the balance on goods and services was a surplus of $977m in April 2018, a decrease of $754m on the surplus in March 2018.

In seasonally adjusted terms, goods and services credits fell $763m (2%) to $34,188m. Non-rural goods fell $544m (2%), non-monetary gold fell $294m (16%) and rural goods fell $8m. Net exports of goods under merchanting rose $5m (83%). Services credits rose $78m (1%).

05:53
Siwss unemployment rate in line wtih expectations in May

According to the State Secretariat for Economic Affairs (SECO) surveys, at the end of May 2018, 109'392 unemployed people were enrolled in the Regional Employment Centers (RAV), 10'389 fewer than in the previous month. The unemployment rate fell from 2.7% in April 2018 to 2.4% in the month under review. Compared to the same month of the previous year, unemployment fell by 30,386 persons (-21.7%).

05:45
Switzerland: Unemployment Rate (non s.a.), May 2.4% (forecast 2.5%)
05:16
Japan: Coincident Index, April 117.7 (forecast 115.6)
05:16
Japan: Leading Economic Index , April 105.6 (forecast 104.8)
01:30
Australia: Trade Balance , April 0.977 (forecast 0.98)

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