CFD Markets News and Forecasts — 05-06-2017

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05.06.2017
22:29
Commodities. Daily history for Jun 05’2017:

(raw materials / closing price /% change)

Oil 47.39-0.02%

Gold 1,281.90-0.06%

22:28
Stocks. Daily history for Jun 05’2017:

(index / closing price / change items /% change)

Nikkei -6.46 20170.82 -0.03%

TOPIX -2.23 1609.97 -0.14%

Hang Seng -61.06 25862.99 -0.24%

CSI 300 -17.76 3468.75 -0.51%

Euro Stoxx 50 -12.27 3579.55 -0.34%

FTSE 100 -21.87 7525.76 -0.29%

DAX +158.02 12822.94 +1.25%

CAC 40 -35.52 5307.89 -0.66%

DJIA -22.25 21184.04 -0.10%

S&P 500 -2.97 2436.10 -0.12%

NASDAQ -10.11 6295.68 -0.16%

S&P/TSX -32.97 15409.78 -0.21%

22:27
Currencies. Daily history for Jun 05’2017:

(pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,1254 -0,24%

GBP/USD $1,2899 +0,08%

USD/CHF Chf0,9648 +0,27%

USD/JPY Y110,50 +0,06%

EUR/JPY Y124,36 -0,18%

GBP/JPY Y142,53 +0,13%

AUD/USD $0,7482 +0,55%

NZD/USD $0,7135 -0,13%

USD/CAD C$1,3472 -0,07%

21:57
Schedule for today,Tuesday, Jun 06’2017 (GMT0)

00:00 Japan Labor Cash Earnings, YoY April -0.4%

01:30 Australia Current Account, bln Quarter I -3.9 0.0

04:30 Australia Announcement of the RBA decision on the discount rate 1.5% 1.5%

04:30 Australia RBA Rate Statement

08:30 Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence June

09:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (MoM) April 0.3% 0.2%

09:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (YoY) April 2.3% 2.3%

14:00 Canada Ivey Purchasing Managers Index May 62.4

14:00 U.S. JOLTs Job Openings April 5.743

23:30 Australia AiG Performance of Construction Index May 51.9

20:08
The main US stock indexes completed the session in a negative territory

Major US stock markets closed lower than zero on Monday, as Apple pulled the market slightly down after lowering the rating.

Shares of iPhone maker (AAPL) declined after brokerage company Pacific Crest lowered their rating to "Together with the market" from "Better than the market".

In addition, as it became known from the report from Markit, the growth of business activity in the US services sector slightly accelerated in May, reaching a three-month high. This extended the current period of activity growth to 15 months. New orders also grew at a faster pace and rose as much as possible from January. As a result, firms increased the number of jobs, while the growth rate accelerated to a three-month high. Inflation in purchasing prices has moderately weakened, while prices charged by service providers in the United States have increased more rapidly. The seasonally adjusted index of business activity continued to hold above the neutral level of 50.0 in May, reaching a level of 53.6, compared with 53.1 in April, which marked the largest increase in total activity since February.

At the same time, the index of business activity in the US services sector, calculated by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM), fell to 56.9 points in May from 57.5 in April. According to the forecast, the figure should drop to 57 points. The ISM said that the expansion of activity in the service sector has been fixed for the 88th month in a row.

Oil prices fell by about 1% on Monday, reacting to fears that the severance of ties with Qatar, announced by the largest oil exporter - Saudi Arabia - and other Arab states could prevent a global deal to reduce oil production.

Most components of the DOW index closed in positive territory (16 out of 30). Most fell shares of Apple Inc. (AAPL, -1.04%). Leader of growth were shares of Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. (WMT, + 0.94%).

Almost all sectors of the S & P index recorded a decline. The conglomerate sector fell most of all (-0.5%). Only the technological sector showed growth (+ 0.2%).

At closing:

DJIA -0.10% 21.184.38 -21.91

Nasdaq -0.16% 6,295.68 -10.12

S & P -0.12% 2.436.11 -2.96

19:00
DJIA -0.04% 21,197.15 -9.14 Nasdaq -0.07% 6,301.48 -4.32 S&P -0.06% 2,437.72 -1.35
16:00
European stocks closed: FTSE 100 -21.87 7525.76 -0.29% DAX Closed CAC 40 -35.52 5307.89 -0.66%
14:07
US factory orders declined 0.2% in April

New orders for manufactured durable goods in April, down following four consecutive monthly increases, decreased $1.8 billion or 0.8 percent to $231.0 billion, down from the previously published 0.7 percent decrease. This followed a 2.4 percent March increase. Transportation equipment, down following two consecutive monthly increases, led the decrease, $1.1 billion or 1.4 percent to $78.4 billion. New orders for manufactured nondurable goods increased $1.0 billion or 0.4 percent to $238.0 billion.

14:06
US ISM indicate continued growth in the non-manufacturing sector at a slightly slower rate in May

The report was issued today by Anthony Nieves, Chair of the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Non-Manufacturing Business Survey Committee:

"The NMI registered 56.9 percent, which is 0.6 percentage point lower than the April reading of 57.5 percent. This represents continued growth in the non-manufacturing sector at a slightly slower rate. The Non-Manufacturing Business Activity Index decreased to 60.7 percent, 1.7 percentage points lower than the April reading of 62.4 percent, reflecting growth for the 94th consecutive month, at a slower rate in May. The New Orders Index registered 57.7 percent, 5.5 percentage points lower than the reading of 63.2 percent in April. The Employment Index increased 6.4 percentage points in May to 57.8 percent from the April reading of 51.4 percent.

The Prices Index decreased 8.4 percentage points from the April reading of 57.6 percent to 49.2 percent, indicating prices decreased in May for the first time after 13 consecutive months of increasing. According to the NMI, 17 non-manufacturing industries reported growth. Although the non-manufacturing sector's growth rate dipped in May, the sector continues to reflect strength, buoyed by the strong rate of growth in the Employment Index. The majority of respondents' comments continue to indicate optimism about business conditions and the overall economy."

14:00
U.S.: ISM Non-Manufacturing, May 56.9 (forecast 57)
14:00
U.S.: Factory Orders , April -0.2% (forecast -0.2%)
13:45
U.S.: Services PMI, May 53.6 (forecast 54)
13:40
Russian Central Bank governor Nabiullina says will consider cutting rates by 25 or 50 bps in June
13:31
U.S. Stocks open: Dow -0.08%, Nasdaq -0.02%, S&P -0.10%
13:30
Option expiries for today's 10:00 ET NY cut

EURUSD: 1.1200 ( EUR 473m) 1.1230-35 (963m) 1.1275 (185m) 1.1300 (1.4bln) 1.1350 (206m0

USDJPY: 109.00 (USD 503m) 109.30 (255m) 110.00 (480m) 111.00 (806m) 112.00 (458m)

AUDUSD: 0.7350 (AUD 224m) 0.7375 (442m) 0.7475 (277m) 0.7500 (324m) 0.7550-60 (340m)

USDCAD: 1.3375 (USD 201m) 1.3500 (455m)

USDCAD: 1.3400 (214m) 1.3520 (221m) 1.3600 (195m) 1.3650 (241m)

NZDUSD: 0.7030-35 (NZD 381m)

EURJPY: 123.27 (EUR 195m) 125.50 (406m)

13:20
Before the bell: S&P futures -0.10%, NASDAQ futures -0.12%

U.S. stock-index futures were flat as investors appeared to have shrugged off the weekend attacks in London, while waiting for several important macroeconomic releases.

Stocks:

Nikkei 20,170.82 -6.46 -0.03%

Hang Seng 25,862.99 -61.06 -0.24%

Shanghai 3,091.53 -14.01 -0.45%

S&P/ASX 5,754.87 -33.25 -0.57%

FTSE 7,528.47 -19.16 -0.25%

CAC 5,301.40 -42.01 -0.79%

DAX -

Crude $47.25 (-0.86%)

Gold $1,283.40 (+0.25%)

13:18
Russian Central Bank governor Nabiullina says new laws needed to protect banks from cyber crimes
13:00
Wall Street. Stocks before the bell

(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)

Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ

AMZN

1005.6

-1.13(-0.11%)

7511

Apple Inc.

AAPL

154.37

-1.08(-0.69%)

360670

Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE

ABX

16.29

0.09(0.56%)

5875

Boeing Co

BA

190.24

0.01(0.01%)

12898

Caterpillar Inc

CAT

106

0.05(0.05%)

13494

Chevron Corp

CVX

103.64

0.53(0.51%)

3848

Cisco Systems Inc

CSCO

31.99

0.01(0.03%)

18342

Citigroup Inc., NYSE

C

61.01

-0.10(-0.16%)

52202

Exxon Mobil Corp

XOM

79.49

-0.01(-0.01%)

4854

Facebook, Inc.

FB

153.2

-0.41(-0.27%)

44003

FedEx Corporation, NYSE

FDX

203.7

0.59(0.29%)

5664

Ford Motor Co.

F

11.33

-0.02(-0.18%)

46962

Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE

FCX

11.2

-0.09(-0.80%)

4375

General Electric Co

GE

27.87

-0.01(-0.04%)

136883

Goldman Sachs

GS

213.11

-0.20(-0.09%)

2375

Intel Corp

INTC

36.25

-0.07(-0.19%)

17113

Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

129.86

-0.22(-0.17%)

429

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

71.73

-0.03(-0.04%)

35572

Nike

NKE

52.52

-0.46(-0.87%)

14281

Pfizer Inc

PFE

32.56

0.02(0.06%)

4025

Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ

TSLA

338.25

-1.60(-0.47%)

27263

The Coca-Cola Co

KO

45.73

-0.16(-0.35%)

895

Twitter, Inc., NYSE

TWTR

18.28

-0.03(-0.16%)

10774

Verizon Communications Inc

VZ

46.45

0.01(0.02%)

4286

Walt Disney Co

DIS

106.66

-0.52(-0.49%)

1539

Yandex N.V., NASDAQ

YNDX

26.5

0.18(0.68%)

5450

12:42
Downgrades before the market open

Apple (AAPL) downgraded to Sector Weight from Overweight at Pacific Crest

12:40
Upgrades before the market open

Exxon Mobil (XOM) upgraded to Sector Outperform from Sector Perform at Scotia Howard Weil

12:36
US nonfarm business sector labor productivity and unit labor costs mixed in Q1

Nonfarm business sector labor productivity was unchanged during the first quarter of 2017, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, as both

output and hours worked increased 1.7 percent. From the first quarter of 2016 to the first quarter of 2017, productivity increased 1.2 percent, reflecting a 2.5-percent increase in output and a 1.3-percent increase in

hours worked.

Unit labor costs in the nonfarm business sector increased 2.2 percent in the first quarter of 2017, reflecting a 2.2-percent increase in hourly compensation; productivity was unchanged. Unit labor costs increased 1.1 percent over the last four quarters.

12:30
U.S.: Nonfarm Productivity, q/q, Quarter I 0% (forecast -0.2%)
12:30
U.S.: Unit Labor Costs, q/q, Quarter I 2.2% (forecast 2.5%)
12:00
Orders AUDUSD EURGBP EURJPY EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY

EUR/USD

Offers: 1.1285 1.1300 1.1320 1.1335 1.1350 1.1380 1.1400

Bids: 1.1250 1.1230 1.1200 1.1180 1.1150 1.1120 1.1100

GBP/USD

Offers: 1.2885 1.2900 1.2930 1.2950 1.2985 1.3000

Bids: 1.2850 1.2830 1.2800 1.2785 1.2750 1.2730 1.2700

EUR/JPY

Offers: 124.80 125.00 125.30 125.50 125.80 126.00

Bids: 124.30 124.00 123.80 123.50 123.00

EUR/GBP

Offers: 0.8765 0.8785 0.8800 0.8820 0.8850

Bids: 0.8735 0.8700 0.8685 0.8665 0.8650

USD/JPY

Offers: 110.65 110.80 111.00 111.30 111.50 111.80 112.00

Bids: 110.30 110.00 109.50 109.30 109.00

AUD/USD

Offers: 0.7480 0.7500 0.7530 0.7550 0.7580 0.7600

Bids: 0.7450 0.7420-25 0.7400 0.7380 0.7350 0.7300

11:56
Britain's Corbyn says Theresa May should never have cut the police numbers - Sky
  • Opposition leader Corbyn calls on PM May to resign for presiding over police staffing cuts

11:41
U.K. PM May's spokeswoman says government working closely with police on election security, robust plans have been in place for weeks
10:19
British PM May says have protected counter terrorism policing budgets
  • Now clear that victims came from a number of nationalities

  • Police have put additional security measures in place

  • National threat level remains at severe

09:59
Sterling hits day's high of $1.2911, turns positive after ICM poll shows Conservatives leading by 11 points
09:27
UK Conservatives set to win 305 seats in UK election, 21 seat short of majority in Parliament - Yougov election model
08:32
GBP/USD declined moderately after UK services PMI miss expectations in May

May data highlighted a renewed slowdown in business activity growth across the UK service economy, following the four-month peak achieved in April. This partly reflected a softer pace of new order growth, which survey respondents linked to squeezed household budgets and, in some cases, delayed decision making among clients ahead of the General Election. There were positive developments in terms of cost pressures during May, with the latest survey pointing to the least marked rise in input prices since September 2016. This resulted in a moderation in output charge inflation from April's near-nine year peak.

The headline seasonally adjusted IHS Markit/CIPS Services PMI Business Activity Index registered 53.8 in May, to remain above the 50.0 no-change value for the tenth consecutive month. However, the index dropped from 55.8 in April and signalled the slowest expansion of service sector output since February. Anecdotal evidence from survey respondents mainly cited weaker new business growth in May.

08:30
United Kingdom: Purchasing Manager Index Services, May 53.8 (forecast 55)
08:14
The rate of eurozone economic growth continued to run at the quickest pace in six years

The rate of eurozone economic growth continued to run at the quickest pace in six years during May. This was confirmed by the final IHS Markit Eurozone PMI Composite Output Index posting 56.8, unchanged from the earlier flash estimate and April's final reading.

The latest expansion of output was supported by strong growth of incoming new business. New orders increased at an identical pace to April, one of the steepest gains signalled for six years.

08:00
Eurozone: Services PMI, May 56.3 (forecast 56.2)
07:58
German services PMI rose more than expected in May

The seasonally adjusted IHS Markit Germany Services PMI Business Activity Index remained well above the no-change mark of 50.0 in May. The Index was unchanged from April at 55.4 and close to March's 15-month high of 55.6, signalling a sustained strong expansion in service sector output. The headline figure also remained above its long-run average of 53.2 since the survey began in June 1997. Activity has risen continuously for four years, the second-longest sequence of growth in the survey history.

07:55
Germany: Services PMI, May 55.4 (forecast 55.2)
07:53
The strong upturn in business activity continued in the French service sector in May.

Furthermore, the rate of growth quickened from the previous month and was just shy of March's near six-year high. Underpinning output growth was another marked expansion in new business which, in turn, contributed to a sharp rise in employment. Nevertheless, the level of outstanding business continued to accumulate.

The headline seasonally adjusted Business Activity Index posted 57.2 in May. Up from 56.7 in April, the latest index reading pointed to a marginally stronger rise in activity. The sharpest rate of growth continued to be recorded in the Post & Telecommunications sub-sector

07:50
France: Services PMI, May 57.2 (forecast 58)
07:49
Forex option contracts rolling off today at 14.00 GMT:

EURUSD: 1.1200 ( EUR 473m) 1.1230-35 (963m) 1.1275 (185m) 1.1300 (1.4bln) 1.1350 (206m0

USDJPY: 109.00 (USD 503m) 109.30 (255m) 110.00 (480m) 111.00 (806m) 112.00 (458m)

AUDUSD: 0.7350 (AUD 224m) 0.7375 (442m) 0.7475 (277m) 0.7500 (324m) 0.7550-60 (340m)

USDCAD: 1.3375 (USD 201m) 1.3500 (455m)

USDCAD: 1.3400 (214m) 1.3520 (221m) 1.3600 (195m) 1.3650 (241m)

NZDUSD: 0.7030-35 (NZD 381m)

EURJPY 123.27 (EUR 195m) 125.50 (406m)

07:47
Italy’s services economy continued to display strong growth

Italy's services economy continued to display strong growth momentum mid-way through the second quarter, according to the latest IHS Markit PMI survey. Business activity and order books both increased substantially during May, albeit at slightly slower rates than those seen in April. Services firms faced an increase in cost pressures, however, as input prices rose to the greatest extent for almost a year.

The headline seasonally adjusted IHS Markit Business Activity Index - which is based on a single question asking respondents to report on the actual change in business activity at their companies compared to one month ago - registered a reading of 55.1 in May, down slightly from April's 56.2 but still one of the highest in the past ten years

07:16
The recent strong growth rates generated by the Spanish service sector continued in May - Markit

Further sharp increases were recorded in business activity and new orders. With workloads rising, and the prospect of new projects in future, companies took on extra staff again. Meanwhile, inflationary pressures moderated during the month.

The headline seasonally adjusted Business Activity Index posted at 57.3 in May. Although slightly below the previous month's reading of 57.8, the index still pointed to a sharp monthly increase in activity and one that was broadly in line with those recorded since February.

06:44
Saudi Arabia cuts diplomatic ties with Qatar: State TV
06:40
Australian business inventories rose 0.6% in the March quarter

The trend estimate for inventories rose 0.6% in the March quarter 2017. The seasonally adjusted estimate rose 1.2% this quarter.

The trend estimate for Manufacturing sales of goods and services fell 1.0% this quarter. The seasonally adjusted estimate fell 1.4% this quarter.

The trend estimate for Wholesale trade sales of goods and services rose 1.9% this quarter. The seasonally adjusted estimate rose 1.5%.

The seasonally adjusted estimate for company gross operating profits rose 6.0% in the March quarter 2017.

The seasonally adjusted estimate for wages and salaries rose 0.3% in the March quarter 2017.

06:34
Chinese service providers noting an acceleration in business activity growth - Markit

The Caixin China Composite PMI data (which covers both manufacturing and services) indicated only a modest expansion of overall output during May. At 51.5, the Composite Output Index rose slightly from April's ten-month low of 51.2, but nonetheless posted the second-lowest reading seen since September 2016.

Data split by sector highlighted differing trends, with service providers noting an acceleration in business activity growth while manufacturers saw only a marginal rise in production. Furthermore, goods producers registered the slowest increase in output for 11 months. In contrast, services activity expanded at a solid pace that was the quickest since January, as shown by the seasonally adjusted Caixin China General Services Business Activity Index posting 52.8 in May, up from 51.5 in April.

06:32
Putin says not aware of Kushner back-channel comms proposal @zerohedge
05:31
Global Stocks

European stocks trimmed earlier gains to ended with a small advance on Friday after U.S. jobs data fell short of expectations and raised questions about the strength of the world's largest economy. The pullback came after the closely watched U.S. nonfarm payrolls report showed 138,000 jobs were added to the economy in May, far below the consensus forecast of 185,000. The unemployment rate, however, fell to 4.3% from 4.4%, the lowest since 2001.

U.S. stock-market indexes closed at records Friday, led by gains for technology shares as investors looked past a weaker-than-expected May jobs report. The S&P 500 index SPX, +0.37% closed up 9.01 points, or 0.4%, at a record 2,349.07, after touching an intraday record at 2,440.23. Tech, with a 1% rise, was the top performing sector. Energy shares finished down 1.2%, largely following oil prices. Financials stocks were another area of weakness on Wall Street, with the sector trading 0.4% lower.

Stock markets in the Asia-Pacific region were stable early Monday after the latest terror attacks in London, though benchmarks in Korea and Australia succumbed to profit taking ahead of elections in the U.K.

04:40
Options levels on monday, June 5, 2017

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1377 (3159)

$1.1346 (5602)

$1.1323 (4372)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1263

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1213 (1790)

$1.1178 (2779)

$1.1138 (2826)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date June, 9 is 82251 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1000 (5925);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date June, 9 is 105763 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,0700 (5456);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.29 versus 1.26 from the previous trading day according to data from June, 2

GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.3201 (2738)

$1.3102 (3399)

$1.3005 (4376)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.2864

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.2793 (2460)

$1.2695 (2549)

$1.2597 (1637)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date June, 9 is 38562 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3000 (4376);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date June, 9 is 40466 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2750 (3107);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.05 versus 1.03 from the previous trading day according to data from June, 2

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

01:45
China: Markit/Caixin Services PMI, May 52.8
01:30
Australia: ANZ Job Advertisements (MoM), May 0.4%
01:30
Australia: Company Gross Profits QoQ, Quarter I 6.0% (forecast 4.5%)
01:16
Australia: MI Inflation Gauge, m/m, 0%

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