CFD Markets News and Forecasts — 04-10-2018

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04.10.2018
23:30
Japan: Household spending Y/Y, August 2.8% (forecast -0.1%)
23:10
Commodities. Daily history for October 04’ 2018:


Raw materials

Closing price

% change

Oil

$74.67

-2.28%

Gold

$1,203.30

+0.03%

23:07
Stocks. Daily history for October 04’ 2018:


Index

Change items

Closing price

% change

Nikkei

-135.34

23975.62

-0.56%

ASX 200

+30.20

6176.30

+0.49%

HSI

-467.39

26623.87

-1.73%

KOSPI

-35.08

2274.49

-1.52%

FTSE 100

-91.94

7418.34

-1.22%

DAX

-43.44

12244.14

-0.35%

CAC 40

-80.55

5410.85

-1.47%

DJIA

-200.91

26627.48

-0.75%

S&P 500

-23.90

2901.61

-0.82%

NASDAQ

-145.57

7879.51

-1.81%

22:54
Currencies. Daily history for October 04’ 2018:


Pare

Closed

% change

EUR/USD

$1,1513

+0,28%

GBP/USD

$1,3020

+0,54%

USD/CHF

Chf0,99156

+0,13%

USD/JPY

Y113,88

-0,52%

EUR/JPY

Y131,13

-0,23%

GBP/JPY

Y148,284

+0,02%

AUD/USD

$0,7077

-0,43%

NZD/USD

$0,6476

-0,64%

USD/CAD

C$1,29228

+0,42%

22:30
Australia: AiG Performance of Construction Index, September 49.3
20:30
Major US stock indexes finished trading in the red

Major US stock indexes have declined significantly, as the growth in US government bond yields to multi-year highs amid steady economic data and optimistic comments by the head of the Fed has raised concerns about accelerating inflation.

Some attention was also attracted by data on the United States. The Department of Labor said that the number of Americans applying for unemployment benefits fell to a 49-year low last week, indicating a steady strength in the labor market, which should continue to support economic growth. Primary claims for state unemployment benefits fell by 8,000 to 207,000, taking into account seasonal fluctuations for the week ending Sept. 29. The data for the previous week was revised to show 1,000 more applications received than previously reported. Economists had forecast that in the last week, bids would fall to 213,000. The four-week moving average of initial hits rose by 500 to 207,000 last week.

Meanwhile, a report from the Department of Commerce showed that orders for US manufactured goods rose by 2.3% in August to $ 510.47 billion. Economists had expected an increase of 2.1% in August compared with the previous month. Orders for freight traffic, apparently, led to an increase in profits in August with an impressive increase of 13.1% compared with the previous month. It was the biggest gain in more than a year.

Most of the components of DOW finished trading in the red (24 of 30). Outsiders were NIKE, Inc. shares. (NKE, -2.81%). The growth leader was Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ, + 1.34%).

All sectors of the S & P recorded a decline. The largest decline was shown by the technology sector (-1.7%)

At the time of closing:

Dow 26,627.48 -200.91 -0.75%

S & P 500 2,901.61 -23.90 -0.82%

Nasdaq 100 7,879.51 -145.57 -1.81%

19:01
DJIA -0.87% 26,594.08 -234.31 Nasdaq -1.86% 7,875.91 -149.17 S&P -0.94% 2,898.01 -27.50
16:00
European stocks closed: FTSE 100 -91.94 7418.34 -1.22% DAX -43.44 12244.14 -0.35% CAC 40 -80.55 5410.85 -1.47%
15:59
EU's Barnier says we are in the final stage of negotiations & working hand-in-hand with the Irish government - Reuters
15:58
U.S new orders for manufactured durable goods in August increased $11.1 billion or 4.5 percent to $259.6 billion

New orders for manufactured durable goods in August increased $11.1 billion or 4.5 percent to $259.6 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This increase, up two of the last three months, followed a 1.2 percent July decrease. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 0.1 percent. Excluding defense, new orders increased 2.6 percent. Transportation equipment, also up two of the last three months, led the increase, $10.9 billion or 13.0 percent to $95.3 billion.

Shipments of manufactured durable goods in August, up three of the last four months, increased $1.9 billion or 0.8 percent to $253.1 billion. This followed a 0.1 percent July decrease. Transportation equipment, up two of the last three months, led the increase, $1.6 billion or 1.9 percent to $86.0 billion.

14:00
U.S.: Factory Orders , August 2.3% (forecast 2.1%)
14:00
Canada: Ivey Purchasing Managers Index, September 50.4 (forecast 62.3)
13:32
U.S. Stocks open: Dow -0.18%, Nasdaq -0.39%, S&P -0.23%
13:28
Before the bell: S&P futures -0.32%, NASDAQ futures -0.48%

U.S. stock-index futures fell on Thursday, as a climb in Treasury yields to multi-year highs weighed on market sentiment.


Global Stocks:

Index/commodity

Last

Today's Change, points

Today's Change, %

Nikkei

23,975.62

-135.34

-0.56%

Hang Seng

26,623.87

-467.39

-1.73%

Shanghai

-

-

-

S&P/ASX

6,176.30

+30.20

+0.49%

FTSE

7,432.55

-77.73

-1.03%

CAC

5,428.47

-62.93

-1.15%

DAX

12,296.60

+9.02

+0.07%

Crude

$75.92


-0.64%

Gold

$1,207.60


+0.39%

12:50
Wall Street. Stocks before the bell

(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)


3M Co

MMM

216

0.29(0.13%)

775

ALCOA INC.

AA

44.27

2.71(6.52%)

171707

Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ

AMZN

1,984.00

12.69(0.64%)

47897

American Express Co

AXP

108.41

0.02(0.02%)

106

AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP

AIG

53.24

0.12(0.23%)

610

Apple Inc.

AAPL

230.44

1.16(0.51%)

157180

AT&T Inc

T

33.95

0.03(0.09%)

12632

Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE

ABX

11.66

-0.03(-0.26%)

52057

Boeing Co

BA

388.95

2.58(0.67%)

6092

Caterpillar Inc

CAT

155.45

0.63(0.41%)

1867

Chevron Corp

CVX

125.12

0.38(0.30%)

2777

Cisco Systems Inc

CSCO

49.05

0.04(0.08%)

12974

Citigroup Inc., NYSE

C

72.35

0.55(0.77%)

12127

Facebook, Inc.

FB

160.1

0.77(0.48%)

112710

FedEx Corporation, NYSE

FDX

239.26

0.26(0.11%)

300

Ford Motor Co.

F

9.26

0.06(0.65%)

157511

Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE

FCX

14

0.11(0.79%)

38815

General Electric Co

GE

12.26

-0.06(-0.49%)

177515

General Motors Company, NYSE

GM

34.9

1.60(4.80%)

943046

Goldman Sachs

GS

227.72

1.65(0.73%)

2312

Google Inc.

GOOG

1,204.82

4.71(0.39%)

1371

Home Depot Inc

HD

205.6

0.85(0.42%)

2603

Intel Corp

INTC

48.49

0.39(0.81%)

123924

International Business Machines Co...

IBM

153.98

0.23(0.15%)

1707

JPMorgan Chase and Co

JPM

114.8

0.83(0.73%)

15021

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

115.6

0.45(0.39%)

22056

Nike

NKE

82.31

-0.46(-0.56%)

2587

Pfizer Inc

PFE

44.39

0.17(0.38%)

2741

Procter & Gamble Co

PG

84.4

0.04(0.05%)

406

Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ

SBUX

55.68

0.09(0.16%)

880

Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ

TSLA

303.73

2.71(0.90%)

91044

Twitter, Inc., NYSE

TWTR

28.36

0.17(0.60%)

12991

UnitedHealth Group Inc

UNH

272

1.37(0.51%)

41199

Verizon Communications Inc

VZ

54.5

0.08(0.15%)

1825

Wal-Mart Stores Inc

WMT

95.45

0.30(0.32%)

4968

Walt Disney Co

DIS

117.8

0.14(0.12%)

10782

Yandex N.V., NASDAQ

YNDX

32.89

0.14(0.43%)

7440

12:48
Target price changes before the market open

HP (HPQ) target raised to $32 from $29 at Maxim Group

12:47
Analyst coverage initiations before the market open

McDonald's (MCD) initiated with Overweight at KeyBanc Capital Mkts

Starbucks (SBUX) initiated with Overweight at KeyBanc Capital Mkts

IBM (IBM) initiated with a Sell at MoffettNathanson; target $150

12:33
U.S initial jobless claims lower than expected last week

In the week ending September 29, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 207,000, a decrease of 8,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 214,000 to 215,000. The 4-week moving average was 207,000, an increase of 500 from the previous week's revised average. The previous week's average was revised up by 250 from 206,250 to 206,500.

12:30
U.S.: Initial Jobless Claims, September 207 (forecast 213)
12:30
U.S.: Continuing Jobless Claims, September 1650 (forecast 1665)
12:00
Bank of Japan seen tolerating yield rise - Reuters
11:00
The U.S 10-year Treasury note yield rose 5.7 basis points to reach 3.216% early Thursday, extending its moves to the highest rates since 2011, a day after marking its largest one-day yield climb since March 2017
09:53
ECB Bond Purchases Don't Violate EU Ban on Monetary Financing - Adviser to EU Court

  • EU Court Will Rule Later on Legality of ECB Bond Purchases

  • German Court Had Suggested ECB Bond-Buying Program Might Be Illegal

  • Bond-Buying Program Doesn't Exceed Powers of ECB

08:45
ECB's QE program is in line with EU law - EU court aide
08:40
Danske Bank A/S said Thursday it has received requests for information from the U.S. Department of Justice in connection with a criminal investigation into its Estonian branch

  • The latest development relating to allegations of illicitly moving more than $230 billion out of Russia and other former Soviet states.

07:31
Italy's Di Maio: All Measures Envisaged In Budget Fully Funded @LiveSquawk
07:30
FTSE -21.88 7488.40 -0.29% DAX -14.58 12273.00 -0.12% CAC -14.63 5476.77 -0.27%
07:07
Options levels on thursday, October 4, 2018 EURUSD GBPUSD

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1658 (2703)

$1.1624 (2066)

$1.1591 (576)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1476

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1447 (2738)

$1.1399 (2978)

$1.1349 (2938)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date October, 15 is 95236 contracts (according to data from October, 3) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1600 (5401);


GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.3109 (2492)

$1.3074 (1836)

$1.3026 (725)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.2954

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.2893 (2469)

$1.2846 (1938)

$1.2798 (2211)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date October, 15 is 28617 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3200 (2818);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date October, 15 is 39449 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2900 (2469);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.38 versus 1.36 from the previous trading day according to data from October, 3.

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

07:06
Ireland backs May’s plan for all-UK customs union with EU - FT
06:52
Powell: Financial Stability Risks Are Moderate

  • Fed Looking For New Ways To Be More Transparent

  • Says He Did Not Speak With Trump After President's Fed Tweets

06:47
Fed's Powell: We're 'A Long Way' From Neutral Interest Rates

  • Range of Indicators Signal Closeness to Full Employment

  • Labor Force Participation Solid Given Aging Population

  • U.S. Not In Imminent Danger of Wage Increases Promoting Price Inflation

  • No Reason to Think Cycle Can't Continue 'Effectively Indefinitely'

06:33
Futures: DAX -0,2% FTSE -0,3% CAC 40 -0,4%
06:28
Australian trade balance surplus rose more than expected in August

  • In trend terms, the balance on goods and services was a surplus of $1,716m in August 2018, an increase of $121m on the surplus in July 2018.

  • In seasonally adjusted terms, the balance on goods and services was a surplus of $1,604m in August 2018, an increase of $56m on the surplus in July 2018.

  • In seasonally adjusted terms, goods and services credits rose $185m (1%) to $36,562m. Non-monetary gold rose $228m (13%) and rural goods rose $134m (3%). Non-rural goods fell $222m (1%). Net exports of goods under merchanting remained steady at $18m. Services credits rose $45m (1%).

06:19
U.K.'s May Plans Rushing Brexit Deal Through Parliament To Head Off Rebellion From Own Party - Bloomberg
01:30
Australia: Trade Balance , August 1.604 (forecast 1.4)

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