CFD Markets News and Forecasts — 04-09-2017

(raw materials / closing price /% change)

Oil 47.37 +0.17%

Gold 1,339.40 +0.68%

(index / closing price / change items /% change)

Nikkei -183.22 19508.25 -0.93%

TOPIX -16.04 1603.55 -0.99%

Hang Seng -212.90 27740.26 -0.76%

CSI 300 +15.08 3845.62 +0.39%

Euro Stoxx 50 -13.46 3430.42 -0.39%

FTSE 100 -27.03 7411.47 -0.36%

DAX -40.43 12102.21 -0.33%

CAC 40 -19.29 5103.97 -0.38%

DJIA +39.46 21987.56 +0.18%

S&P 500 +4.90 2476.55 +0.20%

NASDAQ +6.67 6435.33 +0.10%

S&P/TSX -20.27 15191.60 -0.13%

(pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,1895 +0,29%

GBP/USD $1,2926 -0,18%

USD/CHF Chf0,95757 -0,72%

USD/JPY Y109,67 -0,51%

EUR/JPY Y130,47 -0,21%

GBP/JPY Y141,771 -0,70%

AUD/USD $0,7945 -0,29%

NZD/USD $0,7159 +0,08%

USD/CAD C$1,24104 +0,13%

01:30 Australia Current Account, bln Quarter II -3.1 -8.05

01:45 China Markit/Caixin Services PMI August 51.5

04:30 Australia Announcement of the RBA decision on the discount rate 1.5% 1.5%

04:30 Australia RBA Rate Statement

05:45 Switzerland Gross Domestic Product (YoY) Quarter II 0.7% 1.1%

05:45 Switzerland Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) Quarter II 0.3% 0.5%

07:15 Switzerland Consumer Price Index (MoM) August -0.3%

07:15 Switzerland Consumer Price Index (YoY) August 0.3% 0.5%

07:50 France Services PMI (Finally) August 56 55.5

07:55 Germany Services PMI (Finally) August 53.1 53.4

08:00 Eurozone Services PMI (Finally) August 55.4 54.9

08:30 United Kingdom Purchasing Manager Index Services August 53.8 53.5

09:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (YoY) July 3.1% 2.5%

09:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (MoM) July 0.5% -0.1%

14:00 U.S. Factory Orders July 3% -3.2%

• Merkel will consult in october with other EU leaders about Turkey's accession to the EU, unanimity is necessary

• Turkey's EU minister says talk of ending Ankara's EU accession process is an "attack on Europe's founding principles"

EURUSD: 1.1900(EUR 245 млн) 1.1940 (275 млн)

USDJPY: 109.00 (USD 300 млн) 110.00 (795 млн) 111.00 (540 млн)

GBPUSD: Ntg of note

AUDNZD: 1.0830 (AUD 380 млн) 1.0950 (AUD 460 млн) 1.1050 (655 млн)

USDCNY: 6.6000 (USD 1.1 млрд)

• Calls on U.N. security council to adopt new resolution including stronger measures regarding North Korea

• G7 countries condemn North Korea nuclear test, says must abandon all nuclear missile programs

In July 2017, compared with June 2017, industrial producer prices remained stable in the euro area (EA19), while they rose by 0.1% in the EU28, according to estimates from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. In June 2017 prices decreased by 0.2% in the euro area and by 0.3% in the EU28. In July 2017, compared with July 2016, industrial producer prices rose by 2.0% in the euro area and by 2.3% in the EU28.

The 2.0% increase in industrial producer prices in total industry in the euro area in July 2017, compared with July 2016, is due to rises of 2.7% for intermediate goods, of 2.4% for non-durable consumer goods, of 2.0% in the energy sector, of 0.9% for capital goods and of 0.5% for durable consumer goods. Prices in total industry excluding energy rose by 2.1%. In the EU28, the 2.3% price increase is due to rises of 2.8% for intermediate goods, the energy sector and nondurable consumer goods, of 1.0% for capital goods and of 0.9% for durable consumer goods. Prices in total industry excluding energy also rose by 2.3%.

EURUSD: 1.1900(EUR 245m) 1.1940 (275m)

USDJPY: 109.00 (USD 300m) 110.00 (795m) 111.00 (540m)

GBPUSD: Ntg of note

AUDNZD: 1.0830 (AUD 380m) 1.0950 (AUD 460m) 1.1050 (655m)

USDCNY: 6.6000 (USD 1.1bln)

Reduced levels of commercial work were a key source of weakness, which offset robust growth in residential building. There were also signs of a sustained soft patch ahead, with new business volumes falling for the second month running. Survey respondents linked subdued demand to reduced business investment and heightened economic uncertainty. As a result, construction firms exerted greater caution in terms of their staff hiring, with employment numbers rising at the slowest pace since July 2016.

At 51.1 in August, the seasonally adjusted IHS Markit/CIPS UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) remained above the 50.0 no-change threshold for the twelfth month running. However, the latest reading was down from 51.9 in July and pointed to the weakest overall UK construction performance since August 2016. A key reason for the slowdown was a lack of new orders to replace completed projects, according the survey respondents.

The overall index rises slightly to 28.2 points. The situation index and expectations show little change in the previous month. Last month, the German and US data were disappointing. There are moderate counter-movements in both regions this month. All other world regions remain on a growth path. In Japan the situation is strikingly upward and reaches the highest value since summer 2007.

In September 2017, the Euroland economy continues to perform well. The overall index rises slightly to 28.2 points. Location and expectations have hardly changed.

The decline in German index values in the last month has been partly corrected (+1). However, the sentix inves-tors do not share the same optimism, as it is reflected in the ifo index.

The sentix economic index is also improving slightly in the US, but it's still not an all-clear signal. On the other hand, the other world regions are strong. Above all, Japan is in the best position since summer 2007. The recover-ies in Eastern Europe and Latin America are progressing slowly.

The number of unemployed registered in the offices of the Public Employment Service (SEPE) has increased in August by 46,400 people in relation to the previous month. In the last 8 years this month registered unemployment had increased by 44,063 people.

Thus, the total number of registered unemployed stands at 3,382,324. It reaches its lowest level in the last 8 years. In seasonally adjusted terms, unemployment rises to 11,437 people. In the last 12 months, unemployment has been reduced by 315,172 people, with one month remaining a high annual rate of reduction, which stands at 8.52%.

• The trend estimate for inventories rose 0.3% in the june quarter 2017. The seasonally adjusted estimate fell 0.4% this quarter.

• The trend estimate for manufacturing sales of goods and services fell 0.2% this quarter. The seasonally adjusted estimate rose 0.9% this quarter.

• The trend estimate for wholesale trade sales of goods and services rose 0.2% this quarter. The seasonally adjusted estimate fell 1.6%.

Current price estimates:

• The seasonally adjusted estimate for company gross operating profits fell 4.5% in the june quarter 2017.

• The seasonally adjusted estimate for wages and salaries rose 1.2% in the june quarter 2017.

U.S. equities finished the week and the first trading day of September with a gain Friday, on expectations that a weaker-than-expected rise in August nonfarm payrolls could dull the Federal Reserve's desire to further raise borrowing costs in 2017. The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, +0.18% finished up 39.46 points, or 0.2%, at 21,987.56, powered by moves in General Electric Co. GE, +2.40% Chevron Corp. CVX, +1.06% and Nike Inc. NKE, +1.04% recording a weekly gain of 0.8%.

European stocks closed higher for a third straight session on Friday, boosted by a news report saying the European Central Bank will likely wait until December to unveil a plan to taper its asset purchases. Softer-than-expected U.S. jobs data also helped spur a positive mood on the stock markets, as they were seen as weakening the case for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates again this year.

Asian stocks fell as investors turned to haven assets after the dictatorship tested a nuclear bomb yesterday, sending the yen, gold and Treasury futures higher. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index was on track for the biggest drop since the tension between the US and North Korea flared up following Donald Trump's "fire and fury comments" in early August.

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1980 (3367)

$1.1949 (4404)

$1.1924 (3415)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1881

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1801 (2415)

$1.1770 (4433)

$1.1733 (3753)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date September, 8 is 145269 contracts (according to data from September, 1) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1600 (6345);

GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.3027 (3233)

$1.3001 (1238)

$1.2983 (1599)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.2953

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.2910 (1980)

$1.2878 (2724)

$1.2839 (2507)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date September, 8 is 35688 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3000 (3233);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date September, 8 is 31026 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2900 (2724);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.87 versus 0.86 from the previous trading day according to data from September, 1

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.