CFD Markets News and Forecasts — 04-06-2018

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04.06.2018
23:30
Japan: Household spending Y/Y, April -1.3% (forecast 0.8%)
23:29
Australia: AIG Services Index, May 59.0
22:39
Commodities. Daily history for June 04’2018:


Raw materials

Closing price

% change

Oil

64.88

-1.41%

Gold

1,295.90

-0.26%

22:36
Stocks. Daily history for June 04’2018:


Index

Closing price

Change items

% change

Nikkei

+304.59

22475.94

+1.37%

TOPIX

+25.52

1774.69

+1.46%

Hang Seng

+505.07

30997.98

+1.66%

CSI 300

+36.99

3807.58

+0.98%

Euro Stoxx 50

+16.03

3469.57

+0.46%

FTSE 100

+39.52

7741.29

+0.51%

DAX

+46.48

12770.75

+0.37%

CAC 40

+7.38

5472.91

+0.14%

DJIA

+178.48

24813.69

+0.72%

S&P 500

+12.25

2746.87

+0.45%

NASDAQ

+52.13

7606.46

+0.69%

S&P/TSX

+8.70

16052.24

+0.05%

22:27
Currencies. Daily history for June 04’2018:


Pare

Closed

% change

EUR/USD

$1,1696

+0,31%

GBP/USD

$1,3314

-0,27%

USD/CHF

Chf0,98783

+0,03%

USD/JPY

Y109,80

+0,27%

EUR/JPY

Y128,43

+0,58%

GBP/JPY

Y146,192

+0,01%

AUD/USD

$0,7647

+1,04%

NZD/USD

$0,7026

+0,41%

USD/CAD

C$1,29284

-0,26%

22:10
Schedule for today, Tuesday, June 05’2018 (GMT+3)


Time

Region

Event

Period

Previous

Forecast

02:30

Australia

AIG Services Index

May

55.2


02:30

Japan

Household spending Y/Y

April

-0.7%

0.8%

04:30

Australia

Current Account, bln

I quarter

-14

-9.95

04:45

China

Markit/Caixin Services PMI

May

52.9

52.9

07:30

Australia

Announcement of the RBA decision on the discount rate


1.5%

1.5%

07:30

Australia

RBA Rate Statement




10:50

France

Services PMI

May

57.4

54.3

10:55

Germany

Services PMI

May

53

52.1

11:00

Eurozone

Services PMI

May

54.7

53.9

11:30

United Kingdom

Purchasing Manager Index Services

May

52.8

53.0

12:00

Eurozone

Retail Sales (MoM)

April

0.1%

0.5%

12:00

Eurozone

Retail Sales (YoY)

April

0.8%

1.7%

13:00

United Kingdom

MPC Member Cunliffe Speaks




15:30

Canada

Labor Productivity

I quarter

0.2%

0.3%

16:00

Eurozone

ECB President Mario Draghi Speaks




16:45

USA

Services PMI

May

54.6

55.7

17:00

USA

ISM Non-Manufacturing

May

56.8

57.5

17:00

USA

JOLTs Job Openings

April

6.55

6.49

20:30

Germany

German Buba President Weidmann Speaks



20:13
The main US stock indexes finished trading on the positive territory

The main US stock indices grew moderately, helped by a rise in the price of shares in the consumer goods sector, as well as Friday labor market data, which gave investors greater confidence that the US economy remains strong.

Meanwhile, today's report from the Conference Board showed that the US employment trends index, which is a set of labor market indicators, declined in May, and interrupted the series of growth that lasted 5 months in a row. According to the data, the May index of employment trends deteriorated to 107.69 points compared to 108.00 points in April (revised from 108.08). This change represents an increase in the index by 3.9 percent compared to the same period in 2017. "The decline in the employment trends index in May is likely a return to the trend after a very rapid increase in recent months, given that the economy is growing significantly above the trend, we expect that steady job growth will continue despite difficulties in filling vacancies, "said Gad Levanon, chief economist for North America in the Conference Board.

Oil prices fell by about 1.5%, as production in the US reached a record level, and OPEC members are considering increasing the supply. Oil production in the US rose to 10.47 million barrels per day in March, which is a monthly record, the Energy Information Administration said last week. Meanwhile, on Friday, Baker Hughes reported that from May 26 to June 1, the number of active oil drilling rigs in the US increased by 2 pieces to 861 units (the highest since mid-March 2015). The number of gas production facilities decreased by 1, to 197 units. The total number of drilling rigs (gas, oil and other) increased by 1, to 1060 units.

Most of the components of DOW have finished trading in positive territory (22 out of 30). Leader of growth were shares of Walmart Inc. (WMT, + 2.94%). Outsider were shares of General Electric Company (GE, -2.84%).

Almost all sectors of S & P recorded a rise. The consumer goods sector grew most (+ 0.9%), while the utilities sector showed the largest decrease (-0.4%).

At closing:

Dow 24,813.69 +178.48 +0.72%

S&P 500 2,746.87 +12.25 +0.45%

Nasdaq 100 7,606.46 +52.13 +0.69%

19:00
DJIA +0.68% 24,802.99 +167.78 Nasdaq +0.63% 7,601.92 +47.59 S&P +0.45% 2,746.87 +12.25
16:00
European stocks closed: FTSE 100 +39.52 7741.29 +0.51% DAX +46.48 12770.75 +0.37% CAC 40 +7.38 5472.91 +0.14%
14:13
U.S factory orders down 0.8% in April

New orders for manufactured durable goods in April decreased $4.2 billion or 1.7 percent to $248.5 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This decrease, down following two consecutive monthly increases, followed a 2.7 percent March increase. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 0.9 percent. Excluding defense, new orders decreased 1.9 percent. Transportation equipment, also down following two consecutive monthly increases, drove the decrease, $5.6 billion or 6.1 percent to $87.1 billion.

14:00
U.S.: Factory Orders , April -0.8% (forecast -0.5%)
13:32
U.S. Stocks open: Dow +0.57% Nasdaq +0.28%, S&P +0.34%
13:27
Before the bell: S&P futures +0.33%, NASDAQ futures +0.35%

U.S. stock-index futures rose on Monday, as stronger-than-expected U.S. labour market data for May continued to push the stock market higher for the second day.


Global Stocks:

Index/commodity

Last

Today's Change, points

Today's Change, %

Nikkei

22,475.94

+304.59

+1.37%

Hang Seng

30,997.98

+505.07

+1.66%

Shanghai

3,091.19

+16.05

+0.52%

S&P/ASX

6,025.50

+35.10

+0.59%

FTSE

7,745.23

+43.46

+0.56%

CAC

5,486.61

+21.08

+0.39%

DAX

12,757.97

+33.70

+0.26%

Crude

$65.71


-0.15%

Gold

$1,301.00


+0.13%

12:56
Wall Street. Stocks before the bell

(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)


3M Co

MMM

200.37

0.78(0.39%)

198

ALCOA INC.

AA

47.98

0.34(0.71%)

100

ALTRIA GROUP INC.

MO

55.69

-0.03(-0.05%)

1883

Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ

AMZN

1,648.00

6.46(0.39%)

49310

American Express Co

AXP

98.81

0.56(0.57%)

550

Apple Inc.

AAPL

191.64

1.40(0.74%)

276790

AT&T Inc

T

32.52

0.05(0.15%)

10549

Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE

ABX

13.12

0.04(0.31%)

3940

Boeing Co

BA

358.4

1.68(0.47%)

7789

Caterpillar Inc

CAT

154

0.48(0.31%)

2943

Cisco Systems Inc

CSCO

43.85

0.19(0.44%)

11485

Citigroup Inc., NYSE

C

67.63

0.35(0.52%)

11115

Exxon Mobil Corp

XOM

81.91

0.08(0.10%)

4251

Facebook, Inc.

FB

191

-2.99(-1.54%)

537016

FedEx Corporation, NYSE

FDX

256.29

2.69(1.06%)

453

Ford Motor Co.

F

11.74

0.03(0.26%)

193254

Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE

FCX

17.3

0.18(1.05%)

22716

General Electric Co

GE

14.15

0.05(0.35%)

110410

Goldman Sachs

GS

229.85

1.50(0.66%)

3041

Google Inc.

GOOG

1,125.00

5.50(0.49%)

19483

Home Depot Inc

HD

187.9

0.55(0.29%)

1778

Intel Corp

INTC

57.4

0.32(0.56%)

32633

International Business Machines Co...

IBM

142.27

0.32(0.23%)

1484

International Paper Company

IP

55.75

0.51(0.92%)

3406

Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

121.51

0.25(0.21%)

4381

JPMorgan Chase and Co

JPM

109

0.60(0.55%)

23360

McDonald's Corp

MCD

159.93

0.77(0.48%)

1695

Merck & Co Inc

MRK

61.55

0.99(1.63%)

109553

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

101.5

0.71(0.70%)

62589

Nike

NKE

73.21

0.45(0.62%)

782

Pfizer Inc

PFE

36.21

-0.04(-0.11%)

2824

Procter & Gamble Co

PG

73.68

0.23(0.31%)

5029

Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ

SBUX

57.08

0.17(0.30%)

447

Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ

TSLA

295

3.18(1.09%)

52694

The Coca-Cola Co

KO

43.23

0.11(0.26%)

5011

Twitter, Inc., NYSE

TWTR

36.61

-0.04(-0.11%)

137983

United Technologies Corp

UTX

126.33

0.52(0.41%)

100

UnitedHealth Group Inc

UNH

243.72

0.37(0.15%)

417

Verizon Communications Inc

VZ

48.03

0.22(0.46%)

4418

Visa

V

131.31

0.46(0.35%)

7206

Wal-Mart Stores Inc

WMT

83.09

0.10(0.12%)

6921

Walt Disney Co

DIS

99.8

0.44(0.44%)

2289

Yandex N.V., NASDAQ

YNDX

34.68

0.28(0.81%)

400

12:56
As has been stated by numerous legal scholars, I have the absolute right to PARDON myself...@realDonaldTrump

"As has been stated by numerous legal scholars, I have the absolute right to PARDON myself, but why would I do that when I have done nothing wrong? In the meantime, the never ending Witch Hunt, led by 13 very Angry and Conflicted Democrats (& others) continues into the mid-terms!."

11:14
EU spokesman Schinas: next step on EMU will be at june European Council @livesquawk
09:55
Industrial producer prices remained stable in the euro area (EA19), while they rose by 0.1% in the EU28 y/y

In April 2018, compared with March 2018, industrial producer prices remained stable in the euro area (EA19), while they rose by 0.1% in the EU28, according to estimates from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. In March 2018, prices increased by 0.1% in both zones. In April 2018, compared with April 2017, industrial producer prices rose by 2.0% in the euro area and by 2.4% in the EU28.

Industrial producer prices in total industry remained stable in the euro area in April 2018, compared with March 2018, as prices increased by 0.2% for intermediate goods and by 0.1% for capital goods and durable consumer goods, while they remained stable for non-durable consumer goods and decreased by 0.4% in the energy sector. Prices in total industry excluding energy rose by 0.1%.

09:00
Eurozone: Producer Price Index (YoY), April 2% (forecast 2.4%)
09:00
Eurozone: Producer Price Index, MoM , April 0% (forecast 0.3%)
08:36
Big miss for Euro Zone Sentix investor confidence in June

The sentix economic expectations literally collapse in June. At -13.3 points, expectations are at their lowest level since August 2012! The overall index also falls significantly.

The current economic engine in Europe, the German economy, is also under pressure. For the fifth time in a row, the overall index for Germany has fallen to its lowest level since July 2016.

Internationally, the US economy is proving relatively robust, although the negative expectations of investors here also signal that the USA should not overstretch the curve. The Asia ex Japan region remains a source of hope for the global economy, where only positive expectations can be measured.

08:32
Latest PMI data signalled only a modest improvement in UK construction activity midway through the second quarter

Latest PMI data signalled only a modest improvement in UK construction activity midway through the second quarter, with the pace of expansion matching that registered in April. Commercial activity growth accelerated to a threemonth high in May; however, softer expansions in both residential and civil engineering activity were recorded. Furthermore, new order books contracted for the fourth time in the past five months amid general uncertainty in the sector.

At 52.5 in May, the seasonally adjusted IHS Markit/CIPS UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) remained unchanged since April. The figure was indicative of a moderate increase in total activity, albeit one that was subdued in the context of historical data.

08:30
United Kingdom: PMI Construction, May 52.5 (forecast 52.0)
08:27
The financial situation of euro area firms further improved, albeit at a slower pace - ECB survey

The financial situation of firms further improved, albeit at a slower pace than in the previous survey round. From October 2017 to March 2018, the percentage of euro area SMEs reporting a higher turnover decreased (24%, down from 27%). The moderation in turnover was also reflected in profits, as 4% of euro area SMEs reported increases, down from 5%, in a context of growing labour costs (50%, up from 49%) and other production costs (54%, up from 48%).

08:01
China ForMinistry: Door To Trade Talks With US Is Open @LiveSquawk
07:33
FTSE +31.36 7733.13 +0.41% DAX +114.09 12838.36 +0.90% CAC +30.95 5496.48 +0.57%
07:18
Spanish unemployment declined less than expected

The number of unemployed registered in the offices of the Public Employment Services has decreased in May by 83,738 people in relation to the previous month. In seasonally adjusted terms, unemployment has also fallen, in 3,236 people. With respect to May 2017, unemployment has reduced 208,998 people, which puts its year-on-year reduction level at 6.04%. Thus, the total number of unemployed registered is 3,252,130, the lowest since December 2008. This means that since the maximum recorded in February 2013, unemployment has been reduced by 1,788,092 people.

06:20
Italy's new Economy Minister Tria says there is no political force in Italy that wants to leave the euro
06:20
Trump: Would Not Mind Having Separate Trade Deals With Canada, Mexico @LiveSquawk
06:18
The United States must, at long last, be treated fairly on Trade...@realDonaldTrump

"The United States must, at long last, be treated fairly on Trade. If we charge a country ZERO to sell their goods, and they charge us 25, 50 or even 100 percent to sell ours, it is UNFAIR and can no longer be tolerated. That is not Free or Fair Trade, it is Stupid Trade!"

06:16
Fed's Williams tells Reuters that the Central Bank may lift interest rates beyond 'neutral' level
05:51
Australian retail sales rose 0.4 per cent in April

Australian retail turnover rose 0.4 per cent in April 2018, seasonally adjusted, with cafes, restaurants and takeaways leading the rise assisted by an unusually warm April across much of Australia, according to the latest Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) Retail Trade figures.

This follows a relatively unchanged result (0.0 per cent) in March 2018.

"Cafes, restaurants and takeaways (1.3 per cent) led the rises" said Ben James, Director of Quarterly Economy Wide Surveys, "whilst there were also rises in other retailing (0.9 per cent), food retailing (0.3 per cent) and household goods retailing (0.7 per cent). The rises were partially offset by falls in clothing, footwear and personal accessories (-0.8 per cent) and department stores (-0.9 per cent)."

"While industries including Cafes, restaurants and takeaways can benefit from warm weather, there were likely negative impacts for some businesses in clothing, footwear and personal accessories and department stores."

In seasonally adjusted terms, there were rises in New South Wales (0.7 per cent), Victoria (0.3 per cent), Western Australia (0.7 per cent), Queensland (0.1 per cent), the Northern Territory (2.6 per cent), Tasmania (0.9 per cent) and the Australian Capital Territory (0.6 per cent). South Australia (-0.6 per cent) fell in seasonally adjusted terms.

05:50
G7 Finance Ministers Express 'Unamimous Concern and Disappointment' with U.S. Trade Actions

  • G7 Members Issue Closing Communique Condemning U.S. Trade Actions

04:58
Options levels on monday, June 4, 2018 EURUSD GBPUSD

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1808 (2698)

$1.1768 (2803)

$1.1735 (3446)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1690

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1614 (3036)

$1.1579 (4702)

$1.1538 (2497)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date June, 8 is 166609 contracts (according to data from June, 1) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1500 (6257);


GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.3467 (1397)

$1.3431 (620)

$1.3402 (291)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.3368

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.3302 (1682)

$1.3272 (1300)

$1.3235 (1025)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date June, 8 is 39494 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3600 (2292);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date June, 8 is 41557 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3400 (2260);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.05 versus 1.11 from the previous trading day according to data from June, 1.

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

01:30
Australia: Company Gross Profits QoQ, Quarter I 5.9% (forecast 3%)
01:30
Australia: ANZ Job Advertisements (MoM), May 1.5%
01:30
Australia: Retail Sales, M/M, April 0.4% (forecast 0.2%)
01:01
Australia: MI Inflation Gauge, m/m, 0.0%

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