CFD Markets News and Forecasts — 03-04-2018

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03.04.2018
22:26
Currencies. Daily history for April 03’2018:


raw materials

closing price

% change

Oil

63.57

+0.89%

Gold

1,336.60

-0.76%

22:25
Currencies. Daily history for April 03’2018:



index

closing price

change items

% change

Nikkei

-96.29

21292.29

-0.45%

TOPIX

-4.98

1703.80

-0.29%

Hang Seng

+86.72

30180.10

+0.29%

CSI 300

-24.44

3862.48

-0.63%

Euro Stoxx 50

-14.57

3346.93

-0.43%

FTSE 100

-26.15

7030.46

-0.37%

DAX

-94.28

12002.45

-0.78%

CAC 40

-15.18

5152.12

-0.29%

DJIA

+389.17

24033.36

+1.65%

S&P 500

+32.57

2614.45

+1.26%

NASDAQ

+71.16

6941.28

+1.04%

S&P/TSX

-32.69

15180.76

-0.21%

22:25
Currencies. Daily history for April 03’2018:


Pare

Closed

% change

EUR/USD

$1,2269

-0,26%

GBP/USD

$1,4059

+0,07%

USD/CHF

Chf0,95874

+0,42%

USD/JPY

Y106,59

+0,70%

EUR/JPY

Y130,78

+0,44%

GBP/JPY

Y149,85

+0,77%

AUD/USD

$0,7685

+0,31%

NZD/USD

$0,7256

+0,60%

USD/CAD

C$1,28022

-0,84%

21:50
Schedule for today, Wednesday, April 04’2018 (GMT0)


Time

Region

Event

Period

Previous

Forecast

03:30

Australia

Retail Sales, M/M

February

0.1%

0.3%

03:30

Australia

Building Permits, m/m

February

17.1%

-4.8%

03:45

China

Markit/Caixin Services PMI

March

54.2

54.5

10:30

United Kingdom

PMI Construction

March

51.4

50.8

11:00

Eurozone

Harmonized CPI ex EFAT, Y/Y

March

1%


11:00

Eurozone

Harmonized CPI, Y/Y

March

1.1%

1.4%

11:00

Eurozone

Unemployment Rate

February

8.6%

8.5%

14:15

USA

ADP Employment Report

March

235

208

15:45

USA

Services PMI

March

55.9

54.1

15:45

USA

FOMC Member James Bullard Speaks




16:00

USA

ISM Non-Manufacturing

March

59.5

59

16:00

USA

Factory Orders

February

-1.4%

1.7%

16:30

USA

Crude Oil Inventories

March

1.643

1.667

17:00

USA

FOMC Member Mester Speaks



20:07
The main US stock indexes completed the session in a positive territory

The main US stock indexes rose strongly against the backdrop of the rebound in technology and consumer sectors after yesterday's sell-off.

Shares of Amazon (AMZN; + 1.67%) and automakers were the main drivers of market growth.

Shares of General Motors (GM) jumped 2.9% after the company reported a 16% yoy increase in auto sales in March.

Shares of Tesla Inc. (TSLA) rose by almost 5.9%, as the company's operating results for the first quarter indicated a progress in the process of increasing production of the sedan for the mass market of Model 3 and optimistic forecasts for the next quarters.

In addition, significant support for the market was provided by shares of the financial sector, the value of which increased against the backdrop of growth in yields of US government bonds. In the meantime, fears of a possible global trade war have temporarily come to the fore.

Almost all components of the DOW index finished trading in positive territory (28 out of 30). Leader of the growth were shares of NIKE, Inc. (NKE, + 3.62%). Outsider were shares of General Electric Co. (GE, -0.27%).

Almost all sectors of the S & P index recorded an increase. The consumer goods sector grew most (+ 1.5%). The decrease was shown only by the conglomerate sector (-0.4%).

At closing:

Dow 24,030.64 +386.45 +1.63%

S&P 500 2,614.43 +32.55 +1.26%

Nasdaq 100 6,941.28 +71.16 +1.04%

19:00
DJIA +0.89% 23,854.76 +210.57 Nasdaq +0.59% 6,910.59 +40.47 S&P +0.67% 2,599.14 +17.26
16:00
European stocks closed: FTSE 100 -26.15 7030.46 -0.37% DAX -94.28 12002.45 -0.78% CAC 40 -15.18 5152.12 -0.29%
15:48
Wall Street. Major U.S. stock-indexes higher

Major U.S. stock-indexes solidly higher on Tuesday, helped by a recovery in beaten-down technology and consumer discretionary stocks.

Most of Dow stocks in positive area (27 of 30). Top gainer - UnitedHealth Group Inc. (UNH, +2.58%). Top loser - General Electric Co. (GE, -0.99%).

All S&P sectors in positive area. Top gainer - consumer goods (+0.8%) and financial sector (+0.8%).


At the moment:

Index/commodity

Last

Today's Change, points

Today's Change, %

Dow

23805.00

+253.00

+1.07%

S&P 500

2596.25

+21.25

+0.83%

Nasdaq 100

6440.75

+47.50

+0.74%

Crude Oil

63.49

+0.48

+0.76%

Gold

1333.00

-13.90

-1.03%

U.S. 10yr

2.78%

+0.04

+1.54%

14:35
Ankara - Russia's Putin says Akkuyu nuclear power plant in Turkey to be launched in 2023
13:54
OPEC's Q1 2018 oil production rate represents a 425,000 bpd reduction from the average daily supply for 2017 as a whole – Petro-Logistics
13:33
U.S. Stocks open: Dow +0.38% Nasdaq +0.71%, S&P +0.44%
13:24
Before the bell: S&P futures +0.77%, NASDAQ futures +1.04%

U.S. stock-index futures surged on Tuesday on the back of a recovery in beaten-down technology stocks.


Global Stocks:

Index/commodity

Last

Today's Change, points

Today's Change, %

Nikkei

21,292.29

-96.29

-0.45%

Hang Seng

30,180.10

+86.72

+0.29%

Shanghai

3,136.44

-26.74

-0.85%

S&P/ASX

5,751.90

-7.50

-0.13%

FTSE

7,054.27

-2.34

-0.03%

CAC

5,154.02

-13.28

-0.26%

DAX

12,026.67

-70.06

-0.58%

Crude

$63.41


+0.63%

Gold

$1,342.60


-0.32%

12:59
Wall Street. Stocks before the bell

(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)


3M Co

MMM

213.26

0.64(0.30%)

10484

ALTRIA GROUP INC.

MO

60.95

0.44(0.73%)

2239

Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ

AMZN

1,388.00

16.01(1.17%)

152977

Apple Inc.

AAPL

168.06

1.38(0.83%)

205432

AT&T Inc

T

35.34

0.24(0.68%)

24842

Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE

ABX

12.6

-0.02(-0.16%)

17184

Boeing Co

BA

325

2.56(0.79%)

24782

Caterpillar Inc

CAT

144.97

1.08(0.75%)

5538

Chevron Corp

CVX

112.9

0.66(0.59%)

4117

Cisco Systems Inc

CSCO

41.39

0.38(0.93%)

90200

Citigroup Inc., NYSE

C

68.29

0.58(0.86%)

51101

Exxon Mobil Corp

XOM

73.65

0.43(0.59%)

23167

Facebook, Inc.

FB

156.59

1.20(0.77%)

133596

Ford Motor Co.

F

10.92

0.06(0.55%)

39884

Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE

FCX

17.32

0.18(1.05%)

311

General Electric Co

GE

13.17

0.05(0.38%)

136473

General Motors Company, NYSE

GM

35.98

0.22(0.62%)

2623

Goldman Sachs

GS

248.98

1.63(0.66%)

2964

Google Inc.

GOOG

1,016.00

9.53(0.95%)

6410

Home Depot Inc

HD

173.55

0.65(0.38%)

6933

Intel Corp

INTC

49.1

0.18(0.37%)

204014

International Business Machines Co...

IBM

151

0.93(0.62%)

4094

International Paper Company

IP

51.5

0.37(0.72%)

500

Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

125.28

0.72(0.58%)

3366

JPMorgan Chase and Co

JPM

108.77

0.92(0.85%)

28535

McDonald's Corp

MCD

157.87

0.15(0.10%)

12582

Merck & Co Inc

MRK

53.44

0.17(0.32%)

3223

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

89.55

1.03(1.16%)

111306

Nike

NKE

64.35

0.23(0.36%)

16281

Pfizer Inc

PFE

35.12

0.07(0.20%)

10646

Procter & Gamble Co

PG

77.79

0.39(0.50%)

9250

Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ

SBUX

56.65

0.41(0.73%)

970

Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ

TSLA

255.3

2.82(1.12%)

102373

The Coca-Cola Co

KO

42.8

0.13(0.30%)

4992

Travelers Companies Inc

TRV

135.4

0.56(0.42%)

2334

Twitter, Inc., NYSE

TWTR

28.24

0.20(0.71%)

88091

United Technologies Corp

UTX

123.81

0.33(0.27%)

2064

UnitedHealth Group Inc

UNH

219.5

2.30(1.06%)

10661

Verizon Communications Inc

VZ

47.31

0.15(0.32%)

11677

Visa

V

119

0.61(0.52%)

4771

Wal-Mart Stores Inc

WMT

86.15

0.60(0.70%)

17315

Walt Disney Co

DIS

99.29

0.63(0.64%)

6022

Yandex N.V., NASDAQ

YNDX

39.45

0.31(0.79%)

3200

12:44
Downgrades before the market open

Facebook (FB) removed from US 1 List at BofA/Merrill

12:43
Target price changes before the market open

3M (MMM) target lowered to $225 from $251 at Stifel

General Electric (GE) target lowered to $13 from $15 at Stifel

11:08
Russia's Novak says Russia sticks to its commitments under global deal to cut oil production in early april after output increase in march
08:35
The UK manufacturing sector maintained a steady pace of expansion during March

Output growth picked up, although this was offset by slower increases in both new orders and employment. On the price front, rates of inflation in input costs and output charges remained elevated despite easing slightly since February. The seasonally adjusted IHS Markit/CIPS Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) posted 55.1 in March, little-changed from 55.0 in February. The average reading over the opening quarter as a whole (55.1) was the weakest in a year, suggesting that the underlying pace of expansion has been generally slower since the start 2018.

08:30
United Kingdom: Purchasing Manager Index Manufacturing , March 55.1 (forecast 54.7)
08:07
Eurozone final manufacturing PMI in line with expectations

Eurozone manufacturing operating conditions improved to the least marked extent in eight months during March, as the sector continued its post turn of the year slowdown. Rates of expansion eased across all of the nations covered by the latest PMI surveys and across the consumer, intermediate and investment goods industries. The final IHS Markit Eurozone Manufacturing PMI posted 56.6 in March, unchanged from the earlier flash estimate and down further from December's series-record high.

08:01
Digital currency will strengthen effectiveness of negative interest rate policy - China central bank working paper
08:00
Eurozone: Manufacturing PMI, March 56.6 (forecast 56.6)
08:00
Germany’s manufacturing sector continued to lose momentum in March

Germany's manufacturing sector continued to lose momentum in March, with output growth slowing for the third consecutive month, according to the latest PMI survey data from IHS Markit and BME. Goods producers meanwhile faced another record increase in average delivery times for inputs - the third in the past four months - in a sign of ongoing capacity constraints in supply chains.

07:57
BoJ Kuroda: BoJ is doing internal debate on exit strategy but won't communicate it with market until policy normalisation timing draws near
07:56
Italian manufacturing PMI expanded at a slower pace than last month

According to Markit Economics Italy's manufacturing sector continued to expand at a marked rate during March, although relatively slower market activity and supply-side constraints restricted growth. Both output and new orders rose at weaker rates, whilst business sentiment softened to its lowest level since last summer. Nonetheless, jobs were again added at a solid pace as workloads continued to grow. On the price front, inflation rates for both input costs and output charges weakened.

07:55
Germany: Manufacturing PMI, March 58.2 (forecast 58.4)
07:50
France: Manufacturing PMI, March 53.7 (forecast 53.6)
07:49
Swiss retail sales declined y/y

Adjusted for sales days and holidays, the retail sector excluding service stations showed a 0.1% decrease in nominal turnover in February 2018 compared with February 2017 (in real terms -0.2%). Retail sales of food, drinks and tobacco registered an increase in nominal turnover of 0.8% (in real terms +1.1%), whereas the non-food sector registered a nominal negative of 1.0% (in real terms -0.7%).

07:48
Spanish manufacturers recorded a further marked improvement in business conditions says Markit

Spanish manufacturers recorded a further marked improvement in business conditions at the end of the first quarter of the year. Although the rate of output growth slowed from February, it remained marked amid another sharp increase in new orders. The easing in the rate of expansion of output contributed to one of the strongest rises in backlogs of work since the series began, while supply issues were again highlighted by a marked lengthening of suppliers' delivery times.

The PMI was at 54.8 in March, down from 56.0 in February, but still pointing to a marked improvement in business conditions. Manufacturing firms registered a

07:45
Europe's stoxx 600 down 0.6 pct, France's CAC 40 down 0.4 pct, Spain's IBEX down 0.9 pct, FTSE 100 down 0.7 pct
07:30
Switzerland: Manufacturing PMI, March 60.3 (forecast 64.3)
07:17
Switzerland: Retail Sales (MoM), February 0.3%
07:15
Switzerland: Retail Sales Y/Y, February -0.2% (forecast -0.7%)
06:50
BoJ Gov Kuroda: will patiently continue current monetary easing as there's distance to price target

  • Now is not time to debate when and how to slow BoJ's ETF buying

06:48
RBA expects gradual pick up in inflation as economy strengthens

  • Inflation likely to remain low for some time

  • Stronger economy should see some lift in wage growth over time

  • Further gradual reduction in unemployment expected

  • One continuing source of uncertainty is outlook for household consumption

06:47
Options levels on tuesday, April 3, 2017 EURUSD GBPUSD

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.2428 (5509)

$1.2402 (1474)

$1.2368 (1336)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.2315

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.2283 (5434)

$1.2242 (3652)

$1.2196 (4455)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date April, 6 is 108207 contracts (according to data from April, 2) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2150 (6531);


GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.4178 (2338)

$1.4147 (1898)

$1.4108 (2493)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.4062

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.4011 (1090)

$1.3977 (1186)

$1.3937 (1215)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date April, 6 is 30402 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,4200 (2842);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date April, 6 is 33838 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3800 (3570);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.11 versus 1.10 from the previous trading day according to data from April, 2

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

06:46
RBA says steady policy consistent with growth, inflation targets, progress on unemployment and inflation expected to be gradual

  • Low rates supporting economy

  • Forward-looking indicators point to solid employment growth

  • Rising A$ would lead to slower economic pick up

  • A$ remains in range of past couple of years

  • Housing markets have slowed in Sydney, Melbourne

06:43
10-year U.S. treasury yield at 2.738 percent vs U.S. close of 2.732 percent on monday
06:40
Eurostoxx 50 futures down 1 pct, DAX futures down 1.2 pct, CAC 40 futures down 0.8 pct, FTSE futures down 1 pct, IBEX futures down 1.3 pct
06:38
German retail sales down 0.7% in February

According to provisional data turnover in retail trade in February 2018 was in real terms 1.3% and in nominal terms 2.5% larger than in February 2017. The number of days open for sale was 24 in February 2018 and in February 2017.

When adjusted for calendar and seasonal variations (Census-X-12-ARIMA), the February turnover was in real terms and in nominal terms 0.7% smaller than that in January 2018.

06:01
Germany: Retail sales, real unadjusted, y/y, February 1.3% (forecast 2.2%)
06:01
Germany: Retail sales, real adjusted , February 0.7% (forecast 0.6%)
05:28
Global Stocks

German stocks led European equities higher Thursday, but the broader market couldn't avoid losses for March and the first quarter of 2018.

The Nasdaq Composite's COMP, -2.74% 2.7% tumble Monday, amid broad selling in the technology sector and uncertainty surrounding trade policy, came with the most panic-like selling in nearly two years. The Nasdaq's Arms Index, a volume-weighted breadth measure that tends to rise above 1.000 when the market falls, spiked up to 2.238, while readings above 2.000 are viewed as having panic-like characteristics.

Asian stock markets headed lower Tuesday as a selloff of tech shares deepened in the U.S. and escalating trade tensions with China dampened investor confidence. Traders took cues from Wall Street after the Nasdaq Composite fell 2.7% Monday, leading a 2.2% decline for the S&P 500 and marking a damp start to the month after U.S. stocks logged the worst quarterly performance since mid-2015.

04:30
Australia: Announcement of the RBA decision on the discount rate, 1.5% (forecast 1.5%)
02:20
Australia: ANZ Job Advertisements (MoM), March 0.0%

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