CFD Markets News and Forecasts — 02-04-2018

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02.04.2018
23:29
Australia: AIG Manufacturing Index, March 63.1
22:27
Currencies. Daily history for April 02’2018:


raw materials

closing price

% change

Oil

62.84

-3.23%

Gold

1,345.40

+1.36%

22:26
Currencies. Daily history for April 02’2018:



index

closing price

change items

% change

Nikkei

-65.72

21388.58

-0.31%

TOPIX

-7.52

1708.78

-0.44%

Hang Seng

+70.85

30093.38

+0.24%

CSI 300

-11.58

3886.92

-0.30%

DJIA

-458.92

23644.19

-1.90%

S&P 500

-58.99

2581.88

-2.23%

NASDAQ

-193.32

6870.12

-2.74%

S&P/TSX

-153.84

15213.45

-1.00%

22:25
Currencies. Daily history for April 02’2018:


Pare

Closed

% change

EUR/USD

$1,2301

-0,21%

GBP/USD

$1,4049

+0,15%

USD/CHF

Chf0,95474

+0,14%

USD/JPY

Y105,84

-0,39%

EUR/JPY

Y130,20

-0,59%

GBP/JPY

Y148,697

-0,22%

AUD/USD

$0,7661

-0,25%

NZD/USD

$0,7212

-0,27%

USD/CAD

C$1,291

+0,14%

21:50
Schedule for today, Tuesday, April 03’2018 (GMT0)


Time

Region

Event

Period

Previous

Forecast

00:00

USA

FOMC Member Kashkari Speaks




01:30

Australia

AIG Manufacturing Index

March

57.5


02:00

Australia

MI Inflation Gauge, m/m

March

-0.1%


02:30

Australia

ANZ Job Advertisements (MoM)

March

-0.3%


06:30

Australia

Announcement of the RBA decision on the discount rate


1.5%

1.5%

06:30

Australia

RBA Rate Statement




08:00

Germany

Retail sales, real unadjusted, y/y

February

2.3%

2.2%

08:00

Germany

Retail sales, real adjusted

February

-0.7%

0.7%

09:15

Switzerland

Retail Sales (MoM)

February

-0.6%


09:15

Switzerland

Retail Sales Y/Y

February

-1.4%

-0.7%

09:30

Switzerland

Manufacturing PMI

March

65.5

64.3

09:50

France

Manufacturing PMI

March

55.9

53.6

09:55

Germany

Manufacturing PMI

March

60.6

58.4

10:00

Eurozone

Manufacturing PMI

March

58.6

56.6

10:30

United Kingdom

Purchasing Manager Index Manufacturing

March

55.2

54.8

15:30

USA

FOMC Member Kashkari Speaks




21:00

USA

Total Vehicle Sales, mln

March

17.08

16.95

22:30

USA

FOMC Member Brainard Speaks



20:08
Major US stock indexes finished session on negative territory

Major US stock indices dropped significantly on Monday, offsetting the high growth rates of the Nasdaq index for the year and the first time sending the S & P 500 control index below the level of technical supervision in almost two months.

A certain influence on the dynamics of trading was provided by the US. As it became known, the index of business activity in the US manufacturing sector in March signaled a strong improvement in production conditions in the US. Release and new orders continued to grow significantly, despite the fact that the growth rate has slowed slightly since February. Job creation also remained strong and unfinished orders grew as a result of the recent rise in customer demand. Business confidence, meanwhile, has risen to the highest level since February 2015. Nevertheless, inflationary pressures intensified, with both procurement and selling prices accelerating to multi-year peaks. The seasonally adjusted PMI in the US manufacturing sector from IHS Markit (PMI) rose to 55.6 in March, compared with 55.3 in February. The last value of PMI marked the strongest improvement in the manufacturing sector since March 2015. The average PMI for the three months of 2018, meanwhile, showed the best quarterly performance since the third quarter of 2014.

At the same time, a report published by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) showed that in March, activity in the US manufacturing sector fell more than economists predicted. The PMI index for the manufacturing sector fell in March to 59.3 points against 60.8 in February. Analysts had expected the figure to drop to 60.1 points. In addition, more detailed information showed: the price index rose in March to 78.1 from 74.2 in February, the employment index fell to 57.3 from 59.7, the index of new orders fell to 61.9 from 64.2, the index production fell to 61.0 from 62.0, and the stock index fell to 55.5 from 56.7.

Almost all components of the DOW index finished trading in the red (28 of 30). Outsider were shares of Intel Corporation (INTC, -6.17%). Only UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (UNH, + 1.14%) and McDonald's Corporation (MCD, + 0.43%) showed growth.

Almost all sectors of the S & P index recorded a fall. The largest decrease was in the services sector (-2.9%). Only the conglomerate sector grew (+ 0.6%).

At closing:

Dow 23,639.44 -463.67 -1.92%

S&P 500 2,581.67 -59.20 -2.24%

Nasdaq 100 6,870.12 -193.33 -2.74%

19:00
DJIA -2.61% 23,474.62 -628.49 Nasdaq -3.15% 6,841.10 -222.34 S&P -2.73% 2,568.74 -72.13
14:00
U.S.: ISM Manufacturing, March 59.3 (forecast 60.1)
14:00
U.S.: Construction Spending, m/m, February 0.1% (forecast 0.4%)
13:45
U.S.: Manufacturing PMI, March 55.6
13:33
U.S. Stocks open: Dow -0.18% Nasdaq -0.53%, S&P -0.27%
13:10
Before the bell: S&P futures -0.44%, NASDAQ futures -0.82%

Before the bell: S&P futures -0.44%, NASDAQ futures -0.82%

U.S. stock-index futures fell on Monday, weighed down by concerns of escalating trade tensions, following the reports about imposition by China of tariffs on the U.S. agricultural and steel products in response to U.S. duties on imports of steel and aluminum.


Global Stocks:

Index/commodity

Last

Today's Change, points

Today's Change, %

Nikkei

21,388.58

-65.72

-0.31%

Hang Seng

-

-

-

Shanghai

3,163.86

-5.04

-0.16%

S&P/ASX

-

-

-

FTSE

-

-

-

CAC

-

-

-

DAX

-

-

-

Crude

$65.03


+0.14%

Gold

$1,338.00


+0.81%

12:46
Company News: US President Donald Trump criticized Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN)

On Saturday, March 31, US President Donald Trump "attacked" Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) on Twitter, stating that the online retailer "must pay at real rates (and taxes)!"

According to the president, the US postal service loses an average of $ 1.5 on each parcel carried out for Amazon. This together gives a loss of "billions of dollars."

Trump also adds that fraud with the postal service should stop, and Amazon should "pay at real rates (and taxes) now!"

In addition, Donald Trump criticized The Washington Post, which belongs to the founder of Amazon Jeff Bezos, for lobbying the interests of the retailer.

Shares of AMZN in premarket declined to $ 1,423.00 (-1.68%).

12:46
Wall Street. Stocks before the bell

(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)


ALCOA INC.

AA

44.55

-0.41(-0.91%)

745

Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ

AMZN

1,424.50

-22.84(-1.58%)

54338

Apple Inc.

AAPL

167.57

-0.21(-0.13%)

135173

Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE

ABX

12.6

0.15(1.20%)

3500

Boeing Co

BA

324

-3.88(-1.18%)

12073

Caterpillar Inc

CAT

145.4

-1.98(-1.34%)

1218

Chevron Corp

CVX

114.45

0.41(0.36%)

777

Cisco Systems Inc

CSCO

42.55

-0.34(-0.79%)

12302

Citigroup Inc., NYSE

C

68.1

0.60(0.89%)

138659

Deere & Company, NYSE

DE

155

-0.32(-0.21%)

674

Exxon Mobil Corp

XOM

74.4

-0.21(-0.28%)

2628

Facebook, Inc.

FB

158.62

-1.17(-0.73%)

160454

FedEx Corporation, NYSE

FDX

240

-0.11(-0.05%)

346

Ford Motor Co.

F

11.06

-0.02(-0.18%)

9998

Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE

FCX

17.72

0.15(0.85%)

23101

General Electric Co

GE

13.41

-0.07(-0.51%)

42047

General Motors Company, NYSE

GM

36

-0.34(-0.94%)

1117

Goldman Sachs

GS

249.97

-1.89(-0.75%)

2265

Google Inc.

GOOG

1,028.00

-3.79(-0.37%)

6316

Hewlett-Packard Co.

HPQ

22

0.08(0.37%)

201

Home Depot Inc

HD

177.7

-0.54(-0.30%)

624

Intel Corp

INTC

51.64

-0.44(-0.84%)

57971

International Business Machines Co...

IBM

151.74

-1.69(-1.10%)

231

Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

129.57

1.42(1.11%)

572

JPMorgan Chase and Co

JPM

109.7

-0.27(-0.25%)

10059

McDonald's Corp

MCD

157.7

1.32(0.84%)

7185

Merck & Co Inc

MRK

54.14

-0.33(-0.61%)

996

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

90.72

-0.55(-0.60%)

35620

Pfizer Inc

PFE

35.54

0.05(0.14%)

391

Procter & Gamble Co

PG

79.01

-0.27(-0.34%)

745

Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ

SBUX

57.26

-0.63(-1.09%)

3593

Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ

TSLA

256.25

-9.88(-3.71%)

234304

The Coca-Cola Co

KO

43.34

-0.09(-0.21%)

558

Twitter, Inc., NYSE

TWTR

28.57

-0.44(-1.52%)

37836

UnitedHealth Group Inc

UNH

218.58

4.58(2.14%)

1007

Visa

V

119

-0.62(-0.52%)

423

Wal-Mart Stores Inc

WMT

88.25

-0.72(-0.81%)

186447

Walt Disney Co

DIS

100

-0.44(-0.44%)

1328

Yandex N.V., NASDAQ

YNDX

39.6

0.15(0.38%)

7151

12:40
Target price changes before the market open

Facebook (FB) target lowered to $138 from $152 at Pivotal Research Group

Alphabet (GOOG) target lowered to $1040 from $1110 at Pivotal Research Group

07:04
Chinese manufacturing companies signalled only a marginal improvement in overall operating conditions at the end of the first quarter - Markit

Production and total new orders both expanded at the weakest rates for four months, while export sales increased only marginally.

The headline Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) - a composite indicator designed to provide a singlefigure snapshot of operating conditions in the manufacturing economy - posted 51.0 in March, down from 51.6 in February. Although the reading signalled a further improvement in the health of the sector, the latest upturn was only slight and the weakest recorded since last November.

06:59
BoJ's Amamiya: pace of BoJ's bond buying can fluctuate depending on market conditions but this is different from Fed's tapering

  • Japan's real effective interest rate is falling as inflation picks up, heightens public inflation expectations

06:56
Russian foreign ministry says to expel diplomats from those countries equal to number of russian diplomats that they expelled
  • Has summoned representatives of embassies of Albania. Denmark, Ireland, Spain on friday

05:06
Options levels on monday, April 2, 2017 EURUSD GBPUSD

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.2402 (1532)

$1.2383 (2782)

$1.2359 (850)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.2316

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.2276 (5527)

$1.2237 (3642)

$1.2193 (4445)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date April, 6 is 108872 contracts (according to data from March, 29) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2150 (6531);


GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.4177 (2401)

$1.4143 (2204)

$1.4095 (2493)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.4039

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.3963 (1183)

$1.3927 (1153)

$1.3886 (3450)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date April, 6 is 30835 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,4200 (2808);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date April, 6 is 34003 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3800 (3570);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.10 versus 1.02 from the previous trading day according to data from March, 29

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

01:52
Currencies. Daily history for March 30’2018:


raw materials

closing price

% change

Oil

65.01

+0.11%

Gold

1,329.70

+0.18%

01:48
Currencies. Daily history for March 30’2018:



index

closing price

change items

% change

Nikkei

+295.22

21454.30

+1.40%

SHANGHA

+8.49

3169.02

+0.27%

Hang Seng

+70.85

30093.38

+0.24%

KOSPI

+9.48

2445.85

+0.39%

01:45
China: Markit/Caixin Manufacturing PMI, March 51.0 (forecast 51.8)
01:35
Currencies. Daily history for March 30’2018:


Pare

Closed

% change

EUR/USD

$1,2326

+0,20%

GBP/USD

$1,4028

-0,02%

USD/CHF

Chf0,95344

-0,30%

USD/JPY

Y106,26

-0,20%

EUR/JPY

Y130,97

-0,77%

GBP/JPY

Y149,026

-0,30%

AUD/USD

$0,7680

+0,05%

NZD/USD

$0,7232

+0,01%

USD/CAD

C$1,28919

+0,07%

01:33
Schedule for today, Monday, April 02’2018 (GMT0)

Time

Region

Event

Period

Previous

Forecast

01:50

Japan

BoJ Tankan. Non-Manufacturing Index

I quarter

23

24

01:50

Japan

BoJ Tankan. Manufacturing Index

I quarter

25

25

02:30

Japan

Manufacturing PMI

March

54.1

53.2

03:45

China

Markit/Caixin Manufacturing PMI

March

51.6

51.7

15:45

USA

Manufacturing PMI

March

55.3


16:00

USA

Construction Spending, m/m

February

0%

0.6%

16:00

USA

ISM Manufacturing

March

60.8

60.0

00:30
Japan: Manufacturing PMI, March 53.1 (forecast 53.2)

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