CFD Markets News and Forecasts — 01-10-2018

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01.10.2018
22:36
Commodities. Daily history for October 01’ 2018:


Raw materials

Closing price

% change

Oil

$75.47

+3.03%

Gold

$1,192.60

+0.44%

22:33
Stocks. Daily history for October 01’ 2018:


Index

Change items

Closing price

% change

Nikkei

+125.72

24245.76

+0.52%

ASX 200

-35.30

6172.30

-0.57%

KOSPI

-4.19

2338.88

-0.18%

NZ50

-23.79

9327.27

-0.25%

FTSE 100

-14.53

7495.67

-0.19%

DAX

+92.30

12339.03

+0.75%

CAC 40

+13.33

5506.82

+0.24%

DJIA

+192.90

26651.21

+0.73%

S&P 500

+10.61

2924.59

+0.36%

NASDAQ

-9.05

8037.30

-0.11%

22:32
Currencies. Daily history for October 01’ 2018:


Pare

Closed

% change

EUR/USD

$1,1574

-0,25%

GBP/USD

$1,3035

+0,06%

USD/CHF

Chf0,98345

+0,17%

USD/JPY

Y113,99

+0,27%

EUR/JPY

Y131,93

+0,02%

GBP/JPY

Y148,599

+0,33%

AUD/USD

$0,7221

+0,05%

NZD/USD

$0,6594

-0,32%

USD/CAD

C$1,2816

-0,75%

21:00
New Zealand: NZIER Business Confidence, Quarter III -30%
20:14
The main US stock indexes mostly rose as a result of today's trading

The main US stock indexes finished trading mostly in the black on the back of rising prices for technology sector shares and industrial companies, as the latest deal to save the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) increased hopes for progress in US negotiations with other countries at the beginning of the fourth quarter.

The focus of investors' attention was also data on the United States. The report, published by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM), showed that in September, activity in the US manufacturing sector weakened more than economists had expected. The PMI index for the manufacturing sector fell in September to 59.8 points from 61.3 points in August. Analysts had expected that the figure would drop to 60.3 points. In addition, the report showed: the price index fell to 66.9 from 72.1 in August, the employment index rose to 58.8 from 58.5, the index of new orders fell to 61.8 from 65.1, and the stock index fell to 53.3 s, 55.4.

Oil futures rose by about 3% on Monday, the reason for which was concern over the reduction of supplies, as soon as US sanctions against Iran take effect next month.

Most of the components of DOW finished trading in positive territory (23 out of 30). The leader of growth was the shares of The Boeing Company (BA, + 2.74%). Outsider were shares of Intel Corporation (INTC, -1.88%).

Most S & P sectors recorded a decline. The utilities sector showed the greatest decrease (-0.4%). The commodities sector grew most (+ 1.3%).

At closing:

Dow 26,651.21 +192.90 +0.73%

S & P 500 2,924.59 +10.61 +0.36%

Nasdaq 100 8,037.30 -9.05 -0.11%

19:00
DJIA +0.78% 26,664.79 +206.48 Nasdaq +0.02% 8,047.74 +1.39 S&P +0.45% 2,927.14 +13.16
16:00
European stocks closed: FTSE 100 -14.53 7495.67 -0.19% DAX +92.30 12339.03 +0.75% CAC 40 +13.33 5506.82 +0.24%
15:04
Prev Story Italian Dep. PM Di Maio: Some EU Institutions Are Creating Market ‘Terrorism’ With Their Comments On Italy Budget @LiveSquawk
14:04
The September U.S ISM manufacturing registered 59.8 percent, a decrease of 1.5 percentage points from the August reading

The September PMI registered 59.8 percent, a decrease of 1.5 percentage points from the August reading of 61.3 percent. The New Orders Index registered 61.8 percent, a decrease of 3.3 percentage points from the August reading of 65.1 percent. The Production Index registered 63.9 percent, a 0.6 percentage point increase compared to the August reading of 63.3 percent. The Employment Index registered 58.8 percent, an increase of 0.3 percentage point from the August reading of 58.5 percent.

"Comments from the panel reflect continued expanding business strength. Demand remains strong, with the New Orders Index at 60 percent or above for the 17th straight month, and the Customers' Inventories Index remaining low. The Backlog of Orders Index continued to expand, but at lower levels compared to the previous month. Consumption improved, with production and employment continuing to expand, at higher levels compared to August, despite shortages in labor and materials. Inputs - expressed as supplier deliveries (decreased), inventories and imports - improved compared to the previous month's activity".

14:00
U.S.: ISM Manufacturing, September 59.8 (forecast 60.3)
14:00
U.S.: Construction Spending, m/m, August 0.1% (forecast 0.5%)
13:45
U.S.: Manufacturing PMI, September 55.6 (forecast 55.6)
13:33
U.S. Stocks open: Dow +0.71%, Nasdaq +0.49%, S&P +0.54%
13:22
Before the bell: S&P futures +0.48%, NASDAQ futures +0.56%

U.S. stock-index futures rose on Monday, supported by reports the U.S. and Canada reached a trade deal.


Global Stocks:

Index/commodity

Last

Today's Change, points

Today's Change, %

Nikkei

24,245.76

+125.72

+0.52%

Hang Seng

-

-

-

Shanghai

-

-

-

S&P/ASX

6,172.30

-35.30

-0.57%

FTSE

7,523.58

+13.38

+0.18%

CAC

5,512.25

+18.76

+0.34%

DAX

12,330.09

+83.36

+0.68%

Crude

$73.35


+0.14%

Gold

$1,194.80


-0.12%

12:47
Wall Street. Stocks before the bell

(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)


ALCOA INC.

AA

40.88

0.48(1.19%)

5150

Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ

AMZN

2,022.59

19.59(0.98%)

60852

AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP

AIG

53.5

0.26(0.49%)

200

Apple Inc.

AAPL

227.65

1.91(0.85%)

257163

AT&T Inc

T

33.79

0.21(0.63%)

45706

Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE

ABX

11.05

-0.03(-0.27%)

25086

Boeing Co

BA

375.39

3.49(0.94%)

15280

Caterpillar Inc

CAT

154.03

1.54(1.01%)

14866

Chevron Corp

CVX

122.95

0.67(0.55%)

623

Cisco Systems Inc

CSCO

49

0.35(0.72%)

10780

Citigroup Inc., NYSE

C

72.53

0.79(1.10%)

19306

Deere & Company, NYSE

DE

151.08

0.75(0.50%)

287

Exxon Mobil Corp

XOM

85.5

0.48(0.56%)

2438

Facebook, Inc.

FB

163.99

-0.47(-0.29%)

169167

FedEx Corporation, NYSE

FDX

242

1.21(0.50%)

631

Ford Motor Co.

F

9.41

0.16(1.73%)

419055

Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE

FCX

13.85

-0.07(-0.50%)

30575

General Electric Co

GE

13

1.71(15.15%)

29342563

General Motors Company, NYSE

GM

34.4

0.73(2.17%)

41196

Goldman Sachs

GS

226.25

2.01(0.90%)

10856

Hewlett-Packard Co.

HPQ

25.9

0.13(0.50%)

549

Home Depot Inc

HD

208.23

1.08(0.52%)

930

Intel Corp

INTC

46.46

-0.83(-1.76%)

244175

International Business Machines Co...

IBM

152.33

1.12(0.74%)

2271

International Paper Company

IP

49.98

0.83(1.69%)

1430

JPMorgan Chase and Co

JPM

113.65

0.81(0.72%)

28612

McDonald's Corp

MCD

167.54

0.25(0.15%)

546

Merck & Co Inc

MRK

71.24

0.30(0.42%)

846

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

115.13

0.76(0.66%)

47942

Nike

NKE

85.24

0.52(0.61%)

4574

Pfizer Inc

PFE

44.24

0.17(0.39%)

7667

Procter & Gamble Co

PG

83.54

0.31(0.37%)

2666

Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ

SBUX

57

0.16(0.28%)

1307

Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ

TSLA

305.92

41.15(15.54%)

1801131

The Coca-Cola Co

KO

46.28

0.09(0.19%)

384

Twitter, Inc., NYSE

TWTR

28.6

0.14(0.49%)

57280

Verizon Communications Inc

VZ

53.62

0.23(0.43%)

2981

Visa

V

151.4

1.31(0.87%)

17092

Wal-Mart Stores Inc

WMT

94.26

0.35(0.37%)

5109

Walt Disney Co

DIS

117.6

0.66(0.56%)

5779

12:44
U.K. said to plan compromise on Irish border to get Brexit deal From. GBP/USD rally 100 pips so far
12:37
Downgrades before the market open

Intel (INTC) downgraded to Underweight from Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley

11:56
Erdogan says U.S. Pastor Brunson has dark ties to terror groups @zerohedge
11:01
UK Brexit Sec Raab: We Need Unity Of Purpose Fore Brexit Talks @LiveSquawk
09:55
UK household borrowing growth moderated slightly in August
  • Household borrowing growth moderated slightly in August. Annual consumer credit growth slowed to 8.1%, while secured lending growth ticked down to 3.1%.

  • The number of approvals for remortgaging, which has been volatile in recent months, increased to 53,125 in August.

  • Net finance raised by private non-financial corporations (PNFCs) remained positive in August. Within this, net bank lending to businesses was positive, whilst finance raised through financial markets was negative.

The net amount of new consumer borrowing, excluding mortgages, increased slightly to £1.1 billion in August, up from £0.8 billion in July. Despite this increase, lending remains a bit lower compared to much of the past two years. This weakness reflects subdued net lending for other loans and advances (which includes personal loans, overdrafts and car finance), which increased slightly to £0.7 billion from £0.6 billion in July. Net credit card lending increased to £0.5 billion on the month, in line with the average of the previous 6 months.

09:17
The euro area (EA19) seasonally-adjusted unemployment rate was 8.1% in August 2018, down from 8.2% in July

The euro area (EA19) seasonally-adjusted unemployment rate was 8.1% in August 2018, down from 8.2% in July 2018 and from 9.0% in August 2017. This is the lowest rate recorded in the euro area since November 2008. The EU28 unemployment rate was 6.8% in August 2018, stable compared with July 2018 and down from 7.5% in August 2017. This remains the lowest rate recorded in the EU28 since April 2008.

Eurostat estimates that 16.657 million men and women in the EU28, of whom 13.220 million in the euro area, were unemployed in August 2018. Compared with July 2018, the number of persons unemployed decreased by 114 000 in the EU28 and by 102 000 in the euro area. Compared with August 2017, unemployment fell by 1.921 million in the EU28 and by 1.419 million in the euro area.

09:00
Eurozone: Unemployment Rate , August 8.1% (forecast 8.2%)
08:42
The end of the third quarter saw a mild improvement in the performance of the UK manufacturing sector

Rates of expansion in output and new orders gained traction, while the trend in new export business saw a modest recovery following August's solid contraction. On the price front, rates of input cost and output charge inflation both strengthened.

The seasonally adjusted IHS Markit/CIPS Purchasing Managers' Index posted 53.8 in September, following an upwardly revised figure of 53.0 in August (originally published as 52.8). The PMI has remained above the neutral 50.0 mark for 26 months.

08:31
United Kingdom: Net Lending to Individuals, bln, August 4
08:30
United Kingdom: Purchasing Manager Index Manufacturing , September 53.8 (forecast 52.5)
08:30
United Kingdom: Mortgage Approvals, August 66.44 (forecast 64.5)
08:30
United Kingdom: Consumer credit, mln, August 1.118 (forecast 1.3)
08:15
Euro zone manufacturing PMI in line with expectations in September

September's survey of eurozone manufacturers indicated a further improvement in operating conditions, extending the current period of expansion to 63 months. Growth was the weakest since September 2016, however, in line with the downward trend seen since the start of the year. This was reflected by the IHS Markit Eurozone Manufacturing PMI, which slipped to 53.2, broadly unchanged on the earlier flash reading of 53.3 and down from August's 54.6.

Commenting on the final Manufacturing PMI data, Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at IHS Markit said: "Eurozone manufacturing shifted down yet another gear at the end of the third quarter. The sector has seen booming growth at the start of the year rapidly fade to the worst performance for two years in September as production and jobs growth have slowed in response to a stalling of export trade. "The survey paints the worst trade picture for over five years, with export growth having slumped sharply from a series record high in late 2017 to near-stagnation in September.

08:08
Growth of Germany's manufacturing sector slowed in September, subdued by the steepest drop in new export orders in over five years

Growth of Germany's manufacturing sector slowed in September, subdued by the steepest drop in new export orders in over five years, the latest PMI survey data from IHS Markit showed. Production levels exhibited their smallest gain since April 2016, while business confidence towards the year-ahead outlook for output was the gloomiest for over three years.

September saw the headline IHS Markit/BME Germany Manufacturing PMI - a single-figure snapshot of the performance of the manufacturing economy - sink to a 25-month low of 53.7 from 55.9 in August. The fall in the index reflected slower growth in output, new orders and employment, as well as a reduction in the incidence of supplier delivery delays. The only positive directional influence was from stocks of purchases, which showed a marginal rebound following a slight drop in August.

08:00
Eurozone: Manufacturing PMI, September 53.2 (forecast 53.3)
07:56
Germany: Manufacturing PMI, September 53.7 (forecast 53.7)
07:55
September data points to another disappointing month for the French manufacturing sector - Markit

At 52.5 in September, down from 53.5 in August, the seasonally adjusted final IHS Markit France Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) signalled a slower improvement in business conditions. The index was unchanged from the earlier 'flash' reading for September and signalled the jointweakest rate of manufacturing growth since February 2017.

Tim Moore, Associate Director at IHS Markit, which compiles the France Manufacturing PMI® survey, said: "September data points to another disappointing month for the French manufacturing sector. Global trade frictions and stretched supply chain capacity were the main headwinds faced by goods producers, which contributed to an unhealthy mix of falling export sales and rising input prices. "Softer demand growth and more subdued business confidence towards the near-term outlook meant that output levels increased at the slowest pace for exactly two years. Survey respondents noted that a soft patch for business conditions in the automotive sector had weighed on growth during September"

07:51
France: Manufacturing PMI, September 52.5 (forecast 52.5)
07:38
Swiss retail sales rose less than expected on year

Turnover in the retail sector rose by 1.1% in nominal terms in August 2018 compared with the previous year. Seasonally adjusted, nominal turnover rose by 0.3% compared with the previous month. These are the provisional findings from the Federal Statistical Office (FSO).

Real turnover in the retail sector also adjusted for sales days and holidays rose by 0.4% in August 2018 compared with the previous year. Real growth takes inflation into consideration. Compared with the previous month, real, seasonally adjusted retail trade turnover registered an increase of 0.3%.

07:35
FTSE -33.53 7476.67 -0.45% DAX +20.55 12267.28 +0.17% CAC -0.57 5492.92 -0.01%
07:32
Switzerland: Manufacturing PMI, September 59.7 (forecast 62)
07:31
The Spanish manufacturing sector saw growth slow at the end of the third quarter

The Spanish manufacturing sector saw growth slow at the end of the third quarter of 2018, with weaker increases in output, new orders and employment all recorded. This continued the broad trend in recent months of a subdued manufacturing performance. On the price front, the rate of input cost inflation ticked up and remained sharp. Meanwhile, output prices were raised, following the first decline in almost two years in August.

The headline IHS Markit Spain Manufacturing PMI dropped to 51.4 in September, down from 53.0 in August and signalling only a slight monthly improvement in the health of the sector. In fact, the latest strengthening of business conditions was the least marked since August 2016.

07:31
Switzerland: Retail Sales (MoM), August 0.3%
07:15
Switzerland: Retail Sales Y/Y, August 0.3% (forecast 0.4%)
07:09
German retail sales down 0.1% in August

According to provisional results of the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis), the real (price-adjusted) turnover of the retail enterprises in Germany was 1.6% and the nominal (not price-adjusted) turnover 3.3% higher in August 2018 compared with August 2017. The number of sales days was 27 in each of these two months.

  • -0.1% on the previous month (in real terms, calendar and seasonally adjusted, provisional)

  • +0.3% on the previous month (in nominal terms, calendar and seasonally adjusted, provisional)

  • +1.6% on the same month a year earlier (in real terms, provisional)

  • +3.3% on the same month a year earlier (in nominal terms, provisional)

06:00
Germany: Retail sales, real unadjusted, y/y, August 1.6% (forecast 1.5%)
06:00
Germany: Retail sales, real adjusted , August -0.1% (forecast 0.4%)
05:46
WTO, IMF, World Bank Seek 'Urgent' International Trade Reforms - Bloomberg
05:45
Chinese manufacturers signalled stagnant operating conditions at the end of the third quarter

Chinese manufacturers signalled stagnant operating conditions at the end of the third quarter, following improvements in the prior 15 months. Production growth eased to a marginal pace, while total new work was broadly unchanged from the previous month. New export business fell at the quickest rate since early 2016. At the same time, companies continued to reduce their headcounts, while subdued demand conditions led to more cautious approaches to inventories and buying activity.

The headline seasonally adjusted Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) - a composite indicator designed to provide a single-figure snapshot of operating conditions in the manufacturing economy - fell from 50.6 in August to the neutral level of 50.0 in September

05:44
Japan’s manufacturing economy continued along an expansionary path in September, with output, demand and employment all rising - Markit

That said, production growth dipped to a 14-month low, and although total new business growth accelerated, manufacturers faced a further month of declining export sales. The slower rise in output contributed to a stronger accumulation in backlogs of work, while slower input delivery times also weighed on operating capacities. Looking ahead, firms were upbeat, but the level of positive sentiment was the weakest for nearly two years.

05:43
Canada and the U.S. have agreed on a new North American Free Trade Agreement, two Canadian officials said late Sunday, concluding an acrimonious 13-month negotiation
05:04
Options levels on monday, October 1, 2018 EURUSD GBPUSD

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1767 (3067)

$1.1711 (1729)

$1.1684 (260)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1594

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1543 (3757)

$1.1496 (3256)

$1.1448 (2774)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date October, 15 is 91048 contracts (according to data from September, 28) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1600 (5131);


GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.3155 (2662)

$1.3133 (2207)

$1.3099 (722)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.3025

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.2969 (1650)

$1.2930 (2107)

$1.2909 (405)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date October, 15 is 29367 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3200 (2954);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date October, 15 is 37914 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2900 (2249);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.29 versus 1.28 from the previous trading day according to data from September, 28.

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

01:04
Australia: MI Inflation Gauge, m/m, September 0.3%
00:34
Japan: Manufacturing PMI, September 52.5 (forecast 52.9)

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