Analytics, News, and Forecasts for CFD Markets: currency news — 16-08-2017.

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16.08.2017
23:51
Japan: Trade Balance Total, bln, July 419 (forecast 392)
22:47
New Zealand: PPI Output (QoQ) , Quarter II 1.3% (forecast 0.7%)
22:46
New Zealand: PPI Input (QoQ), Quarter II 1.4% (forecast 0.9%)
22:21
Currencies. Daily history for Aug 16’2017:

(pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,1770 +0,31%

GBP/USD $1,2887 +0,14%

USD/CHF Chf0,9652 -0,70%

USD/JPY Y110,11 -0,42%

EUR/JPY Y129,61 -0,11%

GBP/JPY Y141,91 -0,27%

AUD/USD $0,7928 +1,35%

NZD/USD $0,7311 +1,00%

USD/CAD C$1,2616 -1,08%

22:05
Schedule for today, Thursday, Aug 17’2017 (GMT0)

01:30 Australia Unemployment rate July 5.6% 5.6%

01:30 Australia Changing the number of employed July 14.0 20

08:30 United Kingdom Retail Sales (MoM) July 0.6% 0.2%

08:30 United Kingdom Retail Sales (YoY) July 2.9% 1.4%

09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI ex EFAT, Y/Y (Finally) July 1.1% 1.2%

09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI July 0% -0.5%

09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI, Y/Y (Finally) July 1.3% 1.3%

09:00 Eurozone Trade balance unadjusted June 21.4 22.9

11:30 Eurozone ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts

12:30 Canada Manufacturing Shipments (MoM) June 1.1% -1%

12:30 U.S. Continuing Jobless Claims 1951 1953

12:30 U.S. Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey August 19.5 18.5

12:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims 244 240

13:15 U.S. Capacity Utilization July 76.6% 76.7%

13:15 U.S. Industrial Production YoY July 2%

13:15 U.S. Industrial Production (MoM) July 0.4% 0.3%

14:00 U.S. Leading Indicators July 0.6% 0.3%

16:30 U.S. FOMC Member Kaplan Speak

14:30
U.S.: Crude Oil Inventories, August -8.945 (forecast -3.38)
13:49
Option expiries for today's 10:00 ET NY cut

EURUSD: 1.1600 (EUR 1.25 млрд) 1.1750-60 (660 млн)

USDJPY: 109.00 (USD 350 млн) 109.90 (805 млн) 110.45-50 (825 млн) 111.50-55 (825 млн)

AUDUSD: 0.7825-30 (AUD 2.23 млрд) 0.7850 (910 млн)

13:33
German Formin Gabriel says real danger to Germany is new cold war, so disagrees with conservative proposal to boost defence spending
13:14
Dollar index rises to highest since July 26, touches 94.145
12:34
Foreign investors reduced their holdings of Canadian securities by $923 million in June

Foreign investors reduced their holdings of Canadian securities by $923 million in June, the first monthly divestment since July 2015. At the same time, Canadian investment in foreign securities amounted to $13.2 billion, led by acquisitions of equities.

As a result, Canada's international transactions in securities generated a net outflow of funds from the economy of $14.1 billion in June. Despite the net outflow, there was an overall net inflow of funds of $31.6 billion in the second quarter, led by significant foreign acquisitions of Canadian bonds in April and May.

12:33
Big miss for US building permits and housing starts

Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in July were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,223,000. This is 4.1 percent (±0.9 percent) below the revised June rate of 1,275,000, but is 4.1 percent (±1.8 percent) above the July 2016 rate of 1,175,000. Single-family authorizations in July were at a rate of 811,000; this is unchanged from the revised June figure of 811,000. Authorizations of units in buildings with five units or more were at a rate of 377,000 in July.

Privately-owned housing starts in July were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,155,000. This is 4.8 percent (±10.2 percent) below the revised June estimate of 1,213,000 and is 5.6 percent (±8.5 percent) below the July 2016 rate of 1,223,000. Single-family housing starts in July were at a rate of 856,000; this is 0.5 percent (±8.5 percent) below the revised June figure of 860,000. The July rate for units in buildings with five units or more was 287,000.

12:30
U.S.: Housing Starts, July 1155 (forecast 1220)
12:30
Canada: Foreign Securities Purchases, June 0.92 (forecast 23.45)
12:30
U.S.: Building Permits, July 1223 (forecast 1250)
11:48
Kim Jong Un of North Korea made a very wise and well reasoned decision. The alternative would have been both catastrophic and unacceptable! @realDonaldTrump
11:00
J.P Morgan: sell 2m 1.6841 strike gbp calls/cad puts, sell 2m 0.9806 strike aud puts/cad calls, buy 2m 1.7174 strike gbp calls/aud puts, p/l: -7 bp cad
10:30
Amazon is doing great damage to tax paying retailers. Towns, cities and states throughout the U.S. are being hurt - many jobs being lost! @realDonaldTrump
09:41
China's cabinet: will encourage foreign capital to participate in restructuring of domestic firms
09:20
UK gilt futures fall more than 20 ticks after UK labour market data
09:03
Seasonally adjusted GDP rose by 0.6% in both the euro area (EA19) and the EU28 during the second quarter of 2017

Seasonally adjusted GDP rose by 0.6% in both the euro area (EA19) and the EU28 during the second quarter of 2017, compared with the previous quarter, according to a flash estimate published by Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. In the first quarter of 2017, GDP grew by 0.5% in both zones.

Compared with the same quarter of the previous year, seasonally adjusted GDP rose by 2.2% in the euro area and by 2.3% in the EU28 in the second quarter of 2017, after +1.9% and +2.1% respectively in the previous quarter. During the second quarter of 2017, GDP in the United States increased by 0.6% compared with the previous quarter (after +0.3% in the first quarter of 2017). Compared with the same quarter of the previous year, GDP grew by 2.1% (after +2.0% in the previous quarter).

09:00
Eurozone: GDP (YoY), Quarter II 2.2% (forecast 2.1%)
09:00
Eurozone: GDP (QoQ), Quarter II 0.6% (forecast 0.6%)
08:36
UK average weekly earnings rose more than expected in June. GBP/USD rally around 40 pips so far

Latest estimates show that average weekly earnings for employees in Great Britain in nominal terms (that is, not adjusted for price inflation) increased by 2.1%, both including and excluding bonuses, compared with a year earlier.

Average weekly earnings in real terms (that is, adjusted for price inflation) fell by 0.5%, both including and excluding bonuses, compared with a year earlier.

08:34
UK unemployment rate declined 0.1% to 4.4% in June

Estimates from the Labour Force Survey show that, between January to March 2017 and April to June 2017, the number of people in work increased, the number of unemployed people fell, and the number of people aged from 16 to 64 not working and not seeking or available to work (economically inactive) also fell.

There were 32.07 million people in work, 125,000 more than for January to March 2017 and 338,000 more than for a year earlier.

The employment rate (the proportion of people aged from 16 to 64 who were in work) was 75.1%, the highest since comparable records began in 1971.

There were 883,000 people (not seasonally adjusted) in employment on "zero-hours contracts" in their main job, 20,000 fewer than for a year earlier.

The unemployment rate (the proportion of those in work plus those unemployed, that were unemployed) was 4.4%, down from 4.9% for a year earlier and the lowest since 1975.

08:30
United Kingdom: Average Earnings, 3m/y , June 2.1% (forecast 1.8%)
08:30
United Kingdom: Claimant count , July -4.2 (forecast 3.7)
08:30
United Kingdom: Average earnings ex bonuses, 3 m/y, June 2.1% (forecast 2%)
08:30
United Kingdom: ILO Unemployment Rate, June 4.4% (forecast 4.5%)
07:58
ECB's Draghi will not deliver fresh policy message at Jackson Hole; wants to hold off on debate until autumn: Sources familiar with the discussion. EUR/USD near the session lows
07:54
German chancellor Merkel's conservatives at 40 pct support vs rival social democrats at 22 pct - GMS poll
07:48
Forex option contracts rolling off today at 14.00 GMT:

EURUSD: 1.1600 (EUR 1.25bln) 1.1750-60 (660m)

USDJPY: 109.00 (USD 350m) 109.90 (805m) 110.45-50 (825m) 111.50-55 (825m)

AUDUSD: 0.7825-30 (AUD 2.23bln) 0.7850 (910m)

07:31
LME zinc hits $3,000 a tonne, highest since oct 2007
06:27
Options levels on tuesday, August 16, 2017 EURUSD GBPUSD

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1855 (1848)

$1.1832 (2445)

$1.1798 (2025)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1734

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1673 (2480)

$1.1650 (3172)

$1.1622 (3413)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date September, 8 is 126150 contracts (according to data from August, 15) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2000 (5103);

GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.3047 (3124)

$1.2985 (982)

$1.2941 (284)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.2859

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.2814 (2203)

$1.2792 (2056)

$1.2766 (2673)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date September, 8 is 31068 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3000 (3124);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date September, 8 is 26786 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2850 (2673);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.86 versus 0.85 from the previous trading day according to data from August, 15

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

06:26
10-year S.S. treasury yield at 2.267 percent vs U.S. close of 2.266 percent on Tuesday
06:25
Romania's flash Q2 GDP +5.9 pct y/y, sharply above +4.8 pct y/y forecast; + 1.6 pct Q/Q - Statistics board
06:24
German FinMin Schaeuble: Must Strengthen ESM Fund and ‘Turn It Into A Kind Of IMF’ For Eurozone - RTRS
06:18
Australian wage price index rose 0.5% q/q

The trend and seasonally adjusted indexes for Australia both rose 0.5% in the June quarter 2017. This continues the subdued rate of wage growth recorded by the series over the last two years.

The Private sector rose 0.4% and the Public sector rose 0.6%, seasonally adjusted.

The rises in indexes at the industry level (in original terms) ranged from 0.0% for Accommodation and food services to 0.8% for Mining.

Annual change (jun qtr 2016 to jun qtr 2017)

The trend and seasonally adjusted indexes for Australia both rose 1.9% through the year to the June quarter 2017. This historically low level of growth for both series has been recorded for the last four quarters.

Rises in the original indexes through the year to the June quarter 2017 at the industry level ranged from 1.1% for Mining to 2.6% for Health care and social assistance.

01:30
Australia: Wage Price Index, y/y, Quarter II 1.9% (forecast 1.9%)
01:30
Australia: Wage Price Index, q/q, Quarter II 0.5% (forecast 0.5%)
00:31
Australia: Leading Index, July 0.1%

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