Analytics, News, and Forecasts for CFD Markets: currency news — 10-05-2018.

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10.05.2018
22:56
Currencies. Daily history for May 10’2018:


Pare

Closed

% change

EUR/USD

$1,1916

+0,54%

GBP/USD

$1,3516

-0,22%

USD/CHF

Chf1,00246

-0,23%

USD/JPY

Y109,41

-0,28%

EUR/JPY

Y130,37

+0,26%

GBP/JPY

Y147,883

-0,50%

AUD/USD

$0,7532

+0,95%

NZD/USD

$0,6964

+0,35%

USD/CAD

C$1,27661

-0,68%

22:30
New Zealand: Business NZ PMI, April 58.9
21:54
Schedule for today, Friday, May 11’2018 (GMT+3)


Time

Region

Event

Period

Previous

Forecast

01:30

New Zealand

Business NZ PMI

April

52.2


01:45

New Zealand

Food Prices Index, y/y

April

1.4%


04:30

Australia

Home Loans

March

-0.2%

-2%

15:30

Canada

Employment

April

32.3

17.4

15:30

Canada

Unemployment rate

April

5.8%

5.8%

15:30

USA

Import Price Index

April

0%

0.5%

15:30

USA

FOMC Member James Bullard Speaks




16:10

Canada

Gov Council Member Wilkins Speaks




16:15

Eurozone

ECB President Mario Draghi Speaks




17:00

USA

Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index

May

98.8

98.5

20:00

USA

Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count

May

834

18:00
U.S.: Federal budget , April 214 (forecast 193.75)
12:33
U.S CPI rose less than expected in April

The Consumer Price Index for increased 0.2 percent in April on a seasonally adjusted basis after falling 0.1 percent in March, the U.S.

Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index rose 2.5 percent before seasonal adjustment.

The indexes for gasoline and shelter were the largest factors in the seasonally adjusted increase in the all items index, although the food index increased as well.

The gasoline index increased 3.0 percent, more than offsetting declines in other energy component indexes and led to a 1.4-percent rise in the energy index. The food index rose 0.3 percent, with the food at home index rising 0.3 percent and the index for food away from home increasing 0.2 percent.

12:30
Canada: New Housing Price Index, YoY, March 2.4%
12:30
U.S.: Initial Jobless Claims, May 211 (forecast 218)
12:30
U.S.: CPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y, April 2.1% (forecast 2.2%)
12:30
U.S.: CPI, Y/Y, April 2.5% (forecast 2.5%)
12:30
U.S.: CPI excluding food and energy, m/m, April 0.1% (forecast 0.2%)
12:30
U.S.: CPI, m/m , April 0.2% (forecast 0.3%)
12:30
Canada: New Housing Price Index, MoM, March 0% (forecast 0%)
12:30
U.S.: Continuing Jobless Claims, April 1790 (forecast 1778)
12:09
United Kingdom: NIESR GDP Estimate, April 0.1% (forecast 0.3%)
11:40
Sterling trims losses to $1.3527 as Carney says overall economic climate in UK looks little changed
11:39
BoE's Carney - Brexit drag on investment, while persisting, has not intensified
11:38
Bank of England's Carney says past Feb guidance was "explicitly conditioned" on economy evolving in line with Feb forecasts

  • UK economy has not fulfilled those conditions for a rate increase since feb

  • Key question is whether softness will prove temporary or persistent

  • UK exporters remain in a sweet spot

  • Overall economic climate in UK looks little changed thus far

11:11
BoE inflation report shows unemployment rate at 4.0 pct in two years' time (feb 4.1 pct), based on market rates
11:09
BoE forecast shows inflation in three years' time at 2.00 pct (feb forecast 2.11 pct), based on market interest rates

  • Inflation in two years' time at 2.03 pct (feb forecast 2.16 pct), based on market interest rates

  • Inflation in one year's time at 2.13 pct (feb forecast 2.28 pct), based on market interest rates

11:07
BoE says fall in inflation in Q1 2018 reflects faster fading of sterling-driven inflation, domestic costs picking up as expected

  • Current market rate path implies around three 25 basis point rate hikes over next three years (similar to feb path)

  • Says ongoing tightening of monetary policy over forecast period is "appropriate" to return inflation to target over conventional horizon

  • McCafferty and Aaunders say q1 gdp weakness "temporary or erratic", rate rise now could mitigate risks of more abrupt change in interest rates

  • Most MPC members want to wait to see how data unfold "over the coming months" before raising rates, as cost of waiting low

11:03
The Bank of England holds the interest rate at 0.50% with a 7-2 vote

"The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) sets monetary policy to meet the 2% inflation target, and in a way that helps to sustain growth and employment. At its meeting ending on 9 May 2018, the MPC voted by a majority of 7-2 to maintain Bank Rate at 0.5%. The Committee voted unanimously to maintain the stock of sterling non-financial investment-grade corporate bond purchases, financed by the issuance of central bank reserves, at £10 billion. The Committee also voted unanimously to maintain the stock of UK government bond purchases, financed by the issuance of central bank reserves, at £435 billion".

11:00
United Kingdom: Asset Purchase Facility, 435 (forecast 435)
11:00
United Kingdom: BoE Interest Rate Decision, 0.5% (forecast 0.5%)
10:36
ECB's Lane says does not think monetary policy rates are going to move dramatically in the years to come
10:03
Russia is firmly committed to continuing to deepen unilateral ties with Iran despite U.S. sanctions - Ifax cites Russia's deputy foreign minister
09:16
UK ONS - data support estimate showing "very sluggish" economy in Q1 2018, little overall impact from bad weather

  • Industrial, construction data likely to have negligible impact on Q1 GDP estimate

09:11
The UK total trade deficit narrowed £0.7 billion to £6.9 billion in the three months to March

The UK total trade deficit (goods and services) narrowed £0.7 billion to £6.9 billion in the three months to March 2018, due mainly to falling goods imports from non-EU countries.

The trade in goods deficit narrowed £1.5 billion with non-EU countries and widened £0.4 billion with the EU in the three months to March 2018.

The narrowing goods deficit with non-EU countries was due mainly to falls in imports of machinery and transport equipment (mainly ships and aircraft), and miscellaneous manufactures (mainly clothing and works of art) of £1.3 billion and £0.5 billion respectively in the three months to March 2018.

09:08
UK manufacturing production down 0.1% in March

In the three months to March 2018, the Index of Production increased by 0.6% compared with the three months to December 2017, due mainly to a rise of 2.5% in energy supply; this was supported by rises in mining and quarrying of 2.2% and manufacturing of 0.2%.

The three-monthly rise in manufacturing is due mainly to rises in machinery and equipment not elsewhere classified (4.1%), transport equipment (1.7%) and computer, electronic and optical equipment (4.4%).

In the three months to March 2018 growth has fallen due mainly to a reduction in the growth rate of both export and domestic turnover, and a slow-down in basic metals and metal products due to a high growth in the three months to December 2017.

In March 2018, total production was estimated to have increased by 0.1% compared with February 2018.

08:30
United Kingdom: Total Trade Balance, March -3.091
08:30
United Kingdom: Manufacturing Production (YoY), March 2.9% (forecast 2.9%)
08:30
United Kingdom: Manufacturing Production (MoM) , March -0.1% (forecast -0.2%)
08:30
United Kingdom: Industrial Production (MoM), March 0.1% (forecast 0.2%)
08:30
United Kingdom: Industrial Production (YoY), March 2.9% (forecast 3.1%)
08:04
Russian's deputy foreign minister says Moscow calls for de-escalation between Iran and Israel - TASS
06:44
Options levels on thursday, May 10, 2017 EURUSD GBPUSD

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.2019 (1753)

$1.1969 (374)

$1.1937 (218)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1869

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1802 (3729)

$1.1775 (2833)

$1.1743 (2803)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date June, 8 is 147523 contracts (according to data from May, 9) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1500 (8767);


GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.3740 (1331)

$1.3688 (610)

$1.3649 (779)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.3574

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.3488 (1254)

$1.3440 (1495)

$1.3411 (2398)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date June, 8 is 37333 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3700 (2304);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date June, 8 is 39511 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3500 (2398);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.06 versus 1.09 from the previous trading day according to data from May, 9.

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

06:42
BoJ Gov Kuroda: too early to lay out conditions for exiting easy policy

  • Not thinking of conducting another comprehensive review of BoJ's policy

  • See no problem arising from BoJ's risky-asset buying

  • If conditions fall into place, BoJ's policy board could discuss conditions for exiting easy policy

  • If inflation approaches 2 pct, conditions will gradually fall in place to mull exit from easy policy

  • Don't think BoJ's current policy is nearing a limit

06:35
Chinese inflation down 0.2% in April

China's consumer price inflation eased to a three-month low in April on weak food price growth, while producer price inflation increased for the first time in seven months on commodity prices, according to rttnews.

Inflation eased to 1.8 percent in April from 2.1 percent in March. This was the lowest since January, when the rate was 1.5 percent and below the expected level of 1.9 percent.

The government targets around 3 percent inflation for 2018.

Food price inflation decreased to 0.7 percent from 2.1 percent, while non-food price inflation held steady at 2.1 percent in April.

On a monthly basis, consumer prices dropped 0.2 percent following March's 1.1 percent decrease. Prices have declined for the second straight month.

06:33
RBNZ governor Orr says key risks for rate cut are international growth faltering, or international financial conditions tightening

  • "Door is open to both a rate cut and a rate rise"

  • Decision was unanimous across monetary policy committee group

  • Inflation "is a concern and that's why we're keeping monetary policy expansionary"

  • Tail off in house prices is a "positive thing" for financial stability concerns; has not yet gone far enough

  • Will make changes at RBNZ as governor, including greater communication

  • "Personally I'm surprised how low business confidence is" in NZ

06:31
Reserve Bank of New Zealand governor Orr says easiest decision had to make in several years, "we can keep the OCR where it is for considerable period of time"
06:29
Reserve Bank of New Zealand Official Cash Rate unchanged at 1.75 percent, says low food, import price inflation, subdued wages keeping inflation down

  • CPI remains below 2 pct

  • Sees official cash rate at 1.9 pct in september 2019 (pvs 1.9 pct)

  • Cash rate at 2.4 pct in june 2021

  • Have seen an unprecedented increase in employment

  • Expect to keep OCR at this expansionary level for a considerable period of time

  • Immigration adding to the supply of labour

  • The direction of our next move is equally balanced, up or down

  • Global inflation pressures are expected to rise but remain contained

06:16
Israeli military says it struck dozens of Iranian military targets in Syria overnight @AP
06:15
U.S. 10-year treasuries yield at 2.982 percent vs U.S. close of 2.995 percent on wednesday
05:02
Japan: Eco Watchers Survey: Outlook, March 49.0 (forecast 49.2)
05:01
Japan: Eco Watchers Survey: Current , April 49 (forecast 49.2)
01:31
China: CPI y/y, April 1.8% (forecast 1.9%)
01:31
China: PPI y/y, April 3.4% (forecast 3.5%)

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