Analytics, News, and Forecasts for CFD Markets: currency news — 08-06-2017.

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08.06.2017
22:26
Currencies. Daily history for Jun 08’2017:

(pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,1204 -0,48%

GBP/USD $1,2742 -1,70%

USD/CHF Chf0,9677 +0,33%

USD/JPY Y109,90 +0,11%

EUR/JPY Y123,13 -0,38%

GBP/JPY Y140,02 -1,59%

AUD/USD $0,7533 -0,21%

NZD/USD $0,7195 +0,01%

USD/CAD C$1,3515 +0,07%

21:57
Schedule for today, Friday, Jun 09’2017 (GMT0)

01:30 Australia Home Loans April -0.5% -1%

01:30 China PPI y/y May 6.4% 5.7%

01:30 China CPI y/y May 1.2% 1.5%

04:30 Japan Tertiary Industry Index April -0.2% 0.5%

06:00 Germany Current Account April 30.2

06:00 Germany Trade Balance (non s.a.), bln April 25.4

06:45 France Industrial Production, m/m April 2.0% 0.2%

08:30 United Kingdom Consumer Inflation Expectations Quarter II 2.9%

08:30 United Kingdom Total Trade Balance April -4.90

08:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (YoY) April 1.4% -0.2%

08:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (MoM) April -0.5% 0.8%

08:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (YoY) April 2.3% 0.7%

08:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (MoM) April -0.6% 0.9%

12:00 United Kingdom NIESR GDP Estimate May 0.2%

12:30 Canada Capacity Utilization Rate Quarter I 82.2% 82.4%

12:30 Canada Unemployment rate May 6.5% 6.6%

12:30 Canada Employment May 3.2 11

14:00 U.S. Wholesale Inventories April 0.1% 0.2%

17:00 U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count June 733

13:51
Option expiries for today's 10:00 ET NY cut

EURUSD: 1.1100 (EUR 351m) 1.1130 (245m) 111.50 (361m) 1.1200 (1.7bln) 1.1220-25 (464m) 1.1250 210m) 1.1280 (245m) 1.1300 (200m) 1.1350 (370m) 1.1400 (225m)

USDJPY: 109.15 (USD 342m) 110.00 (980m) 110.30-40 (390m) 110.50 (210m) 111.30 (310m) 111.50 (205m)

GBPUSD: 1.2900 (GBP 371m) 1.2945-55 (335m)

AUDUSD: 0.7400-05 (AUD 485m) 0.7450 (560m) 0.7480-90 (620m) 0.7500-05 (1.17bln) 0.7540-50 (435m)

USDCAD: 1.3400 (USD 200m) 1.3430-40 (460m) 1.3470-80 (260m) 1.3500 (195m)

NZDUSD: 0.7085 (NZD 412m)

EURJPY 124.30-40 (EUR 250m)

12:54
Draghi says no dissent regarding changes in policy statement
  • Ecb's Constancio says popular rescue decision triggered by bank run

  • Draghi says underlying inflation low

  • Ecb expects 2018 inflation at 1.3 pct vs 1.6 pct in march

12:48
Ecb expects 2017 inflation at 1.5 pct vs 1.7 in march
12:47
Euro falls to day's low of $1.1206 after ECB cuts inflation forecasts
12:39
Draghi says headline inflation likely to remain around current levels in coming months
12:39
ECB expects 2017 Gdp growth at 1.9 pct vs 1.8 in march. Not hawkish enough so far...EUR/USD goes down
  • Draghi says surveys point to solid broad based grwoth

  • 2018 gdp growth at 1.8 pct vs 1.7 in march

  • Sluggish reform effort dampens recovery

  • 2019 gdp growth at 1.7 pct vs 1.6 in march

  • Draghi says downside risks relatiing to global factors persist

  • Positive momentum increases chance of stronger upswing

12:36
US initial jobless claims a little lower than expected

In the week ending June 3, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 245,000, a decrease of 10,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 7,000 from 248,000 to 255,000. The 4-week moving average was 242,000, an increase of 2,250 from the previous week's revised average. The previous week's average was revised up by 1,750 from 238,000 to 239,750.

12:35
Ecb's Draghi says very favorable financing conditions necessary to raise inflation to target
  • Economy to expander fraster than expected

  • Very substantial degree of monetary accommodation still needed

  • Momentum stronger in euro area economy

  • Underlying inflation subdued

  • Expansion yet to translate into stronger inflation dynamics

12:30
U.S.: Continuing Jobless Claims, 1917 (forecast 1920)
12:30
Canada: New Housing Price Index, MoM, April 0.8% (forecast 0.3%)
12:30
U.S.: Initial Jobless Claims, 245 (forecast 240)
12:24
Canadian housing starts stable in May

The trend in housing starts was 214,621 units in May 2017, compared to 213,435 units in April 2017, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC). This trend measure is a six-month moving average of the monthly seasonally adjusted annual rates (SAAR) of housing starts.

"Housing starts trended higher in May in Canada's urban areas", said Bob Dugan, CMHC's Chief Economist. "Row and apartment units led the upward move, while construction has slowed for pricier single- and semi-detached houses."

Apartment construction continues to drive the residential market in Halifax with year-to-date apartment starts more than double 2016 levels. The single-detached demand is also picking up pace following a couple years of decline. Year-to date, single-detached construction has grown by 16 percent.

12:15
Canada: Housing Starts, May 195 (forecast 205)
12:00
Orders AUDUSD EURGBP EURJPY EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY

EUR/USD

Offers: 1.1270 1.1285 1.1300 1.1320 1.1335 1.1350 1.1380 1.1400

Bids: 1.1225-30 1.1200 1.1180 1.1150 1.1120 1.1100

GBP/USD

Offers: 1.2985 1.3000 1.3020 1.3050 1.3080 1.3100 1.3160 1.3200

Bids: 1.2950 1.2930 1.2900 1.2880-85 1.2850 1.2830 1.2800 1.2785 1.2750 1.2700

EUR/JPY

Offers: 123.80 124.00 124.50 124.80 125.00

Bids: 122.30 122.00 121.85 121.65 121.50 121.00

EUR/GBP

Offers: 0.8700 0.8730 0.8750 0.8765 0.8785 0.8800 0.8830 0.8850

Bids: 0.8665 0.8650 0.8635 0.8600 0.8585 0.8550 0.8500

USD/JPY

Offers: 110.00 110.20 110.50 110.80 111.00

Bids: 109.35 109.20 109.00 108.80 108.50 108.00

AUD/USD

Offers: 0.7560 0.7580 0.7600 0.7630 0.7650

Bids: 0.7530 0.7500-05 0.7480-85 0.7465 0.7450

11:47
ECB held interest rates unchanged at 0.00%, 0.25% and -0.40% respectively

"At today's meeting, which was held in Tallinn, the Governing Council of the ECB decided that the interest rate on the main refinancing operations and the interest rates on the marginal lending facility and the deposit facility will remain unchanged at 0.00%, 0.25% and -0.40% respectively. The Governing Council expects the key ECB interest rates to remain at their present levels for an extended period of time, and well past the horizon of the net asset purchases.

Regarding non-standard monetary policy measures, the Governing Council confirms that the net asset purchases, at the current monthly pace of €60 billion, are intended to run until the end of December 2017, or beyond, if necessary, and in any case until the Governing Council sees a sustained adjustment in the path of inflation consistent with its inflation aim. The net purchases will be made alongside reinvestments of the principal payments from maturing securities purchased under the asset purchase programme. If the outlook becomes less favourable, or if financial conditions become inconsistent with further progress towards a sustained adjustment in the path of inflation, the Governing Council stands ready to increase the programme in terms of size and/or duration.

The President of the ECB will comment on the considerations underlying these decisions at a press conference starting at 14:30 CET today".

11:45
Eurozone: Deposit Facilty Rate, -0.4% (forecast -0.4%)
11:45
Eurozone: ECB Interest Rate Decision, 0% (forecast 0%)
10:52
EU's Dombrovskis says it is time to move with the next disbursement of loans to Greece
10:16
Ipsos Mori poll puts UK PM May's Conservatives on 44 pct, Labour on 36 pct. The elections are under way

  • 8-point lead for Conservatives in Ipsos Mori poll compares with 5-point lead in Ipsos Mori poll from June 2

09:40
Important ECB meeting today, policy shift expected although this step may be smaller than investors previously expected. Interest rate to be held at 0.0% (-0.4 deposit). Taper signals could led to stronger euro
09:03
Revised Q1 GDP rose by 0.6% in the euro area

Seasonally adjusted GDP rose by 0.6% in both the euro area (EA19) and the EU28 during the first quarter of 2017, compared with the previous quarter, according to an estimate published by Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. In the fourth quarter of 2016, GDP grew by 0.5% and 0.6% respectively.

Compared with the same quarter of the previous year, seasonally adjusted GDP rose by 1.9% in the euro area and by 2.1% in the EU28 in the first quarter of 2017, after +1.8% and +2.0% respectively in the previous quarter.

During the first quarter of 2017, GDP in the United States increased by 0.3% compared with the previous quarter (after +0.5% in the fourth quarter of 2016). Compared with the same quarter of the previous year, GDP grew by 2.0% (after +2.0% also in the previous quarter)

09:00
Eurozone: GDP (YoY), Quarter I 1.9% (forecast 1.7%)
09:00
Eurozone: GDP (QoQ), Quarter I 0.6% (forecast 0.5%)
08:32
European Commissioner Moscovici says Greece's european creditors should not 'play with fire'
08:13
Qatar central bank asks banks to provide it with daily reports on their fx trading, deposit withdrawals and transfers - Sources
07:47
Forex option contracts rolling off today at 14.00 GMT:

EURUSD: 1.1100 (EUR 351m) 1.1130 (245m) 111.50 (361m) 1.1200 (1.7bln) 1.1220-25 (464m) 1.1250 210m) 1.1280 (245m) 1.1300 (200m) 1.1350 (370m) 1.1400 (225m)

USDJPY: 109.15 (USD 342m) 110.00 (980m) 110.30-40 (390m) 110.50 (210m) 111.30 (310m) 111.50 (205m)

GBPUSD: 1.2900 (GBP 371m) 1.2945-55 (335m)

AUDUSD: 0.7400-05 (AUD 485m) 0.7450 (560m) 0.7480-90 (620m) 0.7500-05 (1.17bln) 0.7540-50 (435m)

USDCAD: 1.3400 (USD 200m) 1.3430-40 (460m) 1.3470-80 (260m) 1.3500 (195m)

NZDUSD: 0.7085 (NZD 412m)

EURJPY 124.30-40 (EUR 250m)

07:22
Swiss CPI inflation rose more than expected in May

The consumer price index (CPI) increased by 0.2% in May 2017 compared with the previous month, reaching 101.0 points (December 2015=100). Inflation was 0.5% compared with the same month in the previous year. These are the results of the Federal Statistical Office (FSO).

07:15
Switzerland: Consumer Price Index (MoM) , May 0.2% (forecast 0.1%)
07:15
Switzerland: Consumer Price Index (YoY), May 0.5% (forecast 0.3%)
06:56
Positive start of trading expected on the main European stock markets: DAX + 0.2%, CAC 40 + 0.2%, FTSE 100 + 0.2%
06:45
France: Trade Balance, bln, April -5.54 (forecast -6)
06:23
Options levels on thursday, June 8, 2017 EURUSD GBPUSD

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1367 (3406)

$1.1331 (5681)

$1.1286 (5391)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1262

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1206 (2334)

$1.1175 (4241)

$1.1136 (3169)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date June, 9 is 82900 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1100 (5904);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date June, 9 is 108753 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,0700 (5442)

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.31 versus 1.30 from the previous trading day according to data from June, 7

GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.3201 (2534)

$1.3102 (2962)

$1.3007 (4037)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.2960

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.2892 (1153)

$1.2795 (2828)

$1.2696 (7019)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date June, 9 is 39118 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3000 (4037);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date June, 9 is 51669 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2700 (7019);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.32 versus 1.19 from the previous trading day according to data from June, 7

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

06:17
ICM poll suggests UK PM May's Conservatives on 46 pct, Labour on 34 pct ahead of today's election - Guardian
  • Conservatives of PM May would have a majority of 96 seats in parliament

  • Poll conducted on june 6-7, after saturday attack in London

06:12
China's trade surplus totaled $40.8 billion in May versus the expected surplus of $47.8 billion

China's exports increased more than expected in May, the General Administration of Customs, cited by rttnews.

In dollar terms, exports advanced 8.7 percent year-on-year in May, faster than the 7.2 percent increase economists had forecast.

Likewise, imports climbed 14.8 percent, bigger than the expected 8.3 percent.

As a result, the trade surplus totaled $40.8 billion in May versus the expected surplus of $47.8 billion.

06:09
Australian balance on goods and services was a surplus of $555m in April, down $2,614m

In trend terms, the balance on goods and services was a surplus of $3,224m in April 2017, a decrease of $70m (2%) on the surplus in March 2017.

In seasonally adjusted terms, the balance on goods and services was a surplus of $555m in April 2017, a decrease of $2,614m (82%) on the surplus in March 2017.

In seasonally adjusted terms, goods and services credits fell $2,784m (8%) to $30,590m. Non-rural goods fell $2,497m (12%), non-monetary gold fell $373m (20%) and rural goods fell $73m (2%). Net exports of goods under merchanting rose $3m (8%). Services credits rose $156m (2%).

In seasonally adjusted terms, goods and services debits fell $171m (1%) to $30,035m. Intermediate and other merchandise goods fell $198m (2%), non-monetary gold fell $153m (27%) and consumption goods fell $102m (1%). Capital goods rose $130m (2%). Services debits rose $152m (2%).

06:07
German industrial production rose more than expected in April

In April 2017,production in industry was up by 0.8% from the previous month on a price, seasonally and working day adjusted basis according to provisional data of the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis). In March 2017, the corrected figure shows a decrease of 0.1% (primary -0.4%) from February 2017.

In April 2017, production in industry excluding energy and construction was up by 0.4%. Within industry, the production of capital goods increased by 0.3% and the production of intermediate goods by 1.0%. The production of consumer goods showed a decrease by 0.7%. Energy production was up by 5.7% in April 2017 and the production in construction decreased by 0.1%.

06:01
Swiss unemployment rate fell 0.2% to 3.2% in May

According to the State Secretariat for Economic Affairs (SECO) surveys, 139,778 unemployed were registered at the Regional Employment Centers (RAV) at the end of May 2017, 6,549 less than in the previous month. The unemployment rate thus fell from 3.3% in April 2017 to 3.1% in the reporting month. Compared to the previous month, unemployment fell by 5,000 persons (-3.5%). Youth unemployment in May 2017 Youth unemployment (15 to 24 year olds) decreased by 1,260 (-7.8%) to 14'956. Compared to the previous year, this represents a drop of 1'767 persons (-10.6%).

06:00
Germany: Industrial Production s.a. (MoM), April 0.8% (forecast 0.5%)
05:45
Switzerland: Unemployment Rate (non s.a.), May 3.1% (forecast 3.1%)
05:01
Japan: Eco Watchers Survey: Current , May 48.6 (forecast 48.6)
03:34
China: Trade Balance, bln, May 40,81 (forecast 46.32)
01:30
Australia: Trade Balance , April 0.555 (forecast 1.9)

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