Market news
12.02.2020, 07:06

Reserve Bank of New Zealand leaves cash rate at 1%

  • RBNZ forecasts for the OCR show they do not expect to cut this year at all

  • Sees official cash rate at 1.01% in June 2020 (previous 0.9%)

  • Sees official cash rate at 1.03% in March 2021 (previous 0.9%)

  • Sees official cash rate at 1.1% in June 2021 (previous 0.94%)


  • Overall impact of coronavirus on New Zealand will be of a short duration

  • Risks that impact will be larger and more persistent

  • Low rates necessary to keep employment and inflation around target

  • economic growth expected to accelerate over second half of 2020

  • Employment is at or slightly above its max sustainable level

  • Inflation close to 2% mid point

  • Committee agreed low interest rates had helped to get employment and inflation to around their target levels

  • Committee discussed financial stability risks from ongoing low rates

  • Members noted the bank's assessment that marginal changes to the ocr would not materially affect these risks at this time

  • Members discussed the better mix of policy stimulus in the projections, given additional fiscal stimulus is reducing the burden on monetary policy

  • Committee discussed alternative cash rate settings and the various trade-offs involved

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