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- China: High inflation spike – ANZ
China: High inflation spike – ANZ
FXStreet reports that China market economist at ANZ Research Zhaopeng Xing notes that China has surprised markets with the inflation data for the month of January.
"China's CPI overshot market expectations in January, partially due to the virus outbreak, because a 1.4% m/m spike is higher than the seasonal increases seen over the past three years."
"The virus outbreak has dampened commodity prices with Brent crude dropping more than 20% over the past two weeks. We expect China's PPI to turn negative in February, exerting downward pressure on industrial activities in H1 2020."
"The probability of another cut in the 7-day reverse repo is low, as the People's Bank of China (PBoC) will place emphasis on financial stability and efforts to contain the virus via liquidity injections and re-lending."
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