Market news
20.11.2019, 15:23

Fed's Governor Brainard: 'Certainly' more tariffs in December would be a realization of downside risks

  • Trade uncertainty has been major factor weighing on economy in past year; cities business investment
  • We've taken out insurance on trade but we still hear from business contacts saying they're waiting on clarity
  • 0.4% tracking forecasts for GDP are quite a bit lower than consensus
  • U.S. consumer has proven to be more resilient
  • Most of the businesses we talk to that are consumer-facing continue to be quite upbeat
  • We see some special factors weighing now that will begin to unwind in Q1
  • I see economy growing slightly above trend in the next year
  • I see inflation moving up to 2% and a bit above
  • The slowdown in trade is a concern and a question mark but expect consumer and domestic growth to be solid for next year or year-and-a-half

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