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18.10.2019, 08:59

Ray Dalio says the world is in a ‘great sag’ and echoes the 1930s

Hedge fund owner Ray Dalio said the global business cycle is in a “great sag” and the world’s economy holds at least two parallels to the 1930s.

Dalio said it was now too late for central banks to make much difference as economies enter a natural downturn.

“This cycle is fading, we are now in the world in what I would call a ‘great sag’,” said Dalio, adding that monetary policy, and especially interest rate reductions, were unlikely to offer much stimulus.

“Europe is at the limitation of that, Japan is (too) and the U.S. doesn’t have much to go on for that,” he told.

Dalio said the world was also experiencing the biggest wealth gap since the 1930s and that was creating political stress.

“In the United States the top one-tenth of 1% of the population has a net worth that is approximately equal to the bottom 90%,” he said.

Dalio told that China’s new swagger was further evidence that the world now echoes the depression era of the last century. “Also like the 1930s, we have a rising power challenging an existing world power in the form of China-U.S. challenges.”

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