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22.07.2019 11:21

U.S. consumer sentiment data bring some relief for Fed - TDS

TD Securities' analysts note that the data released on Friday revealed that the U.S. consumer sentiment improved marginally in July, rising to 98.4 from 98.2 before.

  • “The gain was entirely the result of an improvement in the expectations component, which more than offset a modest decline in the current conditions component. More important to the Fed, inflation expectations for the 5-10y horizon jumped to the top end of the recent range (since mid-2016) at 2.6% while 1y expectations ticked down a tenth to 2.6% in July.
  • This is a one-month development so we wouldn't read too much into it (we will also get the final read in a couple of weeks) but this would surely bring some relief to some Fed officials for now.”

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