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05.07.2019 14:40

Despite June tiny dip in employment, Canada's labour markets still look relatively solid - RBC

Nathan Janzen, the senior economist at the Royal Bank of Canada (RBC), notes that the Canadian employment slipped 2k in June, but was still up 421k from a year ago.

  • “The tiny dip in employment – given the size of ‘normal’ swings in this notoriously volatile report – does nothing to change the narrative that Canadian labour markets still look relatively solid. Employment is still up 421k from a year ago.
  • The unemployment rate ticked up to 5.5%, but from a new multi-decade low of 5.4% in May, and labour force participation rates are still sitting around all-time highs once controlling for population aging.
  • Probably more importantly, wage growth jumped to 3.8% in June from 2.8% in May.  The wage numbers, like the headline employment count, are notoriously volatile, so we would take the latest surge higher with a big grain of salt.”

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