The European Central Bank's monetary policy will remain expansionary to sustain demand, while growth- friendly fiscal policies in the eurozone could help speed a return to price stability, ECB Governing Council member Ignazio Visco said.
"Eurozone inflation remains at an excessively low level and the risk of a de-anchoring of medium-long term expectations is appearing," Visco, who is governor of the Bank of Italy, said.
In September, euro zone inflation reached 0.8% year-on-year, its slowest pace since 2016.
The ECB last month announced a package of measures that includes restarting bond purchases at a rate of 20 billion euros (£17.26 billion) a month from November.
BoJ must pay more attention than before to heightening risks, particular focus in on the output gap
Economy sustaining momentum for hitting BoJ's price goal
BoJ can combine, enhance tools which are rate cuts increase in asset buying and acceleration of base money
Our policy is stimulating economy, but increased scrutiny is needed on cost of prolonged ultra low rate environment
If Oil prices continue to fall and clearly push down Japan's inflation, that could impact inflation expectations
No preconception on what policy decision will be made in October
Investors risk aversion easing somewhat due to progress in US-China trade negotiations
Excessive fall in super-long yields could hurt consumer sentiment by lowering returns of pension, insurance funds
Overseas economic slowdown yet to affect Japan's domestic demand
Structural forces unrelated to monetary policy are likely to keep rates low
BOE unlikely to be able to cut rates as it did in the previous downturn
BOE analysis rules out taking rates into negative territory
Does not believe that a recession is overdue
Not much room for the UK gilt yields to fall much further, so more QE unlikely to provide much more stimulus.
BOE firepower is less than before previous recessions.
If you change BOE 2% inflation target, could create higher perceived risk that it will be changed again in future.
Helicopter money could put central bank independence at risk.
Calling economic and financial market signals for the economic outlook “mixed,” Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari signaled that he is likely to support further reductions in U.S. interest rates to support growth.
Trade tensions are making businesses cautious, he said, and the inversion of the U.S. yield curve that this week sent global stocks plummeting “is an indicator that people are nervous.” At the same time, the jobs market is strong, and so is consumer spending.
As Fed policymakers gear up for their September rate-setting meeting, he said, they will be assessing all of the data to make a decision. “I am leaning towards the camp of, ‘yes we need to give more stimulus to the economy, more support, we need to continue the expansion and not allow a recession to hit us,’” he said.
Global growth headwinds justified last week's rate cut
Trade uncertainty has amplified, could chill business investment
Doesn't see the economy heading into a recession
Continued headwinds from trade, lower policy rates from other central banks could justify lower rates
Global trade likely to pick up only gradually in the coming quarters
Will remain weaker than overall economic activity
US-China trade war has sapped confidence and held back investment
Downside risks to the outlook for trade have partially materialised in recent months
The threat of further escalation of trade tensions persists
The Reserve Bank of Australia is ready to ease monetary policy further if needed, Governor Philip Lowe said.
"If demand growth is not sufficient, the Board is prepared to provide additional support by easing monetary policy further," he said.
It is reasonable to expect an extended period of low interest rates, Lowe added. It will be some time before inflation is comfortably back within the target range.
The RBA had reduced its benchmark rate in June and July, by 25 basis points each. This was the first back-to-back rate cut since mid-2012.
The governor said two rate cuts will support demand. Recent tax reductions, higher commodity prices, some stabilization in the housing market, ongoing investment in infrastructure and a lift in resource sector investment will also support the economy, he noted.
The bank expects these factors together with rate cuts to put pressure on the economy's supply capacity and lift inflation in a reasonable timeframe, Lowe said.
ECB stands ready to adjust all of its instruments as appropriate
Need to ensure inflation continues to move towards target
Underlying inflation is expected to increase over the medium term, supported by our monetary policy measures, the ongoing economic expansion and stronger wage growth.
Economic data, survey information points to somewhat weaker growth in Q2, Q3
Risks surrounding euro area growth outlook continue to be tilted to the downside
Monetary policy cannot do everything, cannot repair protectionist damage
It also cannot replace reforms, fiscal policy
Monetary policy is guided by central bank mandate, not targeting exchange rate
ECB is data dependent, not market dependent
That means not relying too exclusively on market-based inflation expectations
Will assess economic data at meeting next week
ECB will act accordingly if and when is needed
Lower rates to hold AUD lower than otherwise
spare capacity likely to remain in labour market for "some time"
lower borrowing costs to free up cash for consumer spending
Board recognised uneven effect of lower rates on different households
extent of spare capacity meant rate cut unlikely to lead to risky rise in borrowing
labour demand being met by rise in participation, rather than fall in unemployment rate
Board saw prospects of lift in household income, support from tax rebates signs of stabilisation in Sydney, Melbourne housing markets
funding costs for major Australian banks had reached historic low
retail data suggested discretionary spending remained soft in Q2
Board noted significant change in outlook for monetary easing globally, esp US
risks from trade disputes remained high, inflation subdued in developed world
European Central Bank Vice President Luis de Guindos said that the last monetary decision taken by the central bank was taken unanimously by members of the Council.
"I believe (the decision) was taken unanimously. There was no divergent opinion with relation to the communique of the decision taken in Vilnius two weeks ago," de Guindos said.
At the meet, there had been two main issues, de Guindos said, including the extension of the forward guidance on when the bank would raise interest rates and the cost of the ECB's Longer-Term Refinancing Operation (TLTRO III).
"There was also unanimity in that, if the situation deteriorated because downside risks materialised, we would immediately react," de Guindos said.
Expects inflation to gradually pick up towards 2% target
Risks associated with overseas economies are significant
Need to watch for impact on business, consumer sentiment
There are various uncertainties surrounding the economy
Inflation likely to gradually accelerate towards 2%
But uncertainties do exist on this forecast
Central bank will continue to take appropriate policy steps
Japan's financial system is maintaining stability
All information on the website is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a basis for making certain investment decisions. Please read our full risk notification.
© 2000-2024. All rights reserved.
This site is managed by Teletrade D.J. LLC 2351 LLC 2022 (Euro House, Richmond Hill Road, Kingstown, VC0100, St. Vincent and the Grenadines).
The information on this website is for informational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice.
The company does not serve or provide services to customers who are residents of the US, Canada, Iran, The Democratic People's Republic of Korea, Yemen and FATF blacklisted countries.
Making transactions on financial markets with marginal financial instruments opens up wide possibilities and allows investors who are willing to take risks to earn high profits, carrying a potentially high risk of losses at the same time. Therefore you should responsibly approach the issue of choosing the appropriate investment strategy, taking the available resources into account, before starting trading.
Use of the information: full or partial use of materials from this website must always be referenced to TeleTrade as the source of information. Use of the materials on the Internet must be accompanied by a hyperlink to teletrade.org. Automatic import of materials and information from this website is prohibited.
Please contact our PR department if you have any questions or need assistance at pr@teletrade.global.